Posted:
#51
Random thoughts:
Streaks "Magic numbers"...
Depending on the season the "magic number" is either 7 or 8 when most streaks (C, NC, ov, un) end...I can remember seasons where the majority of the streaks ended at 7, and other years where the majority of the streaks ended at 8...So far, nothing has gone above 7 yet this year...MEMP just ended a NC7 Friday night...But several streaks are in play, including a few 7's...Only one Totals streak has hit 7, although PORT is on a 7-0-1 to the Under currently...
CLE -- C7
TOR -- NC7
DEN -- ov7
MIN -- NC6
Speaking of streaks of 7, my #1 totals have now won 7 straight and I'll be honest, most of my #1 winning streaks end at 7...
Cle/Char -- Cavs best ATS team in the league and they have covered 7 straight...Covered 10 of 11, also...CLE blowing teams out so badly right now, that they have had 5 straight Unders...CHAR had been a stone Under team, but with J-Rich back, the Overs are coming, 3 straight and 4 of 5 Over...Would be VERY hard for me to take this one Over, though...Larry Brown knows he cannot win a shoot-out here, look for him to slow it down...Schedule-makers kind to both of these teams thus far as CLE has had just 4 bk-2-bk situations all season and CHAR has (incredibly) had just 2 to this point...CLE 3-1 ATS in back-enders but 2-0 ATS when they and their opponent are both in back-enders, while both of CHAR's back-enders have been played when they and their opponent are both in back-enders, and the Bobcats are 1-1 ATS...CLE 3-1 to the Under in their back-enders and CHAR 2-0 to the Under in their back-enders...
NJ/Phi -- no line because Elton brand is a game-time decision with the hammy, but when the line does comes out, regardless of whether EB plays or not, I like NJ...Philly in a let-down spot off the big 4Q last night for a come-from-behind win at DET...NJ has covered 4 straight back-enders, winning all 4 games (3 of them on the Road)...Philly 2-4 ATS in back-enders, 1-1 ATS when them and their opponent are both bk-2-bk and NJ is 2-1 ATS in that same situational spot...NJ 4 straight Overs in their back-enders and 4-1 overall to the Over and Philly 3-2-1 to the Over in their back-enders...Philly also playing their 4th game in 5 nights and since they are at Home, the "default" pick goes to NJ here...
OKC/Mia -- OKC has covered 4 in a row and 6 of 7 now after a NC6...First game back off a 5-game road trip for MIA...Heat 2-0 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not this season...OKC 4-2 ATS and 4-2 to the Over in back-enders...
LAC/Min -- Well, the Clips helped MEMP end their NC7 last night, so can they help Minny end their NC6 tonight??...Very, very rare to see something like this transpire, but I am too tired to dig through my database to see if this has ever happened before and if so, what were the results on the back-ender or next time out for the Clippers situation here?...LAC also a 4-in-5 so they are the "default" pick in this situation, but I don't know if I like them, as I see Minny seeing the Clips the same way MEMP saw them last night at Home: as a team that needs a win and they have the perfect opponent to get from...Clips 1-2 ATS and 2-1to the Over in back-enders and Minny 2-2 ATS and 3-1 to the Under in back-enders this season...
Memp/NO -- This h2h series has gone Over 10 straight games, speaking of streaks...MEMP obviously a big-time chart-play for me here...NO has won 10 of 11 SU (7-4 ATS) and MEMP has covered 4 of the last 6...Total just 194.5 and to be frank, it looks low, but the pace of the Clips/Grizz game last night was ridiculously SLOW, with just 147 shots and 33 FTs...NO 1-2 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not (but 0-2 ATS at Home), 2-1 to the Over in those spots, while MEMP is 1-3 ATS and 3-1 to the Over in back-enders this season...
GS/SA -- Any total below 210 with GS looks like a gift right now...Last 3 totals 263, 259 (OT) and 243...We all know SA has been an Under team the past few years, yet these 2 h2h are Over 7 of their last 8...GS WAY Over their last 2 back-enders...I think the Spurs may kill them here...Only 1 home game in their last 7 and now at SA...Spurs rested, but 0-2 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not...GS 2-1 ATS in back-enders...GS shot 54% from the floor last night, so I wondered about a let-down, shooting-wise, but checked last season with all games where they shot 53 or 54% and higher and they went Over in almost every game next time out...
Atl/Dal -- no line...no opinions...
Was/Chi -- Wiz a 4 of 5 and they are the default pick...have covered 3 straight...Wiz 2-2 ATS & 3-1 to the Under in back-enders this season...These 2 teams have gone Under 5 straight h2h...CHI 0-3-2 to the Under last 5 overall (in regulation)...
Utah/Phoe -- Utah 4 of 5 and the default pick...1-4 ATS in back-enders this season though (3-2 to the Under)...Phoe 2-2 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not...Suns have lost 4 straight and are reeling...Went Over all 4 of those losses...Utah Suddenly Under 4 in a row after being Over 8 of 9...Revenge game here for PHOE from an 11/17 loss at Utah...
Den/Sec -- Nuggets 7 straight Overs...Just got spanked at Home by SA on national TV last time out...SAC should be well-rested for this one, just their 2nd game in 7 days...They have lost 7 straight...These teams have gone Over 4 of their last 5 h2h...
