So when you post picks is it arbitrary or do you because of certain action/lack of actions going on?
Just curious as I never saw this thread and was surprised to see you posting plays at all.
What I do to make my selections grants me a really high win rate. So sharing the picks can only be positive for myself and those that actually follow them.
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Quote Originally Posted by FiatLux4:
So when you post picks is it arbitrary or do you because of certain action/lack of actions going on?
Just curious as I never saw this thread and was surprised to see you posting plays at all.
What I do to make my selections grants me a really high win rate. So sharing the picks can only be positive for myself and those that actually follow them.
I typically use units....average play is 3 units.....I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak (with set limits that are NEVER disregarded). All depends on how my wins and losses are flowing. Never chase losses, ...always use Statistical money management. Works wonders over the long term. Even profitable on some losing streaks, that is, if done correctly.
Nba
Houston +2 (2 units)
Lakers -1.5 (2 units) - this play not confirmed yet, will confirm around 9:45pm
Ncaab
Seton hall +3 (1 unit)
I'll try to post as often as I can. If I disappear? It's not because I had a losing night. It's because I just don't have time to come on and post. I may also disappear during a win streak. Like I'm on now.
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Here's my slate for the day....
I typically use units....average play is 3 units.....I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak (with set limits that are NEVER disregarded). All depends on how my wins and losses are flowing. Never chase losses, ...always use Statistical money management. Works wonders over the long term. Even profitable on some losing streaks, that is, if done correctly.
Nba
Houston +2 (2 units)
Lakers -1.5 (2 units) - this play not confirmed yet, will confirm around 9:45pm
Ncaab
Seton hall +3 (1 unit)
I'll try to post as often as I can. If I disappear? It's not because I had a losing night. It's because I just don't have time to come on and post. I may also disappear during a win streak. Like I'm on now.
[Quote: Originally Posted by itsonnow1] Here's my slate for the day....
I typically use units....average play is 3 units.....I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak
Nba
Houston +2 (2 units)
Lakers -1.5 (2 units) - this play not confirmed yet, will confirm around 9:45pm
Ncaab
Seton hall +3 (1 unit)
.....I may also disappear during a win streak. Like I'm on now.
So average play is 3 units and you raise units on win streak and drop them on a losing streak. You say you are on a winning streak so shouldn't your units be higher than 3?
2, 2, and 1 unit plays today when your avg is 3 units suggests you either aren't confident in these plays or you are not following your own advice.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by itsonnow1] Here's my slate for the day....
I typically use units....average play is 3 units.....I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak
Nba
Houston +2 (2 units)
Lakers -1.5 (2 units) - this play not confirmed yet, will confirm around 9:45pm
Ncaab
Seton hall +3 (1 unit)
.....I may also disappear during a win streak. Like I'm on now.
So average play is 3 units and you raise units on win streak and drop them on a losing streak. You say you are on a winning streak so shouldn't your units be higher than 3?
2, 2, and 1 unit plays today when your avg is 3 units suggests you either aren't confident in these plays or you are not following your own advice.
I typically use units....average play is 3 units.....I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak
Nba
Houston +2 (2 units)
Lakers -1.5 (2 units) - this play not confirmed yet, will confirm around 9:45pm
Ncaab
Seton hall +3 (1 unit)
.....I may also disappear during a win streak. Like I'm on now.
So average play is 3 units and you raise units on win streak and drop them on a losing streak. You say you are on a winning streak so shouldn't your units be higher than 3?
2, 2, and 1 unit plays today when your avg is 3 units suggests you either aren't confident in these plays or you are not following your own advice.
-_-
If you're going to quote me on an attempt to make some sort of point, at least quote everything I say....
On me quoting myself....
I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak (with set limits that are NEVER disregarded). All depends on how my wins and losses are flowing
Key points you missed or intentionally omitted in your response...
"All depends on how my wins and losses are flowing"
"Increase a bit ona win streak "
"Average play is 3 units"
Average play does not mean every play will be 3 units
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Quote Originally Posted by TheBigOnion:
Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
Here's my slate for the day....
I typically use units....average play is 3 units.....I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak
Nba
Houston +2 (2 units)
Lakers -1.5 (2 units) - this play not confirmed yet, will confirm around 9:45pm
Ncaab
Seton hall +3 (1 unit)
.....I may also disappear during a win streak. Like I'm on now.
So average play is 3 units and you raise units on win streak and drop them on a losing streak. You say you are on a winning streak so shouldn't your units be higher than 3?
2, 2, and 1 unit plays today when your avg is 3 units suggests you either aren't confident in these plays or you are not following your own advice.
-_-
If you're going to quote me on an attempt to make some sort of point, at least quote everything I say....
On me quoting myself....
I drop the units on a losing streak, increase a bit on a win streak (with set limits that are NEVER disregarded). All depends on how my wins and losses are flowing
Key points you missed or intentionally omitted in your response...
