Cubs 1st 5 +.5 +105

To good value to pass up with how Rocky Skenes has looked last 2 starts. 

0-0 end 3rd

Pirates back to not scoring for Skenes

Hopefully it holds next 2 innings 

I get what you are saying about his last two starts.

But you think the Cubs should have been favored in the 1st5?

For an edge of 4-5% the line should have been Cubs -103 to -105.

You agree with that even though Skenes looked a bit shaky last 2 games?

Just curious why you see +105 as value.

Theres value bc the pirates have scored 6 runs in Skenes past 4 starts

So getting a plus on a run line is value

0-0 wins or 1-1 wins 

And as of now cubs 1-0 bottom 4 

I am not clear what you mean?   You think it is more value because of the Pirates bats?

I get if you think Cubs are getting back on track or Skenes is struggling.

I think 1st5 is where you can spot value for starting pitchers because of bullpens, etc.

It does not give the the overall better team time to overcome an earlier deficit.

But I just see no way that the Cubs should have been favored in the 1st5.  Which they should have been for +105 to be 'value'.

I get if you just mean because of both teams and pitcher's forms it is likely.  But Skenes is better than Rea and Cubs bats have been cold.

So, I was just wondering if you have something else you were looking at in the 1st5 specifically to see 'value' at that number.  I jus never think at home the Pirates would be underdog to the Cubs right now with Skenes on the mound.

I am always interested in what other stats folks are looking at.

Either way good luck.

I didnt say the cubs should have been favored 1st 5

The value was on the run line

I got a half run with + juice 

Pirates have scored 6 runs in skenes l4 starts and skenes has been roughed up his last 2 

I didn't need cubs to win 1st 5 I just needed them to be tied

I expected Pirates to score 1 run tops 1st 5 and Cubs to get 1 

Well Cubs got 1 

Pirates got 0

So it was easier than I expected 

So yes the value on +.5 + juice was extremely good

Thank you 

Cubs 1-0 top 6 1 out

Adding cubs ML -185 

Laying the juice here Pirates may not score let alone Win 

Got it.  I just figure value to be an edge of 4%-5% better the posted line.  That is why I say at least it should have been -103 / -105 for that type of value. In other words, Cubs on 1st5 RL should have been a worse number.

But I see what you mean about not giving Skenes run support.

But somewhat surprised that Rea would be expected to not give up any as well.

Thanks and congrats 

cubs 5-2 

Cash x2 tonight