Posted:
#376
I like the Tigers and trying to pick apart the Reds Total. Wont have any Chases till next rd, but will be doing some parlays & props.
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CHASE THE PLAYOFFS... RD.1 OCT 5-12
Posted:
#383
Quote Originally Posted by mjnorman59:
Thoughts on chasing the Giants today? Bailey 5.16 ERA at home v Vogelsong 3.87 away.
Thoughts on chasing the Giants today? Bailey 5.16 ERA at home v Vogelsong 3.87 away.
Hey mjnorman59,
I'm clearly in the minority, but I kinda like the Giants ML today. 
Anybody else see value in the Giants (+129) trying to avoid the sweep? 
I realize the Giants bats are ice cold and they've got to be completely demoralized after getting smoked in both games in San Francisco. While the Reds line-up is now firing on all cylinders, and Homer Bailey has been lights out good his previous two starts (including a no-hitter). Not to mention, that huge advantage the Reds bullpen enjoys in this series.
But, in a weird way, that's exactly why I like the Giants to win today. San Francisco is the desperate team...just not sure Cincinnati will feel the urgency today after coming home fat and happy up 2-0. 
And, if the Giants bats are ever going to come alive, it's today against Bailey in Cincinnati's hitters park. And, maybe Vogelsong will find the magic once again when least expected and hold the Reds in check. 
Giants ML...who's with me! 
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Posted:
#387
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
I support ya cj on the Giants. Im just not will to put $1k on it for a G3, thats why I bought out yesterday.
I support ya cj on the Giants. Im just not will to put $1k on it for a G3, thats why I bought out yesterday.
Completely understand, McShady. Again, great call yesterday on Nats/Cards OVER. Twas' a thing of beauty. 
I just submitted Giants ML (+129). BOL tonight, fellas 
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Posted:
#390
Great night guys. Thx Shady for Cards over even though I bet before noon central before you flipped the coin! Thx Shawty you locked in early so I went with it!
Thx randogsac for the Cards! (also early)
My angle play on Jets same as Newfie's play!
I wish you would have played it Shawty, I had my doubts but I held my nose just like I did on them against SF but won this time. Remember that Angle, bet on any NFL team that loses ATS by 25 points or more. Next week I believe that will be Buffalo and Jax (whenever their next game is, I don't have schedule in front of me)
I didn't see Semper's post but I knew he was chasing Baltimore!
Today I am on Oakland ML and Semper's under F5 in same game. I will tail Campjenkins on SF. Both teams dogs decent dogs avoiding sweep you would think maybe smaller dogs?
What are the plays for you today McShady?
Thx randogsac for the Cards! (also early)
My angle play on Jets same as Newfie's play!
I wish you would have played it Shawty, I had my doubts but I held my nose just like I did on them against SF but won this time. Remember that Angle, bet on any NFL team that loses ATS by 25 points or more. Next week I believe that will be Buffalo and Jax (whenever their next game is, I don't have schedule in front of me)
I didn't see Semper's post but I knew he was chasing Baltimore!
Today I am on Oakland ML and Semper's under F5 in same game. I will tail Campjenkins on SF. Both teams dogs decent dogs avoiding sweep you would think maybe smaller dogs?
What are the plays for you today McShady?
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Posted:
#394
I'm in on Giants ML, just thinking after the shutout they might be a bit more motivated today. Also, with Cuerto hurt, they may have a small light to do something in this series.
Looking back at the season, Giants have scored in the first inning 40.7% of the time on the road and Reds 35.8%.
Giants score first on road 50/81 = 61.7%
Reds score first at home 41/81 = 50.6%
Last meeting between Vogel and Bailey was in April with a 6-5 Giants win.
Not sure if it all adds up but I am taking the Giants to score first, F5 and ML.
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Posted:
#397
Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:
Correction, SF small dog and Oak relatively small fave to avoid sweep.
No pressure on Cincy, I'll take SF.
Mucho pressure on Oakland, but look what they did to Texas! I would have expected them to be around -160 at home to avoid sweep. I've already locked in at -132.
Correction, SF small dog and Oak relatively small fave to avoid sweep.
No pressure on Cincy, I'll take SF.
Mucho pressure on Oakland, but look what they did to Texas! I would have expected them to be around -160 at home to avoid sweep. I've already locked in at -132.
Angle...congrats on your Jets play last night. Well done, indeed.
Well done, indeed. Also, glad to see you on the Giants ML today, as well. I really like the Giants in this spot against Bailey. Hopefully, the Giants bats wake up out of their slumber, Vogelsong finds his early season form, and it pans out for us. If the Giants win, that's it for me tonight.
However, if the Reds do happen to beat the Giants and finish off the sweep, I'll definitely be tailing you on the A's ML in the nightcap. Don't believe we'll see consecutive sweeps on the same day based on these match-ups.
Here's to a great night, Chasers! Camp out for now
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Posted:
#400
Quote Originally Posted by jinboston2000:
Angle - have you had any luck lately w your CFB parlays w heavy faves laying the points and the over combo'ing it w the heavy dogs taking the points and the under? (I can't remember what your exact guidelines were for these bets, but thought it was an intriguing play).
Angle - have you had any luck lately w your CFB parlays w heavy faves laying the points and the over combo'ing it w the heavy dogs taking the points and the under? (I can't remember what your exact guidelines were for these bets, but thought it was an intriguing play).
After a slow start I won 4.8 units on Saturday. I haven't checked but only up around 3 for season. Worst season I can remember. Lost a lot of games by one on total or big fave shutting out the dog and staying under.
These plays don't come as often this late in the season and may get harder to hit, but I've been doing this at least 4 years with a profit so I'm going to continue.
System is, divide spread by total. Any game 35% or higher, bet a pair of 2 team parlays on the same game. One parlay is fave/over and the other is dog/under. Last week all 3 winners were fave/over but the dog/unders were hitting more often previously.
Most books don't allow such a high percentage for parlay and some will allow one parlay but not the other so you have to use 2 books.
This year, like I said has not been that great, but still a small profit. If I had stayed with these only and avoided all the other NCAA action I would have been better off. As the season wears on there seems to be fewer and fewer of these plays. It does make it nice to have fewer plays and not have to worry about all the other games on Saturday!
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