Want to play a crazy prop ? OK let's do it .......
With Hali making all these last second shots, books now have him along with SGA as favorites to make the last second shot with no inbound pass after. Games ends on that shot.
Pacers are not very likely to continuing winning these last second shot games.
I say if there is such a game OKC wins the next one.
The interesting player is Holmgren, he could get off rebound off a miss for dunk or off the glass bank as time expires or catch a lob similar to what Nuggets did . Or alley-op.
When these props come out because of Hali I like the longshots on OKC.
Let's not get crazy people, keep it very small.
I think it is well worth a shot because of the situation with Hali being so far ahead of any player in history on last second shots for the win.
What a fitting way for OKC to wrap up this series in Indy to make a last second shot at the buzzer considering all the buzz around Hali being the man.
This is for the series ............
Holmgren +50000 ---- .1 units
Caruso +50000 --- .1 units
Jaylen Williams +40000 --- .1 units
This could be an all-time great win for the ages .................
Want to play a crazy prop ? OK let's do it .......
With Hali making all these last second shots, books now have him along with SGA as favorites to make the last second shot with no inbound pass after. Games ends on that shot.
Pacers are not very likely to continuing winning these last second shot games.
I say if there is such a game OKC wins the next one.
The interesting player is Holmgren, he could get off rebound off a miss for dunk or off the glass bank as time expires or catch a lob similar to what Nuggets did . Or alley-op.
When these props come out because of Hali I like the longshots on OKC.
Let's not get crazy people, keep it very small.
I think it is well worth a shot because of the situation with Hali being so far ahead of any player in history on last second shots for the win.
What a fitting way for OKC to wrap up this series in Indy to make a last second shot at the buzzer considering all the buzz around Hali being the man.
This is for the series ............
Holmgren +50000 ---- .1 units
Caruso +50000 --- .1 units
Jaylen Williams +40000 --- .1 units
This could be an all-time great win for the ages .................
Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate.
I some how feel Indiana is a better team even though I am on them all 4 games for this series. I think OKC got the miracle cover on GAME-4. Indiana has better and deeper bench. I am surprise that the book is giving Indiana +10 for Game-5
Benedict Mathurin will be the difference in Game-5. No one on the OKC team can really guard him. I am surprise that Rick Carlisle did not turn him lose the last game.
Every day out of the red is a big win.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate.
I some how feel Indiana is a better team even though I am on them all 4 games for this series. I think OKC got the miracle cover on GAME-4. Indiana has better and deeper bench. I am surprise that the book is giving Indiana +10 for Game-5
Benedict Mathurin will be the difference in Game-5. No one on the OKC team can really guard him. I am surprise that Rick Carlisle did not turn him lose the last game.
Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate. From 2008 to 2015 I broke down all finals games some years back. Of 47 games only 6 did the losing team cover the spread, could of been a push or a few. I don't have more recent data but most likely it will be similar. Maybe not as good but still it will point to winning team. Unfortunately I don't have my lines record in finals games with series tied 2-2. The only spot I don't have. Since 94 there have been 11 teams tied 2-2 the winner of Game 5 has won series 8 times. All 3 losing teams played in the old 2-3-2 format which meant both games 6 & 7 were at home. And opp had 3 of 5 games at home, hence the 3-2 lead. But in game 5's be it 2-2 or 3-1 the one consistent is back teams off SU wins. Teams off losses are around 50% ATS. Teams off SU wins are above 65% From some reason I don't have the past 6 or 7 years I stop logging that info. Regardless pretty much everything wants to point to OKC. Play has to be on OKC.
This is a pretty simple query:
PO = 1 and W and round = 4
SU: 128-0 (11.2, 100.0%)
ATS: 111-12-5 (9.4,90.2%) avg line = -1.83 (Obviously a lot of dogs win SU.)