Streaks "Magic numbers"...
Depending on the season the "magic number" is either 7 or 8 when most streaks (C, NC, ov, un) end...I can remember seasons where the majority of the streaks ended at 7, and other years where the majority of the streaks ended at 8...So far, nothing has gone above 7 yet this year...MEMP just ended a NC7 Friday night...But several streaks are in play, including a few 7's...Only one Totals streak has hit 7, although PORT is on a 7-0-1 to the Under currently...
CLE -- C7
TOR -- NC7
DEN -- ov7
MIN -- NC6
Speaking of streaks of 7, my #1 totals have now won 7 straight and I'll be honest, most of my #1 winning streaks end at 7...
Cle/Char -- Cavs best ATS team in the league and they have covered 7 straight...Covered 10 of 11, also...CLE blowing teams out so badly right now, that they have had 5 straight Unders...CHAR had been a stone Under team, but with J-Rich back, the Overs are coming, 3 straight and 4 of 5 Over...Would be VERY hard for me to take this one Over, though...Larry Brown knows he cannot win a shoot-out here, look for him to slow it down...Schedule-makers kind to both of these teams thus far as CLE has had just 4 bk-2-bk situations all season and CHAR has (incredibly) had just 2 to this point...CLE 3-1 ATS in back-enders but 2-0 ATS when they and their opponent are both in back-enders, while both of CHAR's back-enders have been played when they and their opponent are both in back-enders, and the Bobcats are 1-1 ATS...CLE 3-1 to the Under in their back-enders and CHAR 2-0 to the Under in their back-enders...
NJ/Phi -- no line because Elton brand is a game-time decision with the hammy, but when the line does comes out, regardless of whether EB plays or not, I like NJ...Philly in a let-down spot off the big 4Q last night for a come-from-behind win at DET...NJ has covered 4 straight back-enders, winning all 4 games (3 of them on the Road)...Philly 2-4 ATS in back-enders, 1-1 ATS when them and their opponent are both bk-2-bk and NJ is 2-1 ATS in that same situational spot...NJ 4 straight Overs in their back-enders and 4-1 overall to the Over and Philly 3-2-1 to the Over in their back-enders...Philly also playing their 4th game in 5 nights and since they are at Home, the "default" pick goes to NJ here...
OKC/Mia -- OKC has covered 4 in a row and 6 of 7 now after a NC6...First game back off a 5-game road trip for MIA...Heat 2-0 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not this season...OKC 4-2 ATS and 4-2 to the Over in back-enders...
LAC/Min -- Well, the Clips helped MEMP end their NC7 last night, so can they help Minny end their NC6 tonight??...Very, very rare to see something like this transpire, but I am too tired to dig through my database to see if this has ever happened before and if so, what were the results on the back-ender or next time out for the Clippers situation here?...LAC also a 4-in-5 so they are the "default" pick in this situation, but I don't know if I like them, as I see Minny seeing the Clips the same way MEMP saw them last night at Home: as a team that needs a win and they have the perfect opponent to get from...Clips 1-2 ATS and 2-1to the Over in back-enders and Minny 2-2 ATS and 3-1 to the Under in back-enders this season...
Memp/NO -- This h2h series has gone Over 10 straight games, speaking of streaks...MEMP obviously a big-time chart-play for me here...NO has won 10 of 11 SU (7-4 ATS) and MEMP has covered 4 of the last 6...Total just 194.5 and to be frank, it looks low, but the pace of the Clips/Grizz game last night was ridiculously SLOW, with just 147 shots and 33 FTs...NO 1-2 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not (but 0-2 ATS at Home), 2-1 to the Over in those spots, while MEMP is 1-3 ATS and 3-1 to the Over in back-enders this season...
GS/SA -- Any total below 210 with GS looks like a gift right now...Last 3 totals 263, 259 (OT) and 243...We all know SA has been an Under team the past few years, yet these 2 h2h are Over 7 of their last 8...GS WAY Over their last 2 back-enders...I think the Spurs may kill them here...Only 1 home game in their last 7 and now at SA...Spurs rested, but 0-2 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not...GS 2-1 ATS in back-enders...GS shot 54% from the floor last night, so I wondered about a let-down, shooting-wise, but checked last season with all games where they shot 53 or 54% and higher and they went Over in almost every game next time out...
Atl/Dal -- no line...no opinions...
Was/Chi -- Wiz a 4 of 5 and they are the default pick...have covered 3 straight...Wiz 2-2 ATS & 3-1 to the Under in back-enders this season...These 2 teams have gone Under 5 straight h2h...CHI 0-3-2 to the Under last 5 overall (in regulation)...
Utah/Phoe -- Utah 4 of 5 and the default pick...1-4 ATS in back-enders this season though (3-2 to the Under)...Phoe 2-2 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not...Suns have lost 4 straight and are reeling...Went Over all 4 of those losses...Utah Suddenly Under 4 in a row after being Over 8 of 9...Revenge game here for PHOE from an 11/17 loss at Utah...
Den/Sec -- Nuggets 7 straight Overs...Just got spanked at Home by SA on national TV last time out...SAC should be well-rested for this one, just their 2nd game in 7 days...They have lost 7 straight...These teams have gone Over 4 of their last 5 h2h...
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.....and i had them! 
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