Falcon Sports (The Chase)

U guys ever just want to do a Chase bet. I've been toying around with them. I'm retired and try to find ways to amuse myself. 

Think ill run one here. I'll try and do it until I lose. It will be a simple 5 game chase, played in this format.

A) Risk $50

B) Risk $100

C) Risk $200

D) Risk $400

E) Risk $800

Max loss would be ($1550) as all plays are (+100) or better. So some wins will pay more than $50. All chases end when a win is achieved.

I want to do this with only one open at a time. Plays can be anything as long as the odds are (+100) or better.

Here we go.

Chase 1

A) Atlanta ML/Atlanta Over 6.5 (+100)

$50 to win $50

This is a same game parlay using an alternate total plus a profit boost. 

I'll try not to use a profit boost on alot of these but Draftkings gave me a pretty nice one for today. 

Back later for play (b) or the next Chase.

And as I said, I'm old and retired and bore very easy but ill try to win.

Good luck guys.

Falcon Sports 

Those odds wouldn't be +100

Maybe consider it on a series in MLB on a decent team. Seldom do you see a good team get swept in a 4 game series.

@KingScorpio

 He could play that amount and the winnings would be less or more depending on the ML. Obvious the losses would only be the amount as per the system.

Those are the odds with a profit boost. They were actually a little better than that. My boost was 50%. 

First game underway. Now I will look for the next play. And moving forward, ill try not to include profit boost. 

Basically, I'm seeing how long it takes to lose 5 in a row. 

Back later with Chase 1 play (B) for a $100 risk or Chase 2  play (A) for a $50 risk.

Falcon Sports 

This is my last thread of the baseball season. 

I've allocated ($1550) for this and that will be my Max loss. I have a detailed plan for this. I'll explain more as it moves along. If I get a Chase loss, I'm done. If I'm lucky enough to get 10 wins, ill withdraw ($500) and that will be my paycheck. I'm keeping things under $600 as I use PayPal.

I have the next play ready, ill post and play it as soon as current play goes final. 

The Chase

0-0 ($0)

Chase 1

A) Atlanta ML/Atlanta Over 6.5 (+100)

$50 to win $50

That was a same game parlay using an alternate total plus a profit boost at Draftkings. 

Good luck guys 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Will a parley cause your chances to decrease dramatically on a winning streak?

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

0-0 ($0)

Next play up

Chase 1

B) Wander Franco Over 1.5 total bases (+100)

$100 to win $100

No luck on the same game parlay for the first play. The Chase now carries a (-$50) loss into play (B)

This is a batters prop at Draftkings and its important for this to be at Draftkings. If Franco is not in the starting lineup, the bet is voided. Draftkings does this and I know Fanduel does not.

Back when this play is complete.

Falcon Sports 

Is the chase play just a random play that you select? No system or anything that could be duplicated in the future.

Just curious

@witswits

 Correct. Just one play at a time from me. Could be anything but the odds will be (+100) or better on the wager. 

Basically I'm going to see how long can I go without losing 5 in a row. And ill make the final bet if I have too. Not backing out.

But I will tell u this. When I get a win, ill stay in the same genre until I lose.

Meaning if Franco goes over 1.5 total bases, ill be on a player to go Over 1.5 bases for the next play. 

If I lose 5 in a row, ill lose ($1550) and ill take an extended vacation but until that happens, ill be swinging away. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

Always enjoy your insight but this play really cannot be tracked in a way that it is insightful or has any value. If its for boredom, it makes sense, but we cannot say next year we want to play the MITM chase play system. You could flip a coin over and over till you lose 5 in a row and that is pretty much it.

Just saying and as always I wish you the best of luck.

The true odds on the 50/50 to lose 5 in a row is 1 in 32 times it happens.

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

1-0 (+$50)

Up next. Last game August 10

Chase 2

A) Chris Taylor Over 1.5 total bases (+135)

$50 to win $67.50

Got the first one on Francos last AB. 

On to the next one.

Good luck guys

Falcon Sports 

@witswits

 Thats not true at all. 

I will be very much trying to win. I'll use my models, ill use what handicapping knowledge I may have.

The Wander Franco play was way better than a 50/50 coin flip. It almost lost but it had great value. Any research into Wander Franco lately would show this. 

I also put some effort into the Chris Taylor wager. It may not win but I researched it. 

Following this is no different than following any handicapper. I never called this a system.

But u are right, I'm retired now for the most part and yes I bore very easy. But I love the slow pace of this.

We will see how it goes. And now the max loss is only ($1500) and with each win that will get smaller and smaller.

Good luck 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 I’m on Taylor with you as a single bet. What’s your reasoning behind this one (probably should’ve asked before I tailed LOL)

He has 8 hits against Blach, including a home run. Righty vs lefty, Dodgers may score quite a bit, giving him 4-5 ABs hopefully. Plus the (+135) payback was an added bonus. 

Falcon Sports 

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

1-0 (+$50)

Next play up

Friday August 11

Chase 2

B) KIA Tigers -1.5 (+105)

$100 to win $105

KBO runline play. Goes at 4:30 am CST.

Good luck guys 

Falcon Sports 

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

1-0 (+$50)

August 11

Chase 2

C) Phillies TT Over 5.5 (+110)

$200 to win $220

Falcon Sports 

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

2-0 (+$120)

Chase 2 ends with ease.

Next play up

Chase 3

A) Baltimore TT Over 3.5 (+100)

$50 to win $50

Good luck guys 

Nice and easy these days. Enjoy everything.

Falcon Sports 

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

2-0 (+$120)

Saturday August 12

Chase 3

B) Mets Over 11 (+100)

$100 to win $100

First play in (The Chase) for my Power Totals model.

Back later today

Good luck guys

Falcon Sports 

Slight change of plans for this. If I'm lucky enough to not lose one of these for a while. I'll make no withdraws until I get to (+$1550) and at that point, ill withdraw that. 

Then any further chase would be a guaranteed freeroll. 

Max risk when this started on August 10 was ($1550). Now that risk is down to ($1430) for a max loss. That amount is reduced with each win. 

I'm loving this slower pace. Good luck guys.

Back when the pending play goes final.

Falcon Sports 

Good thing I didn't need the Mets to contribute anything. 

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

3-0 (+$170)

Next play up

Saturday August 12

Chase 4

A) Redsox Over 10.5 (+100)

$50 to win $50

Back when this play goes final.

Its also from my Power Totals model.

Falcon Sports 

Falcon Sports (The Chase)

3-0 (+$170)

Next play up

Chase 4

B) Seattle TT Over 4.5 (+110)

$100 to win $110

Falcon Sports