In the playoffs finals (that's round 4), teams that win SU win by an avg margin of 11.2 points and cover by an average of 9.4 points. The outright winners cover 90.2% of the games.
What can we expect from a huge favorite? I looked at OKC and since I did not want to query for only games at -9.5, I used a line band of -7 to -12:
PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 (SU 16-6, 72.7%) (ATS 9-10-3, 47.4%)
If we assume that the HF wins 100% of the games:
PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 and W
SU: 16-0 (11.2,100.0%)
ATS: 9-4-3 (2.2,69.2%) avg line = -8.97
That average ats margin of only 2.2 points does not provide much confidence even though 69.2% is quite appealing.
Good luck to TC and his many tailers.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate. From 2008 to 2015 I broke down all finals games some years back. Of 47 games only 6 did the losing team cover the spread, could of been a push or a few. I don't have more recent data but most likely it will be similar. Maybe not as good but still it will point to winning team. Unfortunately I don't have my lines record in finals games with series tied 2-2. The only spot I don't have. Since 94 there have been 11 teams tied 2-2 the winner of Game 5 has won series 8 times. All 3 losing teams played in the old 2-3-2 format which meant both games 6 & 7 were at home. And opp had 3 of 5 games at home, hence the 3-2 lead. But in game 5's be it 2-2 or 3-1 the one consistent is back teams off SU wins. Teams off losses are around 50% ATS. Teams off SU wins are above 65% From some reason I don't have the past 6 or 7 years I stop logging that info. Regardless pretty much everything wants to point to OKC. Play has to be on OKC.
This is a pretty simple query:
PO = 1 and W and round = 4
SU: 128-0 (11.2, 100.0%)
ATS: 111-12-5 (9.4,90.2%) avg line = -1.83 (Obviously a lot of dogs win SU.)
In the playoffs finals (that's round 4), teams that win SU win by an avg margin of 11.2 points and cover by an average of 9.4 points. The outright winners cover 90.2% of the games.
What can we expect from a huge favorite? I looked at OKC and since I did not want to query for only games at -9.5, I used a line band of -7 to -12:
PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 (SU 16-6, 72.7%) (ATS 9-10-3, 47.4%)
If we assume that the HF wins 100% of the games:
PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 and W
SU: 16-0 (11.2,100.0%)
ATS: 9-4-3 (2.2,69.2%) avg line = -8.97
That average ats margin of only 2.2 points does not provide much confidence even though 69.2% is quite appealing.
OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units
I need OKC to win the next two games to cash my OKC -1.5 games series bet. Unfortunately I bet early and had to lay -250, so naturally I envy you.
There certainly is a large enough talent gap to expect OKC to win the next two games. OKC is -380 for tomorrow's game per Scores and Odds and S&O had OKC -238 on the road Friday.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units
I need OKC to win the next two games to cash my OKC -1.5 games series bet. Unfortunately I bet early and had to lay -250, so naturally I envy you.
There certainly is a large enough talent gap to expect OKC to win the next two games. OKC is -380 for tomorrow's game per Scores and Odds and S&O had OKC -238 on the road Friday.
Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's.
Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value.
Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's.
Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate. I some how feel Indiana is a better team even though I am on them all 4 games for this series. I think OKC got the miracle cover on GAME-4. Indiana has better and deeper bench. I am surprise that the book is giving Indiana +10 for Game-5 Benedict Mathurin will be the difference in Game-5. No one on the OKC team can really guard him. I am surprise that Rick Carlisle did not turn him lose the last game.
Pacers are playing very well together with alot of confidence but I'd question losing that game 4 like they did whether that breaks the sense of invincibility they had to win all these close games and make big comebacks..............
Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate. I some how feel Indiana is a better team even though I am on them all 4 games for this series. I think OKC got the miracle cover on GAME-4. Indiana has better and deeper bench. I am surprise that the book is giving Indiana +10 for Game-5 Benedict Mathurin will be the difference in Game-5. No one on the OKC team can really guard him. I am surprise that Rick Carlisle did not turn him lose the last game.
