MLB World Series game 1: Keep Riding The Rays

I think it's a smart move by the Rays. Nick Martinez has been excellent all season for them in his first year in Tampa. There's no need to bypass him just because Rasmussen and Peralta line up on 4 days rest to pitch Games 1 and 2. Now the Brewers are under even more pressure to not lose the Misiorowski start because if they do, they have to deal with Drew Rasmussen in Game 2. And now Freddy Peralta can start Game 3 inside the Trop where he has been dominating.

Nick Martinez had a 3.90 ERA at the Trop this season but on the road it was only 2.38. He pitched 9 more innings on the road than at home yet allowed 7 fewer hits (89 vs. 82). He also gave up 14 home runs at the Trop but only 8 of them on the road.

Martinez is a good pitcher. I've followed Rays all year down here. Question is will Milwaukee keep hitting homers? I think they were last in NL in homers. Rays also finished in bottom third. It's rare for teams that play small ball to win a World Series. I think last team may have been KC in 2015. And the reason is because its harder to.string together hits in the playoffs. Teams who have some power usually win. John Romano of The Tampa Bay Times wrote a good article about it a couple weeks ago.

THIS!     This is what's been bouncing around in the corners of my mind for a few days.  I indeed think this Misiorowski start is much more important (needed) for MIl. than TB.  Tough part for me to foresee, is if Brewers (especially Misiorowski), are the type that step it up in "must wins" or wilt.  I know this may sound a bit frivolous, but I'm kind of confident, that whoever wins the first game wins it all.

Brewers series -1.5 now +104 fan duel

Here's some interesting facts:

Rasmussen was drafted by the Brewers, spent one season there before going to the Rays.

Peralta pitched 6 seasons with Milky. This is his first year with the Rays, coming over from the Mets at mid-season.

Brewers should have an excellent read on these two pitcher's tendencies.

Martinez spent 4 seasons in the NL before coming to the Rays. Most of the Brewers have faced him.

Brewers should be very familiar with and knowledgeable of the Rays' 3 top pitchers, which is probably why the books put the series price as high as they have.

UFO - Rumor is Rasmussen been leaned on too much with all his surgeries and will therefore go in Game 2.

@MrBator

Opening line for Dodgers vs Brewers in NLCS was Dodgers favored -140 for series…nontheless, still got the broom

Accordingly, although your analytics look great on paper, does -180 Brewers series line supposed to imply the series win?

GL on your plays!

@RebelTell2

Per one of the MLB shows yesterday, they indicated a comparison of relief pitchers (RP’s) for this post season. Looked like advantage Brewers IMO.

ERA:

Brewers RP’s .77 over 35 innings 

Rays RP’s 2.92 over 24 innings 

I like TB as well.  Good luck my friend. 

How is the line telling you that? Line are not predictions of an outcome

@the1toturn2

 You can't be serious ,are you? So a 30 point line in a college football game means the game is a toss up? 

@MrBator

 Great info….. BoL, I won alot of money with both these teams this year, but I’ll be  riding the Brew off to the sunset.  Ride or die….

Actually, they opened -165.

Will the weight of the talking heads and betting world prove too heavy for the heavily favorited Brewers? 

The Brewers went from being criminally underrated entering the Dodgers series to where the public perception has since swung violently in the other direction. This newfound awe and respect that the public should have already had for them is something I that I don't think the Brewers will let go to their heads. This, I think, is especially true of tonight's World Series opener given that both of their Game 1s at home behind Jacob Misiorowski were tense affairs in which the visitors scored first. 

Heavily favored teams usually fall due in large part to a sense of overconfidence. There's no overconfidence on the part of the Brewers in this situation, though. 

@Griswold1

 Bol bud 

GL 

I must have missed where this thread was about college football  I thou8ght it was  baseball thread 

@Griswold1

Here in South Reno at the Tamarack Casino, Brewers to win the series -200…