Hm... Pocono Discussion

Yes I will be on Logano this week

odds up @ 5dimes

 

Denny Hamlin   +300  
Kyle Busch   +500  
Jimmie Johnson   +500  
Kevin Harvick   +1100  
Jeff Gordon   +1100  
Clint Bowyer   +1300  
Tony Stewart   +1300  
Kurt Busch   +2000  
Jeff Burton   +2000  
Kasey Kahne   +2250  
Juan Pablo Montoya   +2250  
Jamie McMurray   +2250  
Carl Edwards   +2250  
Greg Biffle   +2250  
Mark Martin   +2700  
Matt Kenseth   +3300  
Dale Earnhardt Jr   +3800  
Joey Logano   +3800  
David Reutimann   +4400  
Ryan Newman   +4400  
Martin Truex Jr   +4800

Qualifying:

 

Qualifying Matchups - Sunoco Red Cross Pennsylvania 500 - Pocono Raceway - Long Pond, Pennsylvania - Speed
Fri 7/30  101 Kurt Busch (Qualifying)   -130         
12:00PM   102 Juan Pablo Montoya (Qualifying)    +100
        
Qualifying Matchups - Pennsylvania 500 - Pocono Raceway - Long Pond, Pennsylvania - Speed
Fri 7/30  103 Denny Hamlin (Qualifying)   -125         
12:00PM   104 Tony Stewart (Qualifying)    -105 
       
Fri 7/30  105 Kyle Busch (Qualifying)   -140         
12:00PM   106 Clint Bowyer (Qualifying)    +110
        
Fri 7/30  107 Kasey Kahne (Qualifying)   -125         
12:00PM   108 Ryan Newman (Qualifying)    -105
        
Fri 7/30  109 Kevin Harvick (Qualifying)   -115         
12:00PM   110 Jamie McMurray (Qualifying)    -115 
       
Fri 7/30  111 Greg Biffle (Qualifying)   -145         
12:00PM   112 Carl Edwards (Qualifying)    +115 
       
Fri 7/30  113 David Reutimann (Qualifying)   -125         
12:00PM   114 Martin Truex Jr (Qualifying)    -105 
       
Fri 7/30  115 Jimmie Johnson (Qualifying)   -140         
12:00PM   116 Jeff Gordon (Qualifying)       +110

Locked in Kurt, Edwards and Logano

Kyle @ +500 is laughable, the guy has run good here 1 time.......I repeat 1 time, and he is tied with JJ @ +500......

Nice value on Stewart @ 13-1....bowyer @ 13-1 is way too low.....I will wait till after he qualifies around mid pack and hit him when he gets to 25-1 or better.

I agree on Kyles odds WTF...

 

agree on Kurt & Logano

They are bad at +500. Especially when you see Stewart is at +1300. I think they're about right at +800 though.

Shooter, Books are definately going off the one race. He ran really good last time here. I think he won the pole the last race here and he and the 11 were the class of the field that day. I agree the odds are laughable but I  think the books know he is due and that a JGR car more than likely will win it this time. 

  

Shooter, I like your thinking on the 33 as he usually qualifies mid pack but I just went back and looked and unbelievable he qualified outside front row last time here.We may want to go ahead and hit the 13-1 now?

 

I feel like all these guys at +2000 and higher have a good shot this week. Especially if this thing comes down to fuel mileage as we have seen before.......OR RAIN!!!!!

 

I do agree with you and that scares me

I had a bad weekend for Racin last week Vegas.

Can't do nothing but get better!!!

yes mine was medicore at best

 

We will turn it around this week

lot of great value out there 

Tree, good point about the afteroon rain thou it doesn't look persistent at this time.Sunday: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 Locked in denny (+450 sptsbk), stewart and kurt

anyone see anything decent on qualifying?

 

May play Mcmurray over Harvick

normally Ill have 1 or 2 that jump out for me but not this week. If I force a play it will be Rowdy -140 over usually mid pack qualifier Bowyer.

[Quote: Originally Posted by Goggles-Pisano]

Tree, good point about the afteroon rain thou it doesn't look persistent at this time.Sunday: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 Locked in denny (+450 sptsbk), stewart and kurt

[/Quote

Thanks Googs.

Bol with Denny. I think +450 is about the best you'll see all week.

don't be surprised if Denny qualifies up front to see +200 or less, the books are a fuckin joke anymore with the lines they put out....thank god most of us has hit the newman, reutiti and mcmurray lines this year......Its almost pointless betting who the winner will be anymore.....yeah, we all know that Denny has run well here in the past, but come on, he is facing off agaisnt 42 other drivers, bad pit stop, tire goes down.....race is most likely over for him.Trucks and nationwide are even worse, considering the same drivers win pretty much every week......this season has been horrible for betting, may start just sticking with matchups and the high odd guys from here on out....If you can't parlay the low odds favorite with baseball, boxing, mma or something like that, its not even worth playing anymore.

I mean Johnson was +225 and Montoya was +300 for indy last week.....there were at least 10 other people who were 20-1 or less

You have to jump the lines as soon as they come out, If Kurt qualifies up front , that 20-1 will be more like 7-1 come race day.

 

 

I thought I always remembered Gordon outqualifying Johnson here.

shooter, i don't expect Kurt's line to stand up that high for long

 

thats what I was thinking

 

That means your taking the Biff