Pacers are playing very well together with alot of confidence but I'd question losing that game 4 like they did whether that breaks the sense of invincibility they had to win all these close games and make big comebacks..............
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate. From 2008 to 2015 I broke down all finals games some years back. Of 47 games only 6 did the losing team cover the spread, could of been a push or a few. I don't have more recent data but most likely it will be similar. Maybe not as good but still it will point to winning team. Unfortunately I don't have my lines record in finals games with series tied 2-2. The only spot I don't have. Since 94 there have been 11 teams tied 2-2 the winner of Game 5 has won series 8 times. All 3 losing teams played in the old 2-3-2 format which meant both games 6 & 7 were at home. And opp had 3 of 5 games at home, hence the 3-2 lead. But in game 5's be it 2-2 or 3-1 the one consistent is back teams off SU wins. Teams off losses are around 50% ATS. Teams off SU wins are above 65% From some reason I don't have the past 6 or 7 years I stop logging that info. Regardless pretty much everything wants to point to OKC. Play has to be on OKC. This is a pretty simple query: PO = 1 and W and round = 4 SU: 128-0 (11.2, 100.0%) ATS: 111-12-5 (9.4,90.2%) avg line = -1.83 (Obviously a lot of dogs win SU.) In the playoffs finals (that's round 4), teams that win SU win by an avg margin of 11.2 points and cover by an average of 9.4 points. The outright winners cover 90.2% of the games. What can we expect from a huge favorite? I looked at OKC and since I did not want to query for only games at -9.5, I used a line band of -7 to -12: PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 (SU 16-6, 72.7%) (ATS 9-10-3, 47.4%) If we assume that the HF wins 100% of the games: PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 and W SU: 16-0 (11.2,100.0%) ATS: 9-4-3 (2.2,69.2%) avg line = -8.97 That average ats margin of only 2.2 points does not provide much confidence even though 69.2% is quite appealing. Good luck to TC and his many tailers.
Very cool info dog ................
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Spot favors OKC as the clearly better team, with the series tied 2-2 probabilities say the team to win the series should win game 5. winning teams in the finals cover at a high rate. From 2008 to 2015 I broke down all finals games some years back. Of 47 games only 6 did the losing team cover the spread, could of been a push or a few. I don't have more recent data but most likely it will be similar. Maybe not as good but still it will point to winning team. Unfortunately I don't have my lines record in finals games with series tied 2-2. The only spot I don't have. Since 94 there have been 11 teams tied 2-2 the winner of Game 5 has won series 8 times. All 3 losing teams played in the old 2-3-2 format which meant both games 6 & 7 were at home. And opp had 3 of 5 games at home, hence the 3-2 lead. But in game 5's be it 2-2 or 3-1 the one consistent is back teams off SU wins. Teams off losses are around 50% ATS. Teams off SU wins are above 65% From some reason I don't have the past 6 or 7 years I stop logging that info. Regardless pretty much everything wants to point to OKC. Play has to be on OKC. This is a pretty simple query: PO = 1 and W and round = 4 SU: 128-0 (11.2, 100.0%) ATS: 111-12-5 (9.4,90.2%) avg line = -1.83 (Obviously a lot of dogs win SU.) In the playoffs finals (that's round 4), teams that win SU win by an avg margin of 11.2 points and cover by an average of 9.4 points. The outright winners cover 90.2% of the games. What can we expect from a huge favorite? I looked at OKC and since I did not want to query for only games at -9.5, I used a line band of -7 to -12: PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 (SU 16-6, 72.7%) (ATS 9-10-3, 47.4%) If we assume that the HF wins 100% of the games: PO = 1 and round = 4 and HF and -6.7 > line > -12.2 and W SU: 16-0 (11.2,100.0%) ATS: 9-4-3 (2.2,69.2%) avg line = -8.97 That average ats margin of only 2.2 points does not provide much confidence even though 69.2% is quite appealing. Good luck to TC and his many tailers.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units I need OKC to win the next two games to cash my OKC -1.5 games series bet. Unfortunately I bet early and had to lay -250, so naturally I envy you. There certainly is a large enough talent gap to expect OKC to win the next two games. OKC is -380 for tomorrow's game per Scores and Odds and S&O had OKC -238 on the road Friday.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units I need OKC to win the next two games to cash my OKC -1.5 games series bet. Unfortunately I bet early and had to lay -250, so naturally I envy you. There certainly is a large enough talent gap to expect OKC to win the next two games. OKC is -380 for tomorrow's game per Scores and Odds and S&O had OKC -238 on the road Friday.
Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value.
Do you know the 5 teams ? ..............
I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games.
Alot depends on all the other things teams do.
OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle.
I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value.
Do you know the 5 teams ? ..............
I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games.
Alot depends on all the other things teams do.
OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that.
Actually, this query's SDQL is simple and could be guessed by many people with only a superficial knowledge of Sports Data Query Language:
PO = 1 and AF and margin > 2.5 and TPP < 20.5
In the PlayOffs, Away Favorites that win by a margin of at least 3 points shoot less than 20.5 Three Point Percentage.
You can copy and post the query at gimmethedog.com after clicking on the NBA pulldown link. For some reason the box score links are not working, but you will have the dates for those 5 games, the two oldest of which are from the 2003 season.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that.
Actually, this query's SDQL is simple and could be guessed by many people with only a superficial knowledge of Sports Data Query Language:
PO = 1 and AF and margin > 2.5 and TPP < 20.5
In the PlayOffs, Away Favorites that win by a margin of at least 3 points shoot less than 20.5 Three Point Percentage.
You can copy and post the query at gimmethedog.com after clicking on the NBA pulldown link. For some reason the box score links are not working, but you will have the dates for those 5 games, the two oldest of which are from the 2003 season.
OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units
Didnt' your post directly above this one suggest a last second prop bet? Because clearly if OKC were to cover there is no point in even putting a penny on the prop bet. I'm just stating from your angle. Personally I think Indiana keeps it close but loses outright so I wasn't mad at those darts for buzzer beater.
Good luck either way, at least we know the series doesn't end tonight
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units
Didnt' your post directly above this one suggest a last second prop bet? Because clearly if OKC were to cover there is no point in even putting a penny on the prop bet. I'm just stating from your angle. Personally I think Indiana keeps it close but loses outright so I wasn't mad at those darts for buzzer beater.
Good luck either way, at least we know the series doesn't end tonight
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that.
The other five teams must have done something(s) to overcome such poor 3PT %, but some things that only happen 2% of the time are not predictive; they just provide an explanation for this outlier.
I do expect IND to improve in some other area(s) of their DEF tonight, so I did pass. So many queries favor OKC SU, so I will be shocked if IND wins SU and kills my series bet.
Good luck.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that.
The other five teams must have done something(s) to overcome such poor 3PT %, but some things that only happen 2% of the time are not predictive; they just provide an explanation for this outlier.
I do expect IND to improve in some other area(s) of their DEF tonight, so I did pass. So many queries favor OKC SU, so I will be shocked if IND wins SU and kills my series bet.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that. Actually, this query's SDQL is simple and could be guessed by many people with only a superficial knowledge of Sports Data Query Language: PO = 1 and AF and margin > 2.5 and TPP < 20.5 In the PlayOffs, Away Favorites that win by a margin of at least 3 points shoot less than 20.5 Three Point Percentage. You can copy and post the query at gimmethedog.com after clicking on the NBA pulldown link. For some reason the box score links are not working, but you will have the dates for those 5 games, the two oldest of which are from the 2003 season.
