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MLB - Monday 5/4

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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by MasterYoda:

Hey GH,
 
First post, but I have been lurking around here forever. Regarding the Giants/Cubs, do you think there is value on the Giants +0.5 at plus money (+112 at Pinny) for the first half? Typically, I like fading non-elite pitchers after 2 good starts (Sanchez), but the Cubs haven't hit lefties well lately and Dempster is vulnerable.
 


I guess I see it as OK, but to me, the real value is in having the Giants at +178 straight up especially when I think Marmol and Gregg have been overused the last 5 days....
 
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Posted: #29
Good Luck GH 
 
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Posted: #30
Game that looks like EXCEPTIONAL value - I've been watching Marmol struggle lately myself and never fully "bought" Gregg as a closer of the first rank either - thanks for including the excellent analysis on your plays today 
 
AJ on the Jays so it will be extra fun watching this duel unfold  ...just one game but still...
 
 
 
 
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ARIZONA +136 (1.75 UNITS) - Doug Davis has been outstanding in 3 of his last 4 starts and is sporting a very impressive 27:10 K:BB ratio in 34 innings this year. Meanwhile, Eric Stultz is not in good form. In his last three starts, he has lasted just 12 2/3 innings and allowed 19 hits, 19 earned runs and a 6:10 K:BB ratio. The Dbacks don't hit lefties well but there is a lot of value in this matchup based upon the Dodgers 10-0 home record against the Padres. Rockies and Giants.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

Game that looks like EXCEPTIONAL value - I've been watching Marmol struggle lately myself and never fully "bought" Gregg as a closer of the first rank either - thanks for including the excellent analysis on your plays today 
 
AJ on the Jays so it will be extra fun watching this duel unfold  ...just one game but still...
 
 
 


Never a duel between me and AJ...he is good people and is doing an excellent job....it's just one game and I am convinced that if we were against each other 100 times, we'd both be 50-50.
 
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Posted: #33

Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:



Never a duel between me and AJ...he is good people and is doing an excellent job....it's just one game and I am convinced that if we were against each other 100 times, we'd both be 50-50.

Always a class act, GH

One of the reasons I alwasy enjoy your threads

GL and keep up the great work

 

 

 
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Ive been waiting for that Az play from you.  You waited longer than I did and got a better price (I got +133). 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:



Never a duel between me and AJ...he is good people and is doing an excellent job....it's just one game and I am convinced that if we were against each other 100 times, we'd both be 50-50.

I know there is mutual respect there and I KNOW he would say the same thing GH- very gracious sir

 

 

...But I'm pretty sure folks are still gonna place some extra interest in this one

 
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GL GH
 
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Quote Originally Posted by doryj:

Ive been waiting for that Az play from you.  You waited longer than I did and got a better price (I got +133). 


Actually, it was just fortunate that it is the last game on the NL board so I capped it last.

Still waiting for my lines to get accepted on two others.
 
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Posted: #38
the travel concerns me a bit on some of these GH.  ARI going from MIL to LAD on zero rest and SF going from SF to CHC on zero rest.  there are trends that point to playing against teams in these spots. 
 
BOL.  did you get my email from yesterday?
 
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Quote Originally Posted by riccio14:

Always a class act, GH

One of the reasons I alwasy enjoy your threads

GL and keep up the great work

 

 



Thanks...we're all here to help one another.....

Well, at least most of us are.
 
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Posted: #40
GH, I think the best play today is Seattle RL +145... Any thoughts?
 
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Quote Originally Posted by omard07:

GH, I think the best play today is Seattle RL +145... Any thoughts?


After 15 innings yesterday and depleting their bullpen and still without Morrow in the pen, I don't see it. However, I don't feel strongly about the game and am sitting it out so don't let me change your opinion.
 
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Slow day fishing at Matchbook......anyone have better bait?
 
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Posted: #43
hey game can you accept my friend request, want to ask you a couple of questions
 
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Quote Originally Posted by thedegenerate:

the travel concerns me a bit on some of these GH.  ARI going from MIL to LAD on zero rest and SF going from SF to CHC on zero rest.  there are trends that point to playing against teams in these spots. 
 
BOL.  did you get my email from yesterday?

 

i do feel that the price is a bit high on the LAD game with Stultz on hill.  impressive to this point.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by thedegenerate:

 

i do feel that the price is a bit high on the LAD game with Stultz on hill.  impressive to this point.



thanks...I just responded a few minutes ago....I see your point but it's not like the Dodgers and Cubs were off yesterday......still think there is value in both plays...could be wrong...time will tell...
 
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Quote Originally Posted by ridiculuz:

hey game can you accept my friend request, want to ask you a couple of questions


I just requested you....don't mean to sound like a jerk, but there are a ton of requests in my box, and looking for one in specific, is time consuming.
 
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no problem JERK!! LOL just kidding. thanks.
 
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Ramirez is playing tonight ..  if he was out I'd be all over the giants but I don't see Sanchez stopping a cubs team with Lee and Ramirez batting..  Plus Giants have only scored 5 runs in their last 3 games, their bats need to get hot against a cubs team that will score at least 4

Just my 2 cents
 
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Posted: #49
what do you think about the baltimore vs tb game? kazmir hasnt been that great and baltimore bats can get hot, at +205 you dont think theres good value here?
 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Streamline:

Ramirez is playing tonight ..  if he was out I'd be all over the giants but I don't see Sanchez stopping a cubs team with Lee and Ramirez batting..  Plus Giants have only scored 5 runs in their last 3 games, their bats need to get hot against a cubs team that will score at least 4

Just my 2 cents


Your points are valid but this isn't a pick 'em game. The Giants only have to win this game 36 out of 100 times to show a profit and that's the equivalent of a team that is 58-104 over the course of the season. Price just seems to high in my opinion and you neglected the fact that the Cubs' pen has been overused. Good luck.
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