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#1
Kidd said it; go out and run to contain the effectiveness of the Big Three. Over is the play here.
This is the relevant part of the breakdown by BetExposure:
For the second time in 6 years Miami and Dallas meet in the finals. The first time the Heat won after being down 2-0 and the Mavs have not forgotten; they are 10-0 against Miami since then. Both teams got here the same way, they were both up 3-1 in the series, trailing by a significant margin in the 4th, and won it in the last minute.
Huge swings throughout the games will be very likely throughout this series also, as both teams can lock down an opponent pretty with stiffling defense, and both teams haver the guns to overcome any defense:
The Mavs and Heat have each held opponents under 90 points in the playoffs 7 times so far
For Miami LeBron James is averaging 26.0 points per game, Dwyane Wade 23.7 and Chris Bosh 18.6 in the playoffs.
For Dallas Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 28.4 ppg, Jason Terry 17.3 and Shawn Marion 11.2 in the playoffs, with Tyson Chandler adding 9.3 rebounds and Jason Kidd 7.7 assists per game.
Of the 92.9 points the Heat has averaged in the playoffs so far, James, Wade and Bosh have combined for an average 68.3 of those.
While Miami's big three are definitely younger and more athletic than anything Dallas can come up with, Nowitzki's supporting cast of Terry, Marion, Kidd, Chandler, J.J. Barea, DeShawn Stevenson and Peja Stojakovic is clearly deeper though.
Dallas enters the finals on a 16-2-1 ATS tear in their last 19 games, Miami is 13-5 ATS in their last 18.
The Mavericks are 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami, the road team is 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 games between the two.
All four meetings the last 2 seasons have gone Over, as have 8 of the last 11 meetings between the two in Miami.
The Over is 9-3 in the last 12 games with the Mavericks as a road underdog and 12-5-1 in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
The Over is also 7-0 in Miami's last 7 playoff games as a favorite, and 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Jason Kidd said one of the keys is to make that sure James and Wade don't freelance on defense. That's when they're at their best, creating havoc, making steals and flying to the rim with some amazing dunks.
"You've got to keep the tempo," Kidd said.
"We want to get out and run. I know they're going to be on the floor a lot, but we've got to make them play both ends. We've got to make them play defense. You've got to make them play on the other end and hopefully at some point -- they're younger -- that they'll get tired."
You can read the rest of the article (including a status update on Wade) here.
This is the relevant part of the breakdown by BetExposure:
For the second time in 6 years Miami and Dallas meet in the finals. The first time the Heat won after being down 2-0 and the Mavs have not forgotten; they are 10-0 against Miami since then. Both teams got here the same way, they were both up 3-1 in the series, trailing by a significant margin in the 4th, and won it in the last minute.
Huge swings throughout the games will be very likely throughout this series also, as both teams can lock down an opponent pretty with stiffling defense, and both teams haver the guns to overcome any defense:
The Mavs and Heat have each held opponents under 90 points in the playoffs 7 times so far
For Miami LeBron James is averaging 26.0 points per game, Dwyane Wade 23.7 and Chris Bosh 18.6 in the playoffs.
For Dallas Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 28.4 ppg, Jason Terry 17.3 and Shawn Marion 11.2 in the playoffs, with Tyson Chandler adding 9.3 rebounds and Jason Kidd 7.7 assists per game.
Of the 92.9 points the Heat has averaged in the playoffs so far, James, Wade and Bosh have combined for an average 68.3 of those.
While Miami's big three are definitely younger and more athletic than anything Dallas can come up with, Nowitzki's supporting cast of Terry, Marion, Kidd, Chandler, J.J. Barea, DeShawn Stevenson and Peja Stojakovic is clearly deeper though.
Dallas enters the finals on a 16-2-1 ATS tear in their last 19 games, Miami is 13-5 ATS in their last 18.
The Mavericks are 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami, the road team is 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 games between the two.
All four meetings the last 2 seasons have gone Over, as have 8 of the last 11 meetings between the two in Miami.
The Over is 9-3 in the last 12 games with the Mavericks as a road underdog and 12-5-1 in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
The Over is also 7-0 in Miami's last 7 playoff games as a favorite, and 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Jason Kidd said one of the keys is to make that sure James and Wade don't freelance on defense. That's when they're at their best, creating havoc, making steals and flying to the rim with some amazing dunks.
"You've got to keep the tempo," Kidd said.
"We want to get out and run. I know they're going to be on the floor a lot, but we've got to make them play both ends. We've got to make them play defense. You've got to make them play on the other end and hopefully at some point -- they're younger -- that they'll get tired."
You can read the rest of the article (including a status update on Wade) here.
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