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SJP's MLB Roundtable (THURSDAY---June 9th, 2011)

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Lots of great insight yesterday! I like the idea of everyone throwing down their favorite plays AND reasoning, with everyone respectfully agreeing or disagreeing with them. It'll probably make and save people a lot of money over the course of a season.

Same drill today.

Let's keep messages strictly about leans/picks/analysis and avoid "GL" type messages. Entertaining messages are welcome, too.

Getting tired of the MLB betting grind? Check out my latest Covers.com column:
Sarah J. Phillips: Be A Man & Bet Like A Girl

Leave a nice message in the column's comment box (NOT IN THIS THREAD) if you enjoyed it. I have to read and respond to all the comments made on it, and I get tired of just getting to responding to A-Holes. :(

Last thing! Please choose games with -130 vigorish or less.

Lets get this party started. :)

$JP
 
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Where did you go to school and how did you get into gambling? 
 
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this is my favorite talk show the SJP show best thing since oprah
 
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Dodgers with Kershaw +118
 
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Oakand Athletics.

They have to win eventually . . . . . right?

. . . . . right?
 
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Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

Oakand Athletics.

They have to win eventually . . . . . right?

. . . . . right?

due to their pitching staff..we keep gettting favorable lines to fade them..and i keep gettin richer..except they duped me into takin them tonight

 
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awesome you want to stay up and go over thursday...I feel like looking over things right about now myself. Got moosed in Milwaukee tonight. They give up 5 to the Muts in the top of the 8th just to tie with 4 in the bottom...then go on to win by 1, thus losing my RL play at +130 that's a bummer...onto thursday
 
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havent looked at the game so im not sayin not to take them tom..but due to their big names on the mound..weve been getin greaet prices to bet against them..
 
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at first glance..been on boston first 2 games..now cc who is the most public pitcher in all of baseball with the most inflated lines besides doc..is at home avoiding a sweep and only -120? me thinks boston sweeps
 
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houston and cards shud never be a pk..prob gunna be on stros..
 
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Quote Originally Posted by hitterno24:

at first glance..been on boston first 2 games..now cc who is the most public pitcher in all of baseball with the most inflated lines besides doc..is at home avoiding a sweep and only -120? me thinks boston sweeps


Thats what I was thinkin as well.....
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Jose_Reyes:



Thats what I was thinkin as well.....

last month cc played beckett..cc was on mound at -130 off a loss..and i said cc sabathia shud never be -130 at home to anyone..especially off a loss wheres he unbeatable..hell he was even -135 to doc halladay at home 2 years ago..and everyone on covers was on the yanks and told me im lookin too much into it..

 
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I like Volstad and the Fish tomorrow.  Pitches well at home.  Short line for JJ.  Braves bats have been quiet......
 
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Boston and White Sox -2.5 Boss up and get that paper!! 
 
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Royals RRL 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by Jose_Reyes:

I like Volstad and the Fish tomorrow.  Pitches well at home.  Short line for JJ.  Braves bats have been quiet......

jj hasnt been respect by the books all year..gotta look more at that..

more i look at chisox a's..cahill has been strugglig..a's have been awful..chisox have been good and so has buerhle..lines a bit short..me thinks a's may be the play tom..

 
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Quote Originally Posted by hitterno24:

last month cc played beckett..cc was on mound at -130 off a loss..and i said cc sabathia shud never be -130 at home to anyone..especially off a loss wheres he unbeatable..hell he was even -135 to doc halladay at home 2 years ago..and everyone on covers was on the yanks and told me im lookin too much into it..



I remember being on Beckett as well   
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by hitterno24:

last month cc played beckett..cc was on mound at -130 off a loss..and i said cc sabathia shud never be -130 at home to anyone..especially off a loss wheres he unbeatable..hell he was even -135 to doc halladay at home 2 years ago..and everyone on covers was on the yanks and told me im lookin too much into it..

At first glance seems like your overthinking it.. Beckett has been stellar this year can not make him too big of a dog to anyone.. CC is on one of those streaks where you can see him win 10 or so in a row.. Cant get off that horse yet

BOL

Yanks -130

 
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Posted: #21
Initial first glance no research Leans:

Seattle +187

Chicago Cubs +140

Minnesota +122

Chicago Whitesox -109

Pittsburgh +108

St. Louis -108
 
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Quote Originally Posted by 35MOOSE35:

At first glance seems like your overthinking it.. Beckett has been stellar this year can not make him too big of a dog to anyone.. CC is on one of those streaks where you can see him win 10 or so in a row.. Cant get off that horse yet

BOL

Yanks -130

cc is -120 at home..thats practically making boston favored..everhone told me i was overthinkin it last time too..still lookin at it..but cant ignore that weakkk weaak line..

 
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Quote Originally Posted by hitterno24:

jj hasnt been respect by the books all year..gotta look more at that..

more i look at chisox a's..cahill has been strugglig..a's have been awful..chisox have been good and so has buerhle..lines a bit short..me thinks a's may be the play tom..


how is the line short, it's cahill who is the a's best pitcher, and buehrle who has been slumping this year. think the lines right on, and i expect everyone to be on the a's because everyone seems to ignore their HORRIBLE road record!


 
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as of right now i like a's boston mariners astros..

like dbags too..a young impatient team such as the bucs wont be able to touch collmenter and that wacky delivery..

 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by eliminat0r85:


how is the line short, it's cahill who is the a's best pitcher, and buehrle who has been slumping this year. think the lines right on, and i expect everyone to be on the a's because everyone seems to ignore their HORRIBLE road record!


i feel like its a bit short..still lookin at it..but chisox have been playin good..look at buerhles last 7 starts again and tell me hes been slumping..edwin jackson was -120 at home to cahill when he was on fire..now cahills been dreadful and so has the a's..almost looks too easy to take the chisox at home at a pk vs a team that has dropped 9 staright with a struggling pitcher..

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