Just thinking out loud
There is definitely value there. Yamamoto threw a gem his last start. Hard to do 2 games in a row. Over first 3 or 5 innings might be worthwhile too.
![]()
There is definitely value there. Yamamoto threw a gem his last start. Hard to do 2 games in a row. Over first 3 or 5 innings might be worthwhile too.
![]()
Maybe. But is there really value where you would realize a decent edge?
I think the +.5 is around -102. To see a 4-5% edge, you would need -111 to -113.
The -.5 is around +183. To see a 4-5% edge, you would need +170 to +173.
Are there really any models with this pitching matchup and seasonal and series stats that would give that type of edge early in the game.
I think that the value was much better earlier. That is why the FG line has dropped from around from around -185 to below -150, to about -147 now.
![]()
Maybe. But is there really value where you would realize a decent edge?
I think the +.5 is around -102. To see a 4-5% edge, you would need -111 to -113.
The -.5 is around +183. To see a 4-5% edge, you would need +170 to +173.
Are there really any models with this pitching matchup and seasonal and series stats that would give that type of edge early in the game.
I think that the value was much better earlier. That is why the FG line has dropped from around from around -185 to below -150, to about -147 now.
![]()

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.