what do you think about the baltimore vs tb game? kazmir hasnt been that great and baltimore bats can get hot, at +205 you dont think theres good value here?
No offense friend, but if I thought there was good value, I would play them...don't like the Orioles against tough lefties but I can see your point.
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Quote Originally Posted by ridiculuz:
what do you think about the baltimore vs tb game? kazmir hasnt been that great and baltimore bats can get hot, at +205 you dont think theres good value here?
No offense friend, but if I thought there was good value, I would play them...don't like the Orioles against tough lefties but I can see your point.
i was just looking at this season, tampa bay is not the same and kazmir is really not doing well and baltimore has already taken 2 of the lst 3 this year. and not that the O's cant lose 10 straight but they are on like a 7game losing steak and i dont think they are as bad as last year, bats are better.
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i was just looking at this season, tampa bay is not the same and kazmir is really not doing well and baltimore has already taken 2 of the lst 3 this year. and not that the O's cant lose 10 straight but they are on like a 7game losing steak and i dont think they are as bad as last year, bats are better.
Never a duel between me and AJ...he is good people and is doing an excellent job....it's just one game and I am convinced that if we were against each other 100 times, we'd both be 50-50.
id give a lean to u GH, as AJ is good but not really lovin Tor against this righty...I think ur on the right track, but thats why they play the games...
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Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:
Never a duel between me and AJ...he is good people and is doing an excellent job....it's just one game and I am convinced that if we were against each other 100 times, we'd both be 50-50.
id give a lean to u GH, as AJ is good but not really lovin Tor against this righty...I think ur on the right track, but thats why they play the games...
id give a lean to u GH, as AJ is good but not really lovin Tor against this righty...I think ur on the right track, but thats why they play the games...
im only speaking abnout the Tor game as far as u vs him ...who cares...ur both good at what u do...
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Quote Originally Posted by vincenzococotti:
id give a lean to u GH, as AJ is good but not really lovin Tor against this righty...I think ur on the right track, but thats why they play the games...
im only speaking abnout the Tor game as far as u vs him ...who cares...ur both good at what u do...
I suppose since you didn't post, you don't have an opinion, but might want to take another look at the Reds tonight with Harang. As long as its not Houston, this guy looks like a Cy Young winner. Plus, its not like the Fish are playing really well right now - they should not be -150.
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I suppose since you didn't post, you don't have an opinion, but might want to take another look at the Reds tonight with Harang. As long as its not Houston, this guy looks like a Cy Young winner. Plus, its not like the Fish are playing really well right now - they should not be -150.
I agree with you Yoda. Admittedly, I am a reds homer but Harang has been very good, he just rarely gets the run support. I think the reds bats are starting to wake up and at +141 this will definitely be a play for me.
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I agree with you Yoda. Admittedly, I am a reds homer but Harang has been very good, he just rarely gets the run support. I think the reds bats are starting to wake up and at +141 this will definitely be a play for me.
hey guys ... remember that he still has a couple plays he is waiting to be "accepted" on matchbook .. so he could be on a couple of these .. maybe wait till he has the full card out
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hey guys ... remember that he still has a couple plays he is waiting to be "accepted" on matchbook .. so he could be on a couple of these .. maybe wait till he has the full card out
SAN DIEGO +113 (1.75 UNITS) - Not
quite sure where this line is coming from. The Rocks are 9-14 (5-9 on the road)
and at the bottom of the NL West and in their last 11 road games have tallied
just 34 runs. Kevin Correia has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his 4
starts this season and gives the Padres a chance to win. Jorge De La Rosa is
battling a blister on the middle finger of his pitching hand and it could easily
affect his control, which is typically his Achilles' heel. Wrong favorite.
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SAN DIEGO +113 (1.75 UNITS) - Not
quite sure where this line is coming from. The Rocks are 9-14 (5-9 on the road)
and at the bottom of the NL West and in their last 11 road games have tallied
just 34 runs. Kevin Correia has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his 4
starts this season and gives the Padres a chance to win. Jorge De La Rosa is
battling a blister on the middle finger of his pitching hand and it could easily
affect his control, which is typically his Achilles' heel. Wrong favorite.
I suppose since you didn't post, you don't have an opinion, but might want to take another look at the Reds tonight with Harang. As long as its not Houston, this guy looks like a Cy Young winner. Plus, its not like the Fish are playing really well right now - they should not be -150.
Harang hasn't fared well against many of the Fish hitters and yielded a bunch of long balls....scared me away.
