I do think the ref angle should be considered, but I also think it is overrated. Line is already increasing on DAL-NYK game, could be a play as it approaches 195. Not sure what will happen with LAL-Det, line may increase not decrease.
If that Dallas line gets to 195, I will be all over it. It will most likely be a play if it remains at 192, but anything in addition to that will just strengthen the play for me.
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Quote Originally Posted by howzuck:
I do think the ref angle should be considered, but I also think it is overrated. Line is already increasing on DAL-NYK game, could be a play as it approaches 195. Not sure what will happen with LAL-Det, line may increase not decrease.
If that Dallas line gets to 195, I will be all over it. It will most likely be a play if it remains at 192, but anything in addition to that will just strengthen the play for me.
Congratulations to all of the followers that get a better line as soon as I hit 'Submit.' I'm about to board my plane to Denver; I'm hoping I can land to a 185 posted total for LAL/DET. Be back in a couple of hours.
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FINAL PLAYS:
Dallas vs. New York UNDER 192.0 (2 Units)
Congratulations to all of the followers that get a better line as soon as I hit 'Submit.' I'm about to board my plane to Denver; I'm hoping I can land to a 185 posted total for LAL/DET. Be back in a couple of hours.
Congratulations to all of the followers that get a better line as soon as I hit 'Submit.' I'm about to board my plane to Denver; I'm hoping I can land to a 185 posted total for LAL/DET. Be back in a couple of hours.
I will be at the Mavs game and will be on the UNDER with you! GL
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[Quote: Originally Posted by rlawson]
FINAL PLAYS:
Dallas vs. New York UNDER 192.0 (2 Units)
Congratulations to all of the followers that get a better line as soon as I hit 'Submit.' I'm about to board my plane to Denver; I'm hoping I can land to a 185 posted total for LAL/DET. Be back in a couple of hours.
I will be at the Mavs game and will be on the UNDER with you! GL
rlawson you have been extremely helpful and ive been following you. Thank you. Unfortunately today i dont agree with lal/det over...so i will not play any over/under today...prob put a small wager on LaL to cover. Hopefully it will be a high scoring game, mostly by LaL...lol
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rlawson you have been extremely helpful and ive been following you. Thank you. Unfortunately today i dont agree with lal/det over...so i will not play any over/under today...prob put a small wager on LaL to cover. Hopefully it will be a high scoring game, mostly by LaL...lol
Congratulations to all of the followers that get a better line as soon as I hit 'Submit.' I'm about to board my plane to Denver; I'm hoping I can land to a 185 posted total for LAL/DET. Be back in a couple of hours.
i think this is a great play that has a very high chance of staying under for a few reasons besides your golden charts.
here's the common sense from my angle that will slow the game down tremedously.
Jason "mr getting old, playing like an old guy at the YMCA" Kidd will slow this game down to a grind.
there will be quite a bit of turnovers as Dallas will bring the pressure and Lin typically can't handle it more times than often. therefore turnovers throughout the game.
hopefully Steve Novak doesn't drain those 3's like there's no tomorrow.
I think we're good with the under....key word, "i think"
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Quote Originally Posted by rlawson:
FINAL PLAYS:
Dallas vs. New York UNDER 192.0 (2 Units)
Congratulations to all of the followers that get a better line as soon as I hit 'Submit.' I'm about to board my plane to Denver; I'm hoping I can land to a 185 posted total for LAL/DET. Be back in a couple of hours.
i think this is a great play that has a very high chance of staying under for a few reasons besides your golden charts.
here's the common sense from my angle that will slow the game down tremedously.
Jason "mr getting old, playing like an old guy at the YMCA" Kidd will slow this game down to a grind.
there will be quite a bit of turnovers as Dallas will bring the pressure and Lin typically can't handle it more times than often. therefore turnovers throughout the game.
hopefully Steve Novak doesn't drain those 3's like there's no tomorrow.
I think we're good with the under....key word, "i think"
i think this is a great play that has a very high chance of staying under for a few reasons besides your golden charts.
here's the common sense from my angle that will slow the game down tremedously.
