Atlanta Race Discussion

Odds up at Dimes 

 

Sprint Cup
Kobalt Tools 500
Fri 3/5  1:30PM

Jimmie Johnson       +550   
Jeff Gordon       +850   
Mark Martin       +850   
Kyle Busch       +1100   
Kevin Harvick       +1100   
Kurt Busch       +1600   
Jeff Burton       +1600   
Clint Bowyer       +1600   
Kasey Kahne       +1600   
Denny Hamlin       +1600   
Tony Stewart       +1600   
Carl Edwards       +1600   
Greg Biffle       +1600   
Juan Pablo Montoya       +1600   
Matt Kenseth       +2000   
Dale Earnhardt Jr       +2300   
Brian Vickers       +3300   
Joey Logano       +3300   
Ryan Newman       +4500  

Locked in thus far

Gordon @ +850

Harvick @ +1100

Jr @ +2300

Dodge swept here last year, with a ford and toyota the year before...2007 was the last yr a chevy won, with J.J. sweeping that year.

 

In the 20 races here since 2000, the race has been won from an outside starting spot of 11th......3 times.  so 85% of the time, you need to be starting in the top 11.

 

like the #2 #99 #24, #29

added the #2 @ 16-1

can't wait for the truck odds to come out,  I know they will have Kyle as the huge favorite at +275 or less, followed by Harvick, Horny, Bodine etc.......

shooter,

very true


i really like the 99 this week

16-17-99 and the field look good this wk

wow, you guys really think Carl does anything this week, haven't been too impressed with him thus far....not to mention his 20.8 avg. finish in the COT (he does have 1 win) doesn't make me like him anymore. Although he does have 2 top 5's in 4 starts....so he will either be really good , or really bad come sunday or so it seems. Will have to look into that play further, staying away from him for right now.

it's going to be tough for me to go against the 48 as he's made me $$ the past 2 weeks.

What do you think about adding a Top 3 play on Logano at +900?

Absolutely going to play the #5 this week. Martin was pumped after the tire test at Atlanta.

Four NASCAR drivers - Carl Edwards, Sam Hornish, Jr., Mark Martin and Martin Truex, Jr. - assisted the Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. with tire testing at Atlanta Motor Speedway and their shared sentiment provided high praise for Goodyear's efforts to provide a quality tire compound for the 2010 Kobalt Tools 500.

 

totally forgot about this, thanks for the reminder yourpix

 

tough call there, Joey has been very good thus far, but he was absolutely terrible here both races last year finishing 30th and 22nd....Even he said in his interview after sundays race that he needed to run well here this sunday.

I was going to mention this also. Logano did not sound terribly confident about his chances for an excellent race. Instead he sort of adjusted the parameters of "excellent race" to be around the top 10 when it's all over.

In regards to the tire tests, we saw it a lot last year that the winner came out of the group of 4 drivers that tested at a track. With the limited amount of testing available on nascar sanctioned tracks, I think there is a lot of value in looking at these drivers.

I didn't realize Edwards was also one of those drivers. I'm going to take a closer look at him now, but I wasn't really leaning towards him before. However, I've been a Martin fan for a long time. When he gets excited like this it is usually for a good reason. If he unloads from the truck as one of the top 3 fastest cars, I don't see him finishing outside of the top 4 or 5. I could see this race going a lot like Chicago where he had everybody's number.

Gotta love the way Harvick has been runnin this year. Def. like your play on him,,,,might tail you here,,madshooter,,bol

bit the bullet,

 

ADDED

Edwards to win @ +1600

i got different results of nascar.com

https://www.nascar.com/drivers/dps/cedwards00/cup/index.html

Carl has 3 wins 6 top 5,  8 top 10, avg finish 13.1

Edwards last 4 races at Atlanta:

Mar 9 2008 - 42 33 laps led (engine failure)
Oct 26 2008 - 1 98 laps led
Mar 8 2009 - 3 28 laps led
Sep 6 2009 - 37 0 laps led [I don't remember this race or why he was down 23 laps]

The 2008 races were not in a COT, but the 2009 races were. So he has had some success at Atlanta in a COT in last year's spring race.

Your both right, I think shooter's talking about the spring race and PSM has all of the Atlanta stats. 99 raced 5 spring races beginning in 2005 and finished 1st, 40th, 7th, 42nd & 3rd

 

                   races   avg.fin    avg. st    wins  top 5 top 10  laps led

Carl Edwards     4      20.8     12.8         1      2       2         159  

the above is the COT stats at Atlanta for Edwards...per racingone dot com  

Hm. Idk why I was thinking that the COT was introduced in 2008. Guess it was 2007. Edwards has a 1st and a 3rd at Atlanta when he has not had issues. He was also part of the tire test. I kind of like the play at +1600.

 

very good pts....didn't really consider him till everyone starting talking about him.....

I think it is a huge help by us all contributing to this thread every week..... I know it has helped me already this year.

The No. 99 crew will unload RK-639 for the weekend. Edwards raced this car at Kansas (10th), Michigan in June (fourth) and Texas in April (10th) in 2009.

think logano has a chance at his sponsor's  home track???