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Quote Originally Posted by MasterYoda:
I suppose since you didn't post, you don't have an opinion, but might want to take another look at the Reds tonight with Harang. As long as its not Houston, this guy looks like a Cy Young winner. Plus, its not like the Fish are playing really well right now - they should not be -150.
Harang hasn't fared well against many of the Fish hitters and yielded a bunch of long balls....scared me away.
ARIZONA +136 (1.75 UNITS) - Doug Davis
has been outstanding in 3 of his last 4 starts and is sporting a very impressive
27:10 K:BB ratio in 34 innings this year. Meanwhile, Eric Stultz is not in good
form. In his last three starts, he has lasted just 12 2/3 innings and allowed 19
hits, 19 earned runs and a 6:10 K:BB ratio. The Dbacks don't hit lefties well
but there is a lot of value in this matchup based upon the Dodgers 10-0 home
record against the Padres. Rockies and Giants.
We always seem to have varying opinions on a lot of games but I always like your input and always keep things friendly because I respect what you do. The definition of "VALUE" is An amount of goods, services, or money, considered to be a fair and suitable equivalent at a fair price or return.
We already know you don't play the "THEIR DUE" card, as we all know its better to ride a streak then attempt to predict when it will end. When you have a team that is 10-0 at home this season and traditionally always better at home. Since getting Manny from Boston the Dodgers record at home with him in the lineup (regular season) is 28-7 dating back to last year on August 1st (18-7 last year 10-0 this season). You have a below average ball club in general with the D-backs and a team that is even worse on the road. Since the all-star break last season is they are 37-51 on the road and have haven't hit lefties well. I know Stults isn't a big time pitcher by any means but he already shut these guys down and you are dealing with a team that is batting .091 against lefties on the road.
Whether you win this wager or not and I hope you do BOL there is not a single OUNCE of value in this wager. The Value actually lies with the dodgers, and in fact yesterday even the Dodgers at -200 had value and more so when it dropped to -180. At -220 your break even point is 67% and with a 9-0 home record and winning 8 of the last 10 against the Padres that carried value. We know they won't go 20-0 or will they? At this point it isn't a HUGE deal of data to back things up but at only +130 range I'll promise you right now the D-Backs won't win this game tonight 44% of the time. 1-7 in the last 8 meetings and 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in LA.
Again you may win tonight, but the numbers don't support any value at the +130 range. If you would of waited until 9-10 PM when all the suckers in the world are down for the night and thats the last game of the evening you will be able to get the D-Backs at +150 no doubt. Then there maybe some value at that point.
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Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:
ARIZONA +136 (1.75 UNITS) - Doug Davis
has been outstanding in 3 of his last 4 starts and is sporting a very impressive
27:10 K:BB ratio in 34 innings this year. Meanwhile, Eric Stultz is not in good
form. In his last three starts, he has lasted just 12 2/3 innings and allowed 19
hits, 19 earned runs and a 6:10 K:BB ratio. The Dbacks don't hit lefties well
but there is a lot of value in this matchup based upon the Dodgers 10-0 home
record against the Padres. Rockies and Giants.
We always seem to have varying opinions on a lot of games but I always like your input and always keep things friendly because I respect what you do. The definition of "VALUE" is An amount of goods, services, or money, considered to be a fair and suitable equivalent at a fair price or return.
We already know you don't play the "THEIR DUE" card, as we all know its better to ride a streak then attempt to predict when it will end. When you have a team that is 10-0 at home this season and traditionally always better at home. Since getting Manny from Boston the Dodgers record at home with him in the lineup (regular season) is 28-7 dating back to last year on August 1st (18-7 last year 10-0 this season). You have a below average ball club in general with the D-backs and a team that is even worse on the road. Since the all-star break last season is they are 37-51 on the road and have haven't hit lefties well. I know Stults isn't a big time pitcher by any means but he already shut these guys down and you are dealing with a team that is batting .091 against lefties on the road.
Whether you win this wager or not and I hope you do BOL there is not a single OUNCE of value in this wager. The Value actually lies with the dodgers, and in fact yesterday even the Dodgers at -200 had value and more so when it dropped to -180. At -220 your break even point is 67% and with a 9-0 home record and winning 8 of the last 10 against the Padres that carried value. We know they won't go 20-0 or will they? At this point it isn't a HUGE deal of data to back things up but at only +130 range I'll promise you right now the D-Backs won't win this game tonight 44% of the time. 1-7 in the last 8 meetings and 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in LA.
Again you may win tonight, but the numbers don't support any value at the +130 range. If you would of waited until 9-10 PM when all the suckers in the world are down for the night and thats the last game of the evening you will be able to get the D-Backs at +150 no doubt. Then there maybe some value at that point.
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