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HOLY #*%#, that's a lot of games!

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Posts: 98

tonydan

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 9304

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 5:17 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

Thanks Tony & Dan,

Much appreciate it. GL tonight fellas :)

LOL, JUST CALL ME TONY. I WISH I COULD CHANGE MY COVERS NAME. DAN IS THE FIRST 3 LETTERS OF MY LAST NAME. I GUESS I SHOULDA PICKED SOMETHING MORE CREATIVE. BTW WHAT YOU THINK ABOUT PORTLAND ML TONIGHT? GL BROTHER.

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Swoop

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2007

Posts: 4326

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 5:45 PM ET #52

Bodio... great night last night. Of course the only team I was on were the Magic

Any concern that the Pistons are 3-7 in their last 10 home games? I know they have the Timberpups coming in.. but the Pistons seem to be in disarray themselves.

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JMon

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 3071

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 5:47 PM ET #53

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

Yeah, I can't figure out why they were catching 3 points in this one. That's too many.

GL

Perhaps b/c Hou is on a b2b, 4in5, 3rdA situation.

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doliver517

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2009

Posts: 3083

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 5:53 PM ET #54

Awesome...I'm on Denver, Chicago, Detroit and New Orleans....I feel much better about my card now....GL to you tonight

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lacral

MVP

Joined: May, 2005

Posts: 16804

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 5:56 PM ET #55

GL buddy ! ! !

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Cavalash

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2011

Posts: 25

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 5:58 PM ET #56

Follow your plays Bodio ..Thanks

As far as the Houst game goes, I have done pretty well fading a team that wins as an underdog on the road then plays the next night on the road. The trend works well if you stay away from top tier teams.

Normally I would be on the Clip Joint by staying away after reading your post

GL

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SportsFreak69

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2008

Posts: 36843

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:04 PM ET #57

Best of Luck tonight

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illflipyaforeal

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 224

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:05 PM ET #58

Best of Luck man, you make ALOT of sence. Love reading. Keep it rolling

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mischkin04

Banned

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 1728

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:06 PM ET #59

Whats with the blinding colors?

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:10 PM ET #60

Quote Originally Posted by tuck321:

Against with Minn. Like your write ups up to a point but a poster is supposed to look at both sides of a game and not just present arguments favoring one side. Still like many of your arguments. BOL

So what's the 'other side' here?

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:11 PM ET #61

Quote Originally Posted by stingercofc:

Gl my man..will you be on any ncaa?

hey Stinger,

One ncaab play for today:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100994131

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:12 PM ET #62

Quote Originally Posted by tonydan:

LOL, JUST CALL ME TONY. I WISH I COULD CHANGE MY COVERS NAME. DAN IS THE FIRST 3 LETTERS OF MY LAST NAME. I GUESS I SHOULDA PICKED SOMETHING MORE CREATIVE. BTW WHAT YOU THINK ABOUT PORTLAND ML TONIGHT? GL BROTHER.

hehe....

Portland ML? Not for me. I'm passing on this team for the time being. See my write-up from last night: too many new pieces, Roy is out today, team needs time to 'jell'.

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:13 PM ET #63

Quote Originally Posted by Swoop:

Bodio... great night last night. Of course the only team I was on were the Magic

Any concern that the Pistons are 3-7 in their last 10 home games? I know they have the Timberpups coming in.. but the Pistons seem to be in disarray themselves.

They played well yesterday and Milwaukee is a tough defensive team. Minnesota is horrible defensively and I expect Hamilton and Co to 'light them up'. As bad as Pistons have been, Minnesota is even worse and this team is pathetic on the road.

GL buddy

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tonydan

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 9304

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:15 PM ET #64

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

hehe....

Portland ML? Not for me. I'm passing on this team for the time being. See my write-up from last night: too many new pieces, Roy is out today, team needs time to 'jell'.

TY BODIO, GL

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hofil

Captain

Joined: Mar, 2005

Posts: 9156

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:16 PM ET #65

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

2010-2011 NBA Record:
93 - 67 @ 58% for +19.3 Units

Wed, 03/02

#1: Chicago Bulls -3.5

Bulls are on fire right now going 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. The Hawks are 3-6 ATS in their last 9. This is Atlanta’s first home game after a long 7 game road-trip that ended with a loss @ Denver. Now they face a Chicago team that is holding their opponents to 80 ppg in their last 3. Not going to be easy for Atlanta, who are averaging 90 ppg on 43% from the field in their last 5. That being said, the key to this play is the following: Bulls are 5-1 ATS against ‘winning’ teams in their last 6 games. Hawks, on the other hand, are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games facing a ‘winning’ squad. (I’ve talked about this when I faded them 2 times in a row over the last couple of days). Now they get to face what might be the ‘hottest’ team in the league. Interestingly, their next 6 games are against ‘winning’ teams: CHI (today), OKC, NYK, LAL, @CHI, POR. Hmm…. I might ‘fade’ ‘em in all of these ;)

