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keepit's strict one side & one total a day @ 60%

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Posted: #51
10:05pm: san diego padres ml -130

» the mariners are 7-21 in their last 28 versus a team with a losing record
» the padres are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games against a left-handed starter
» latos is 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA in three interleague games and one of those wins was against seattle, giving up just 1 run in an 8-1 victory
» bedard is making his first start in 12 days while the mariners have dropped their last 5 on the road
» san diego has won 4 of 6 against seattle and 3 of 4 at home
» the mariners are 2-6 in bedard's last 8 starts
» the padres are 16-7 in their last 23 home games against a left-handed starter

MLB 2011: 5-1 83.33%
UNITS ACCUMULATED: +7.8u
THIRD CONTEST PICK: angels ml +110

really strong lean on the angels as we feel that's a sleeper spot and then after seeing all the umpire statistics for los angeles and against atlanta in that game, it's baffling but it's hard to back them the way they're playing right now so we'll leave them as the 3rd play. good luck to everyone and be careful during interleague!
 
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Posted: #52
ahhh, your liking them reds overs too! GL on friday.
 
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Posted: #53
yeah, been riding reds+indians overs for awhile and now that these two offenses are playing one another, no reason to stop now. we'll see though!
 
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Posted: #54
Good Luck tonight KeepitStrict.
 
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Posted: #55
Reds, Indians are both in the upper eschelon's of MLB Offense.....they don't K all that much and are currently humming right along.  Phil Cuzzi on the dish in Cleveland....he's one of the most prolific Homer-Under Umps in the game today, a little breeze in from Left Center, two pitchers foreign to both line-ups all say Under.  This one may be too tough to call but a must-see!

 
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Posted: #56
great pick on the OVER!!!
 
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Posted: #57
yeah gbob, we were a bit skeptical as well but at the end of the day, these 2 offenses were hard to pass on and even with wood taking a no-hitter to the 6th, it still went over.

sjjventure, it wasn't necessarily pretty or a great pick and luck was definitely on our side but we'll take it!

go padres!
 
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Posted: #58
5/20/2011 recap:

(W) cincinnati reds OVER 8.5 -105

(L) san diego padres ml -130

really kicking ourselves for passing on the angels game and rolling with san diego but that's how it goes! was a rather disgusting and ugly win with the reds over and the indians somehow managed to win that game just grinding it out but we'll take it. bedard threw a gem against the padres and once again, the mariners did what they needed to win. our 2 losses are now due to the pesky bunch of seattle, time to bounce back tomorrow!

MLB 2011: 6-2 83.33%
UNITS ACCUMULATED: +7.2u
 
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Posted: #59
5/20/2011:

2:10pm: los angeles dodgers UNDER 8 +103

» the under is 13-5 in the dodgers' last 18 overall
» the under is 5-1 in the white sox's last 6 home games versus a team with a losing road record
» garland has received three total runs of support in his last three outings and that can be contributed to andre ethier's 1-for-25 slump
» buehrle posts a 9-0 record with a 1.73 ERA in his last 12 interleague starts and has a 2-0 record with a 2.14 ERA in three starts (1.66 ERA in 3 starts at home) while posting a 2-0 record with a 0.53 ERA in his last two matchups with the dodgers (hasn't faced them since '08)
» the under is 21-10 in the dodgers' last 31 interleague road games against a team with a losing record
» the under is 5-0 in buehrle's last 5 home starts
» the under is 4-0 in garland's last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record
» the under is 7-3 in the white sox's last 10 interleague games
 
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Posted: #60
7:05pm: detroit tigers ml -118

» the tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 against a team with a losing record
» the pirates are 26-57 in their last 83 interleague games
» scherzer posts a 2-0 record with a 0.90 ERA in his three outings this month against the national league
» correia has an 8.71 ERA over consecutive defeats
» the tigers are 64-31 in their last 95 interleague games
» the pirates are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series
» the tigers are 6-1 in scherzer's last 7 starts with 4 days of rest
» the pirates are 2-11 in their last 13 interleague games against a right-handed starter

got a few good umpire trends favoring us here as well that we won't ignore like we did last night with the angels:

» the tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 games with guccione behind home plate
» the road team is 11-3 in guccione's last 14 games behind home plate
» the pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 games with guccione behind home plate

MLB 2011: 6-2 75%
UNITS ACCUMULATED: +7.2u
THIRD CONTEST PICK: cubs OVER 9 -110

good luck to everyone, let's start the weekend properly!
 