I should have stressed that only occurred 5 times out of 250 games.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that. Actually, this query's SDQL is simple and could be guessed by many people with only a superficial knowledge of Sports Data Query Language: PO = 1 and AF and margin > 2.5 and TPP < 20.5 In the PlayOffs, Away Favorites that win by a margin of at least 3 points shoot less than 20.5 Three Point Percentage. You can copy and post the query at gimmethedog.com after clicking on the NBA pulldown link. For some reason the box score links are not working, but you will have the dates for those 5 games, the two oldest of which are from the 2003 season.
I should have stressed that only occurred 5 times out of 250 games.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units Didnt' your post directly above this one suggest a last second prop bet? Because clearly if OKC were to cover there is no point in even putting a penny on the prop bet. I'm just stating from your angle. Personally I think Indiana keeps it close but loses outright so I wasn't mad at those darts for buzzer beater. Good luck either way, at least we know the series doesn't end tonight
That play is at any point in the series. Does not have to be game 5............. .....
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: OKC to win series 4-2 (+105) over Pacers--- .5 units OKC -9 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units Didnt' your post directly above this one suggest a last second prop bet? Because clearly if OKC were to cover there is no point in even putting a penny on the prop bet. I'm just stating from your angle. Personally I think Indiana keeps it close but loses outright so I wasn't mad at those darts for buzzer beater. Good luck either way, at least we know the series doesn't end tonight
That play is at any point in the series. Does not have to be game 5............. .....
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that. Actually, this query's SDQL is simple and could be guessed by many people with only a superficial knowledge of Sports Data Query Language: PO = 1 and AF and margin > 2.5 and TPP < 20.5 In the PlayOffs, Away Favorites that win by a margin of at least 3 points shoot less than 20.5 Three Point Percentage. You can copy and post the query at gimmethedog.com after clicking on the NBA pulldown link. For some reason the box score links are not working, but you will have the dates for those 5 games, the two oldest of which are from the 2003 season.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Game 4 was a huge outlier. There at 250 games in the Sports Database wherein road favorites won by at least 3 points. In only 5 games (2%) did the winning team shoot less than 20.5% on 3PT FGA's. Naturally a sample size of 5 games provides no predictive value. Do you know the 5 teams ? .............. I will run the numbers and check shooting efficiency margin in those games. Alot depends on all the other things teams do. OKC won FT battle pretty large and they won TO's, and FG% by decent amount then on top of that they won rebound battle. I doubt any of those other 5 teams did that. Actually, this query's SDQL is simple and could be guessed by many people with only a superficial knowledge of Sports Data Query Language: PO = 1 and AF and margin > 2.5 and TPP < 20.5 In the PlayOffs, Away Favorites that win by a margin of at least 3 points shoot less than 20.5 Three Point Percentage. You can copy and post the query at gimmethedog.com after clicking on the NBA pulldown link. For some reason the box score links are not working, but you will have the dates for those 5 games, the two oldest of which are from the 2003 season.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Game 6 ........... OKC -4 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units What a fantastic line! It's currently OKC -6.5 at Heritage. Good luck. Go OKC!
Yes I got that early in the morning. I haven't looked into the game 6 yet but I do side with OKC winning closeout game 6 SU at the time.
But having a chance to grab the line at this level I couldn't pass up.
Thus far I haven't had the line come into play in any game I've been on in the playoffs. That is kind of rare.
And that is why I bought the half pt in games recently as I did here getting the 4.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Game 6 ........... OKC -4 (-120) over Pacers --- 1.2 units What a fantastic line! It's currently OKC -6.5 at Heritage. Good luck. Go OKC!
Yes I got that early in the morning. I haven't looked into the game 6 yet but I do side with OKC winning closeout game 6 SU at the time.
But having a chance to grab the line at this level I couldn't pass up.
Thus far I haven't had the line come into play in any game I've been on in the playoffs. That is kind of rare.
And that is why I bought the half pt in games recently as I did here getting the 4.
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