#2: San Antonio Spurs -9

I know the Spurs got smoked last night and are playing on a 2nd of a b2b, but that’s part of the reason for this play. In my opinion, this line is deflated due to how San Antonio looked last night. I have Spurs at -13 in this one and will gladly take 4 points of ‘value’. Cavs are dealing with their own major injury, to their best player in Jamison. No Mo Williams, no Jamison, no Baron Davis (he’s not ready). Where will the scoring come from? Spurs are 4-1 ATS after a blow-out loss this year and 6-2 ATS as a road favorite in this spread-range. None of their starters played more than 27 mins last night so I expect this team to be ready to play the WORST team in the league and get an easy cover tonight.

#3: Detroit Pistons -5

The Wolves are 4-25 (14%) on the road this year. At -5 point spread, whoever is backing them, is pretty much hoping for a 4 point loss. So why the heck is the majority of the public backing this pathetic Minny team? Surely they’re all thinking about the ‘supposed mutiny’ that is going on with the Pistons, but to me this is ‘old’ story already. Hamilton met with the coach, Dumars voices his support, and Rip finally played in yesterday’s game. Hamilton was rusty, but it should be much easier today against one of the worst defensive teams in the league. At the same time, Minny is becoming one of the worst offensive teams as well, averaging 94 ppg on 40% shooting in their last 5. Both teams are on a 2nd of b2b but Minnesota is actually playing their 3rd in 4 nights, while Detroit had 2 days off prior to their game @ Milwaukee yesterday. In addition, the Pistons have ‘revenge’ here and they’re 22-19 ATS in ‘revenge’ scenarios this season. Not great, but definitely an indication that this team takes these scenarios seriously. Pistons are 5-0-1 ATs in their last 6 as a home favorite in this spread-range and they’re 5-1 ATS in the last 6 playing with zero rest. The favorite is 9-4 ATS between these 2 teams and I see no reason why Pistons don’t cover this short # tonight.

#4: Denver Nuggets -6.5

Nuggz are one of the hottest teams right now going 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games and I see no reason not to back them at home in this ‘revenge’ scenario tonight. The Bobcats beat Denver in early December, 100-98 on their own home court. They shot 50% from the field and both Wallace and Tyrus Thomas combined for 36 points in that one. Neither will be available tonight. Stephen Jackson will have to pick up the slack in this one, but he only shot 36% from the field in the first meeting between the teams. Now in altitude, and having to face this deep Nuggz team that will be looking to ‘run-and-gun’, will make things even more difficult for Jackson and Co. The Nuggz have beaten Charlotte by an average margin of 13 ppg in their last 3 meetings here and are actually 5-1 ATS against them in the last 6 meetings at home. They are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games as a home favorite, and I like them to get a DD win tonight.

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Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

2010-2011 NBA Record:
93 - 67 @ 58% for +19.3 Units

Wed, 03/02

#1: Chicago Bulls -3.5

Bulls are on fire right now going 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. The Hawks are 3-6 ATS in their last 9. This is Atlanta’s first home game after a long 7 game road-trip that ended with a loss @ Denver. Now they face a Chicago team that is holding their opponents to 80 ppg in their last 3. Not going to be easy for Atlanta, who are averaging 90 ppg on 43% from the field in their last 5. That being said, the key to this play is the following: Bulls are 5-1 ATS against ‘winning’ teams in their last 6 games. Hawks, on the other hand, are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games facing a ‘winning’ squad. (I’ve talked about this when I faded them 2 times in a row over the last couple of days). Now they get to face what might be the ‘hottest’ team in the league. Interestingly, their next 6 games are against ‘winning’ teams: CHI (today), OKC, NYK, LAL, @CHI, POR. Hmm…. I might ‘fade’ ‘em in all of these ;)

#2: San Antonio Spurs -9

I know the Spurs got smoked last night and are playing on a 2nd of a b2b, but that’s part of the reason for this play. In my opinion, this line is deflated due to how San Antonio looked last night. I have Spurs at -13 in this one and will gladly take 4 points of ‘value’. Cavs are dealing with their own major injury, to their best player in Jamison. No Mo Williams, no Jamison, no Baron Davis (he’s not ready). Where will the scoring come from? Spurs are 4-1 ATS after a blow-out loss this year and 6-2 ATS as a road favorite in this spread-range. None of their starters played more than 27 mins last night so I expect this team to be ready to play the WORST team in the league and get an easy cover tonight.