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Posted: #61
NOTE: the plays above are for 5/21/2011 and NOT 5/20/2011, sorry about that.
 
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Posted: #62
GL  strict!    I love that Boston over too much I think 
 
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Posted: #63

Like the plays! BOL!

 
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Posted: #64
lets do this!!!
 
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Posted: #65
gl kis
 
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Posted: #66
Looks good to me. Scherzer has been downright filthy this year and that's a nice price on him.
 
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Posted: #67
I'll tail your under 8  with Dodgers/ChiSox  since you are perfect so far in over/under plays.
 
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Posted: #68
GL Keep
 
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Posted: #69
Dodgers are done.  7-1 in the 4th.  Unders waiting to lose.  Hate backing the Dodgers in anything. My bad for following this loser.
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by mauimale2009:

Dodgers are done.  7-1 in the 4th.  Unders waiting to lose.  Hate backing the Dodgers in anything. My bad for following this loser.


I should have known as well when I saw all that OVER money come pouring in on this game.
 
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Posted: #71
man oh man, after rios' homer i was like okay 3-1, that's fine. but garland decided he wanted an early shower and got chased out. this was our first under play as well and it was going to be our streak survivor pick but we ended up going with bruins/lightning over. sorry about that one fellas, can't win them all. on to the next!
 
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Posted: #72
1-2 day.  Not very good. 
 
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Posted: #73
thanks for pointing that out maui. first off, we had no idea we went 1-2 as we monitor every other play but our own and secondly, we weren't aware that 1-2 wasn't a positive day, either. you're bright, don't let anyone tell you otherwise.

5/21/2011 recap:

(L) los angeles dodgers UNDER 8 +103

(L) detroit tigers ml -118

first 0-2 since beginning this and both plays could have went either way. garland's 4th-inning explosion cost us and then the pirates got to scherzer and the bullpen late (just as pittsburgh always tends to do). won the cubs over as the 3rd play but that could have went either way as well as most of the runs were scored late.

MLB 2011: 6-4 60%
UNITS ACCUMULATED: +2.84u
 
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Posted: #74

Bounceback sunday strict!  I had a guy post in my thread he had the same picks as me for saturday and we were both going to lose. He wished us luck, how's that for confidence, hahaha

WTF is wrong with you people, everyone loses, stop crying.

If you don't like it, cap your own games.

 
 
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Posted: #75
haha yeah plisskin, seems like that's the norm around here. people want to see others lose money while they win money, nice logic. anyways, we apologize for the brief hiatus. haven't been able to post our plays for a couple days now but back on the grind!

5/24/2011:

7:05pm: boston red sox ml -128

» the red sox are 14-3 in their last 17 against a team with a winning record
» the red sox are 5-0 in beckett's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest
» the red sox are 9-2 in beckett's last 11 starts during game 2 of a series
» the indians are 0-6 in carmona's last 6 starts during game 2 of a series
» carmona has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 12 innings over his last two starts
» beckett has allowed one earned run in his last four starts (0.39 ERA)
» the red sox haven't dropped seven in a row in cleveland since 1932 and although pedroia being out may sting, the indians will be without hafner and sizemore again

and seems like the fact that it's a tuesday is going to benefit us:

» the indians are 4-11 in carmona's last 15 tuesday starts
» the red sox are 7-3 in beckett's last 10 tuesday starts
» the road team is 5-1 in Drakes last 6 tuesday games behind home plate versus cleveland

and so will the umpire:

» the red sox are 12-2 in their last 14 games with drake behind home plate
» the road team is 5-0 in drake's last 5 games behind home plate versus cleveland
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