Jason "mr getting old, playing like an old guy at the YMCA" Kidd will slow this game down to a grind.
there will be quite a bit of turnovers as Dallas will bring the pressure and Lin typically can't handle it more times than often. therefore turnovers throughout the game.
hopefully Steve Novak doesn't drain those 3's like there's no tomorrow.
I think we're good with the under....key word, "i think"
Both of these teams have Top 10 Home/Away defenses; I think this is an excellent play. If my numbers showed a larger variance, it would for sure be a larger play.
Any thoughts on this Lakers game? I told myself I wouldn't push and the line is down to 186. I will most likely need to see it at 185.0 before considering it a play.
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Quote Originally Posted by cashinsports:
i think this is a great play that has a very high chance of staying under for a few reasons besides your golden charts.
here's the common sense from my angle that will slow the game down tremedously.
Jason "mr getting old, playing like an old guy at the YMCA" Kidd will slow this game down to a grind.
there will be quite a bit of turnovers as Dallas will bring the pressure and Lin typically can't handle it more times than often. therefore turnovers throughout the game.
hopefully Steve Novak doesn't drain those 3's like there's no tomorrow.
I think we're good with the under....key word, "i think"
Both of these teams have Top 10 Home/Away defenses; I think this is an excellent play. If my numbers showed a larger variance, it would for sure be a larger play.
Any thoughts on this Lakers game? I told myself I wouldn't push and the line is down to 186. I will most likely need to see it at 185.0 before considering it a play.
I'd be lying if I said I thought one way or the other, either on the total or ATS. Anything knowledge you have is more than I, other than the number I posted above. Sorry and BOL.
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Quote Originally Posted by GuaNicho75:
Any thoughts on hawks-pacers...
I'd be lying if I said I thought one way or the other, either on the total or ATS. Anything knowledge you have is more than I, other than the number I posted above. Sorry and BOL.
I'd be lying if I said I thought one way or the other, either on the total or ATS. Anything knowledge you have is more than I, other than the number I posted above. Sorry and BOL.
Thanks anyway...
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Quote Originally Posted by rlawson:
I'd be lying if I said I thought one way or the other, either on the total or ATS. Anything knowledge you have is more than I, other than the number I posted above. Sorry and BOL.
The LAL/DET line is back up to 186.5 (from 186.0). I board my plane for SFO in less than an hour. If I don't get it at 185.0 or lower before I take off, then the play above (NYK/DAL) will be the only play of the day. I will continue checking until I board.
I understand it seems silly to be contemplating a bet on a game that I like to soar over over one or one-and-a-half points, but I feel like decisions such as this are what separates average cappers and "cappers that sometimes know what they're doing," which is where I'd classify myself from time to time. In the first thread I posted after the ASG, I said I was going to stick to my variance and not push plays, which is what I'd be doing in this case.
For those playing along at home, I've got a Lakers/Mavs ML parlay (risking 2.5 to win 3.9) that is NOT a system play, just something I like on the side. I like experience to trump in both games tonight, especially because we're now in the stretch run to the playoffs. You've got two teams that know what they're doing, one team that pretends to know what they're doing, and one team that goes by the Pistons.
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The LAL/DET line is back up to 186.5 (from 186.0). I board my plane for SFO in less than an hour. If I don't get it at 185.0 or lower before I take off, then the play above (NYK/DAL) will be the only play of the day. I will continue checking until I board.
I understand it seems silly to be contemplating a bet on a game that I like to soar over over one or one-and-a-half points, but I feel like decisions such as this are what separates average cappers and "cappers that sometimes know what they're doing," which is where I'd classify myself from time to time. In the first thread I posted after the ASG, I said I was going to stick to my variance and not push plays, which is what I'd be doing in this case.
For those playing along at home, I've got a Lakers/Mavs ML parlay (risking 2.5 to win 3.9) that is NOT a system play, just something I like on the side. I like experience to trump in both games tonight, especially because we're now in the stretch run to the playoffs. You've got two teams that know what they're doing, one team that pretends to know what they're doing, and one team that goes by the Pistons.
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