#3: Detroit Pistons -5

The Wolves are 4-25 (14%) on the road this year. At -5 point spread, whoever is backing them, is pretty much hoping for a 4 point loss. So why the heck is the majority of the public backing this pathetic Minny team? Surely they’re all thinking about the ‘supposed mutiny’ that is going on with the Pistons, but to me this is ‘old’ story already. Hamilton met with the coach, Dumars voices his support, and Rip finally played in yesterday’s game. Hamilton was rusty, but it should be much easier today against one of the worst defensive teams in the league. At the same time, Minny is becoming one of the worst offensive teams as well, averaging 94 ppg on 40% shooting in their last 5. Both teams are on a 2nd of b2b but Minnesota is actually playing their 3rd in 4 nights, while Detroit had 2 days off prior to their game @ Milwaukee yesterday. In addition, the Pistons have ‘revenge’ here and they’re 22-19 ATS in ‘revenge’ scenarios this season. Not great, but definitely an indication that this team takes these scenarios seriously. Pistons are 5-0-1 ATs in their last 6 as a home favorite in this spread-range and they’re 5-1 ATS in the last 6 playing with zero rest. The favorite is 9-4 ATS between these 2 teams and I see no reason why Pistons don’t cover this short # tonight.

#4: Denver Nuggets -6.5

Nuggz are one of the hottest teams right now going 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games and I see no reason not to back them at home in this ‘revenge’ scenario tonight. The Bobcats beat Denver in early December, 100-98 on their own home court. They shot 50% from the field and both Wallace and Tyrus Thomas combined for 36 points in that one. Neither will be available tonight. Stephen Jackson will have to pick up the slack in this one, but he only shot 36% from the field in the first meeting between the teams. Now in altitude, and having to face this deep Nuggz team that will be looking to ‘run-and-gun’, will make things even more difficult for Jackson and Co. The Nuggz have beaten Charlotte by an average margin of 13 ppg in their last 3 meetings here and are actually 5-1 ATS against them in the last 6 meetings at home. They are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games as a home favorite, and I like them to get a DD win tonight.

bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:19 PM ET #66

Quote Originally Posted by JMon:

Perhaps b/c Hou is on a b2b, 4in5, 3rdA situation.

AHH...missed that.

Rockets are playing their 4th in 5 days eh? Well, yesterday's game was relatively 'easy' so I still think they're way under-valued.

Thanks for bringing that up to my attention. I still like the play but it's not #2 on my list anymore....

Bulls, Hornets, Pistons, Rockets, Spurs, Nuggz...GL

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Lar1212

All-Star

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 12908

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:23 PM ET #67

Love the first two especially... I'll probably play them both and maybe one other of yours.

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Mixelpic

Veteran

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 1460

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:24 PM ET #68

I am with you tonight Bodio

Maybe parlay some too

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Islandstyle

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 3033

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:27 PM ET #69

Good luck Bodio

Love the Pistons play!....I think Dumars might be suiting up tonight with all the players questionable....My POD for the day!

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BossmanLay

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 14

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:28 PM ET #70

Good luck Bodio!

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:35 PM ET #71

Quote Originally Posted by doliver517:

Awesome...I'm on Denver, Chicago, Detroit and New Orleans....I feel much better about my card now....GL to you tonight

gl buddy

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:36 PM ET #72

Quote Originally Posted by Cavalash:

Follow your plays Bodio ..Thanks

As far as the Houst game goes, I have done pretty well fading a team that wins as an underdog on the road then plays the next night on the road. The trend works well if you stay away from top tier teams.

Normally I would be on the Clip Joint by staying away after reading your post

GL

What's the record of the trend?

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:36 PM ET #73

Quote Originally Posted by SportsFreak69:

Best of Luck tonight

thanks brutha.. you too

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:37 PM ET #74

Quote Originally Posted by mischkin04:

Whats with the blinding colors?

To blind you! duh!

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Mar. 2, 2011 - 6:38 PM ET #75

Quote Originally Posted by Islandstyle:

Good luck Bodio

Love the Pistons play!....I think Dumars might be suiting up tonight with all the players questionable....My POD for the day!

hehe...that won't be bad. He'll show these young punks what it takes to be an NBA professional... GL buddy

Go Pistones

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HOLY #*%#, that's a lot of games!

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