NBA PLAYOFF TIME .....................2025......

Yes sometimes that is the best way.............

I was sweating it out as I wanted OKC to cover my line.

Yep but that is about the same in any round. It has not been as good though in the past 10 years or so...................

Back years ago those were very high probability wins. Almost automatic wins SU & ATS.

I don't really look into road/home. I am more concerned about backing the better teams in very good spots.

OKC has not done well ATS on the road in the playoffs, I like them better because of that.

OKC is much better at home then on the road.

This kind of info many know it,  so I don't think you gain an advantage with common knowledge info.

I like going against this kind of info when I have the right spot.

I wanted to see these 1st 2 games to see if history was going to hold. This should tell me if Pacers are going to be an outlier.

Pretty much history has held. 

I think this series will be played out like it should be based on history and the difference  between the 2 teams which is large.

Since 2000 we have had 13 teams be 4.5 or better in PR I & PR II  combined. This is an indication a team is much better.

OKC 13.99 over Pacers

Biggest difference 2018 Warriors 17.01 over Cavs won 4-0.

OKC 13.99 over Pacers

2017 Warriors 12.93 over Cavs won 4-1

Game 3 for all 13 teams with series tied 1-1 .......4-1 SU & ATS

won by 20, 19, 15, and 2 pts but was a +2.5 dog. One team lost by 5.

To get back home court this team needs to win game 4. Going down 3-1 is the kiss of death.

Won game 4 by 21 pts.

We can see when these clearly superior teams win in these must win spots the games are not close.

To show how these teams respond we can look at teams off an ATS loss in game 1 which includes OKC.

These powerhouse teams won game 2 by 23, 19 and 16 pts.

OKC is right there with what history tells us should happen 

I don't think the line will come into play in game 3 even though OKC has not done well ATS in playoffs.

Here are some interesting teams were 4.5 better then opp.

2004 Pistons over Lakers with Shaq & Kobe by 4.63

Game 1.. my line ......LA -.92

Actual line LA -8

Pistons win 87 -75

With series tied 1-1 , Pistons crush LA in game 3 by 88-68 a whopping 20 pt beatdown in a game with minimal pts scored.

My Line in game 3 Pistons -7.08,  even though I don't use my lines in game 3 but we can clearly see how far off the actual lines were. Line was around pk. Maybe Pistons +1 or +1.5.

2008 Celtics over LA by 6.5, won 4.-2 including a historical beatdown in closeout game 6

Most everyone was on LA to win the series.

2014 Spurs over Heat by 5.11, won 4-1

2024 Celtics over Mavs by 7.89, won 4-1

How many were on Luka and the Mavs last year .

This should be blatantly obvious to intelligent sports bettors, but many of them go berserk, so very eager to fade a team with an injured superstar QB despite the fact that every linesmaker knows about the injury and has adjusted the lines, totals, team totals and propositions.

There is no such word.  I should have used "bookmaker."

Let's  look at Playoff Only PR...............

8 teams better by 3.25 or more

5 of those teams had home court

those 5 teams played a total of 11 road games

8-3 SU 

8 of 11 games won by 5 pts or more

Let's look at all 5 series ......

2001 LA won 3 of 5 games by 9 pts or more

2017 Warriors won 3 of 5 games by 9 pts or more

2018 Warriors won 3 of 4 games by 9 pts or more

2020 LA won 3 of 6 games by 9 pts or more

2024 Celtics won 2 of 5 games by 9 pts or more, the only team to win less then half the games by 9 pts or more

But they won 4 of 5 games by 7 pts or more

That was all games not just road games.

Both Playoff Only PR and team's better by 4.5 combined PR I & PR II point to OKC. 

Play has to be on OKC or no play.

Nice catch.  OKC -5.5 at Heritage.

This is an interesting factoid that belies public perceptions:

Average 4Q margin for all playoff games this season

OKC 1.6

IND 0.7

It would not surprise me to see OKC win the last few minutes despite IND being at home and OKC being so young.

Well, that was a pile of crap.

you really cant determine whos going to win

higupin niyong lahat ang malas ko

Okc -220 now series.   

Wow - OKC is still favored, maybe because they'll still be favored in every game.

Factoid from ESPN - when the series is tied 1-1, the winner of Game 3 takes the series 33-8 (80.5%).  That makes IND a great value to take the series at +whatever.

It’s a must win for okc… the big underdog only having to win one of 3… their coach been around awhile… will make the right adjustments.. get the most from his team… it’s a must win for okc.   In my opinion… what do the numbers say claw….   What about okc coach… I don’t even know who it is.   

Maybe, maybe not ......

I would take that but remain cautious, only a small play ..........

I'm not sure about the finals only but in other playoffs series more recent in the past 10 years or so the better teams have been losing game 3 then winning game 4 and going on to win the series after a 1-1 tie..................

Yep , now or never for OKC ...........