All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

Cubs live +156, down 1-0

Participants:

Posts: 6

Italianbandit

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2021

Posts: 460

Posted: Aug. 23, 2026 - 4:28 PM ET #1

Added a unit to my pregame bet

Italianbandit

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2021

Posts: 460

Posted: Aug. 23, 2026 - 4:44 PM ET #2

The Numbers Behind the +155 Entry

Implied Win Probability at +155: 39.2%

Projected True Win Expectancy (Down 1–0 in 1st/2nd inning): ~46% to 48%

Expected Value Margin (+EV): Roughly +7% to +9%

Albertini

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2026

Posts: 252

Posted: Aug. 23, 2026 - 6:59 PM ET #3

Thank you

Italianbandit

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2021

Posts: 460

Posted: Aug. 24, 2026 - 12:02 AM ET #4

Cheers.

bluejet

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2007

Posts: 300

Posted: Aug. 24, 2026 - 1:20 PM ET #5

Nice call sir... 19 runs, not bad surprised BOL today.

MrBator

Legend

Joined: Apr, 2004

Posts: 53436

Posted: Aug. 24, 2026 - 1:30 PM ET #6

At the last minute I tried to bet $10,000 on the Mariners +118, but the price at Boomer’s sportsbook dropped to +115 and I refused to accept the line change.

l felt pretty bad after that Cubs catcher threw the baseball into left field, allowing the Mariners to score again and take a 2-0 lead.

cool

All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

Cubs live +156, down 1-0

Hot Forum Topics