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*** Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks ***

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
That being said I live in Dallas and I don't trust the Mavs, the better bet is the over, EVERY single game where the MAVS are rested the put up points no matter who the opponent is
 
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Posted: #27
Bad spot for the Heat with OKC coming up. 
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by KiefferJDs1:

Not watching the games is a pivotal mistake.   As much as watching them makes you sweat because of the money on them,  the more you watch, the more you know.  Seeing a boxscore doesnt tell you anything about the team chemistry, or how the teams 'actually' played...    Watching highlights is no way to base a decision on certain players.    Watch as many games as you can, regardless if you have money on it or not, and think about the game, dont just 'watch' it. 


He is up almost 60 Units and was + money both the previous 2 NFL seasons. Looks to me like the mistake is being made by you by not trusting a guy who is up over 100 units in the last couple years
 
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Posted: #29
Good Luck LC.. I like a couple of those myself


 
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Posted: #30
@ LeagueCapper

Nice record unlike mine but I think you're going to lose on both Dallas and Denver tonight. GL even though I want Miami and Phoenix to come through.
 
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Posted: #31
I like them all but DENVER ..CANT PUT LOOT ON THE NUGGETS...Knicks . Mavs .wizards r my 3 peat..
 
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Posted: #32

LeagueCapper,

Why do you choose to parlay with a team that is not one of your larger unit plays?  Why not Suns and Mavs?  Just curious. 

BOL. 

 
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Posted: #33

^Nevermind.  Saw that it was a teaser.  But, why not tease with your 2 stronger unit plays?  Sorry for the confusion. 

 
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Posted: #34
Ahhhhh..I'm a dope. 
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Slick100:

^Nevermind.  Saw that it was a teaser.  But, why not tease with your 2 stronger unit plays?  Sorry for the confusion. 

I am teasing my two stronger plays, Mavericks and Nuggets. Either way it's all about value. The best spreads to tease are +2/+3 or -6/-7 as you get the most value added. I didn't even think to tease the Knicks from +5.5 to +10.5 as it's not as much value being added.

 
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Posted: #36

 Great calls.

MAVS

Knicks

Nuggets

 

Ya'll fade and will LOSE !

 
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Posted: #37
Lebron's interview scared me a bit over here, although it's a good spot to back the Mavs.

He said its time to get back into heat mode for the second half of the season.

Is DWade playing 100%? Is that a factor into your picks every night?
 
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Posted: #38
would anyone be able to share, is leaguecapper up units basically every month?  Was January an aberration or is he that good? 
 
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Posted: #39
3 picks and a tease?!? I can't remember the last time I saw so many games in your thread.

Will strongly consider the Mavs based on this
 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by Quone:

would anyone be able to share, is leaguecapper up units basically every month?  Was January an aberration or is he that good? 

 

HES GOOD. 5u Pod 10-2 (both lost to clip show)

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Mason525:

IMO it's not watching that's the issue, it's listening. I don't like to let the announcers opinion's sink in.... often will put a game on mute and crank up the tunes.



I agree 100%. Listening to the homers nonsense is something that I also avoid.
 
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Posted: #42
Good Luck tonight..........LC.
 
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Posted: #43
buddy
 
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Posted: #44
Good luck buddy
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by TooHigh2WonderWhy:

Lebron's interview scared me a bit over here, although it's a good spot to back the Mavs.

He said its time to get back into heat mode for the second half of the season.

Is DWade playing 100%? Is that a factor into your picks every night?

Everyone thinks the Heat will turn it on after the all-star break but I don't see why they would. It's apparent there in cruise control this year to remain healthy for the playoffs. Not sure why that would change starting now
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

3 picks and a tease?!? I can't remember the last time I saw so many games in your thread.

Will strongly consider the Mavs based on this

Me either to be honest, should go back to 1-2 plays a day after today though
 
MVP
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Posted: #47
LC, one site shows public money is 70 % on the Suns and 80% on the Heat but the lines have not really moved at all. Is this what you mean by Vegas gambling on certain games? The Suns game is real test of your system (BTW) as I would never think of betting on a team with almost no PG guards (which is the other teams strength) and where the other team (the Suns) have dominated head to head.
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by KiefferJDs1:

Not watching the games is a pivotal mistake.   As much as watching them makes you sweat because of the money on them,  the more you watch, the more you know.  Seeing a boxscore doesnt tell you anything about the team chemistry, or how the teams 'actually' played...    Watching highlights is no way to base a decision on certain players.    Watch as many games as you can, regardless if you have money on it or not, and think about the game, dont just 'watch' it. 
The mistake with you're opinion is Sportsbetting has nothing to do with sports.Have a great day.
 
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Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

LC, one site shows public money is 70 % on the Suns and 80% on the Heat but the lines have not really moved at all. Is this what you mean by Vegas gambling on certain games? The Suns game is real test of your system (BTW) as I would never think of betting on a team with almost no PG guards (which is the other teams strength) and where the other team (the Suns) have dominated head to head.

Heat line has moved a bit, some sites released -1.5 or -2. It's nearing -2.5 at some locations but it could have easily been adjusted more. Sharp money is on Mavs here which is reducing the line movement. An example of Vegas gambling off the top of my head was the Grizzlies Magic game a few days ago. Grizzlies were 2 point favorites against the Magic and after 85% of money was on them, books failed to adjust the spread. They kept the 2 point spread and welcomed more Grizzlies money all day long. They gambled on the Magic. The Magic were leading or tied with less than a minute left, it could have easily went either way. With these types of games, Vegas only needs to win 1 out of a handful of these to profit so even though the Magic lost, Vegas won in a sense.

 
 
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Posted: #50
Soo what u saying is Mavs cover but lose the game bud?

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