"All depends on how my wins and losses are flowing"
"Increase a bit ona win streak "
"Average play is 3 units"
Average play does not mean every play will be 3 units
Looking to extend this win streak tomorrow. I will try my hardest to post my play. Problem is, my group usually doesn't have our play confirmed until an hour or so before the game, ...and tomorrow a real good friend of mine will be busy setting things up for the surprise valentine gifts we're giving our girl friends. :)
So if I don't make it to post my play, I apologize. I will have to take a few week break from covers altogether starting this weekend either way.
Nice going whoever followed me during this streak.
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Nice 12 point win with eky.
Looking to extend this win streak tomorrow. I will try my hardest to post my play. Problem is, my group usually doesn't have our play confirmed until an hour or so before the game, ...and tomorrow a real good friend of mine will be busy setting things up for the surprise valentine gifts we're giving our girl friends. :)
So if I don't make it to post my play, I apologize. I will have to take a few week break from covers altogether starting this weekend either way.
Nice going whoever followed me during this streak.
Looking to extend this win streak tomorrow. I will try my hardest to post my play. Problem is, my group usually doesn't have our play confirmed until an hour or so before the game, ...and tomorrow a real good friend of mine will be busy setting things up for the surprise valentine gifts we're giving our girl friends. :)
So if I don't make it to post my play, I apologize. I will have to take a few week break from covers altogether starting this weekend either way.
Nice going whoever followed me during this streak.
Genuine lol.
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Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
Nice 12 point win with eky.
Looking to extend this win streak tomorrow. I will try my hardest to post my play. Problem is, my group usually doesn't have our play confirmed until an hour or so before the game, ...and tomorrow a real good friend of mine will be busy setting things up for the surprise valentine gifts we're giving our girl friends. :)
So if I don't make it to post my play, I apologize. I will have to take a few week break from covers altogether starting this weekend either way.
Nice going whoever followed me during this streak.
Were you abused as a child? Did you lose a lot of money gambling and just can't stand to see someone win?
I'm not being sarcastic, I really want to know.
There is no other way to explain why you decided to respond to THAT particular post in this thread, THAT way.....the only explanation for it....is there is something wrong with you.
I hope things in your life get better! :)
Sincerely.
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Quote Originally Posted by El_Loco_Ade:
Genuine lol.
Is there something wrong with you?
Were you abused as a child? Did you lose a lot of money gambling and just can't stand to see someone win?
I'm not being sarcastic, I really want to know.
There is no other way to explain why you decided to respond to THAT particular post in this thread, THAT way.....the only explanation for it....is there is something wrong with you.
Thanks for the picks man,Noticed you play mainly NCCCAB,can i ask you why?Do you think there are more opportunities there instead of the nba?
Another thing...about the totals,do you use a program to make the picks?
I use a program I created for all my picks. Right now, most of my picks are ncaab. That's only because for this stretch of time, the only picks that are coming out through the filters I use are ncaab.
It's like this.....if I'm bobbing for apples and there are 20 green, 4 red, and 6 blue. More than likely, most times, I am going to come up with a green apple, simply because there are more green apples than every other color. You know? There just so happens to have been more ncaab games running than any other sport, so more opportunities to find a selection that makes it through the filters.
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Quote Originally Posted by PlayingTime11:
Thanks for the picks man,Noticed you play mainly NCCCAB,can i ask you why?Do you think there are more opportunities there instead of the nba?
Another thing...about the totals,do you use a program to make the picks?
I use a program I created for all my picks. Right now, most of my picks are ncaab. That's only because for this stretch of time, the only picks that are coming out through the filters I use are ncaab.
It's like this.....if I'm bobbing for apples and there are 20 green, 4 red, and 6 blue. More than likely, most times, I am going to come up with a green apple, simply because there are more green apples than every other color. You know? There just so happens to have been more ncaab games running than any other sport, so more opportunities to find a selection that makes it through the filters.
It's the same old story today...how can the bulls win /w butler?Problem is,65% of the public is on Cavs,and i dont even need to consut a site to know it,it's a perception that everyone has considering the strenght of the rosters,and the recent trends. Anyway butler was a key piece in this game...the only one who can guard lebron.
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It's the same old story today...how can the bulls win /w butler?Problem is,65% of the public is on Cavs,and i dont even need to consut a site to know it,it's a perception that everyone has considering the strenght of the rosters,and the recent trends. Anyway butler was a key piece in this game...the only one who can guard lebron.
This is purely personal opinionated analysis. The line with butler out, statistically should be a bit deeper than -2/+2. Public perception is all over the cavs, but the game may spread out further than perceived. Even with the cavs on a back to back.
With all that being said? I wouldn't bet this match up, right before the break, with the cavs on a back to back, and butler out. There is no edge. It is entirely a coin flip. Both the side and the total.
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This is purely personal opinionated analysis. The line with butler out, statistically should be a bit deeper than -2/+2. Public perception is all over the cavs, but the game may spread out further than perceived. Even with the cavs on a back to back.
With all that being said? I wouldn't bet this match up, right before the break, with the cavs on a back to back, and butler out. There is no edge. It is entirely a coin flip. Both the side and the total.