I should have played it last night when it was at 9,now it's at CHIW/KC U
8.5 -115. Both teams have been going under recently,WSUX have 4 straight
unders and KC have 5 in a row under the total. L10 WSUX have only 2
overs to 6 unders and 2 pushes. KC have 3 overs to 7 unders in their
L10. Also both starters are in fine form with Danks L3 all being played
under the numbers and 2 of the L3 for Chen. The first two meetings this
year were overs but since then they have pushed once and then reeled off
the L4 all under the total. This game looks to me like it could be a
3-2 maybe 4-3 type of game so even at 8.5 I think there is enough wiggle
room to take this under.
..............
Liking the U 7 in the SD/FLA game. I liked it yesterday as well but
played it in a parlay and the other half lost. Both pitchers are on fire
right now. Harang has a 0.95 era and whip L3 while Nolasco is just as
hot with a 1.04 era and .78 whip in his L3. Also read that San Diego
(42-55) has been shut out a major league-high 15 times this season and
Harang has throw 13 scoreless innings since coming off the DL. Nolasco
is solid vs the PADS with a 3-0 record and 2.25 ERA over his last four
starts against them
You going back to the U in FLA tonight BOD's....any thoughts on the other total ???
0
I should have played it last night when it was at 9,now it's at CHIW/KC U
8.5 -115. Both teams have been going under recently,WSUX have 4 straight
unders and KC have 5 in a row under the total. L10 WSUX have only 2
overs to 6 unders and 2 pushes. KC have 3 overs to 7 unders in their
L10. Also both starters are in fine form with Danks L3 all being played
under the numbers and 2 of the L3 for Chen. The first two meetings this
year were overs but since then they have pushed once and then reeled off
the L4 all under the total. This game looks to me like it could be a
3-2 maybe 4-3 type of game so even at 8.5 I think there is enough wiggle
room to take this under.
..............
Liking the U 7 in the SD/FLA game. I liked it yesterday as well but
played it in a parlay and the other half lost. Both pitchers are on fire
right now. Harang has a 0.95 era and whip L3 while Nolasco is just as
hot with a 1.04 era and .78 whip in his L3. Also read that San Diego
(42-55) has been shut out a major league-high 15 times this season and
Harang has throw 13 scoreless innings since coming off the DL. Nolasco
is solid vs the PADS with a 3-0 record and 2.25 ERA over his last four
starts against them
You going back to the U in FLA tonight BOD's....any thoughts on the other total ???
A couple guys on the computer saying they lean this way or that way does not effect the outcome of games. It is physically impossible, unless there is some sort of artificial intelligence, or aliens, or perhaps a gambling God.
I am the god of betting
If u are the GOD of betting please tell me what side would be the winner in ANAHEIM.
I don't eccept loser side
0
Quote Originally Posted by Barbosa212:
A couple guys on the computer saying they lean this way or that way does not effect the outcome of games. It is physically impossible, unless there is some sort of artificial intelligence, or aliens, or perhaps a gambling God.
I am the god of betting
If u are the GOD of betting please tell me what side would be the winner in ANAHEIM.
better bats? Have you seen the lineups out there. They're atrocious. If Rowand is batting 3rd, then you know you're in bad shape :)
Yeah, your right lol. Thanks man, it was because of you that I finally decided to go Dodgers +1.5. I had been on the fence all day about it. Thanks again!
0
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
better bats? Have you seen the lineups out there. They're atrocious. If Rowand is batting 3rd, then you know you're in bad shape :)
Yeah, your right lol. Thanks man, it was because of you that I finally decided to go Dodgers +1.5. I had been on the fence all day about it. Thanks again!
I should have played it last night when it was at 9,now it's at CHIW/KC U 8.5 -115. Both teams have been going under recently,WSUX have 4 straight unders and KC have 5 in a row under the total. L10 WSUX have only 2 overs to 6 unders and 2 pushes. KC have 3 overs to 7 unders in their L10. Also both starters are in fine form with Danks L3 all being played under the numbers and 2 of the L3 for Chen. The first two meetings this year were overs but since then they have pushed once and then reeled off the L4 all under the total. This game looks to me like it could be a 3-2 maybe 4-3 type of game so even at 8.5 I think there is enough wiggle room to take this under.
..............
Liking the U 7 in the SD/FLA game. I liked it yesterday as well but played it in a parlay and the other half lost. Both pitchers are on fire right now. Harang has a 0.95 era and whip L3 while Nolasco is just as hot with a 1.04 era and .78 whip in his L3. Also read that San Diego (42-55) has been shut out a major league-high 15 times this season and Harang has throw 13 scoreless innings since coming off the DL. Nolasco is solid vs the PADS with a 3-0 record and 2.25 ERA over his last four starts against them
You going back to the U in FLA tonight BOD's....any thoughts on the other total ???
Yes I am...and no, i don't really have an opinion on the CHI/KCR total. First game back for DAnks. Will see how he does. Plus Dunn is out of the lineup so that hurts the UNDER :)
0
Quote Originally Posted by DDH420:
I should have played it last night when it was at 9,now it's at CHIW/KC U 8.5 -115. Both teams have been going under recently,WSUX have 4 straight unders and KC have 5 in a row under the total. L10 WSUX have only 2 overs to 6 unders and 2 pushes. KC have 3 overs to 7 unders in their L10. Also both starters are in fine form with Danks L3 all being played under the numbers and 2 of the L3 for Chen. The first two meetings this year were overs but since then they have pushed once and then reeled off the L4 all under the total. This game looks to me like it could be a 3-2 maybe 4-3 type of game so even at 8.5 I think there is enough wiggle room to take this under.
..............
Liking the U 7 in the SD/FLA game. I liked it yesterday as well but played it in a parlay and the other half lost. Both pitchers are on fire right now. Harang has a 0.95 era and whip L3 while Nolasco is just as hot with a 1.04 era and .78 whip in his L3. Also read that San Diego (42-55) has been shut out a major league-high 15 times this season and Harang has throw 13 scoreless innings since coming off the DL. Nolasco is solid vs the PADS with a 3-0 record and 2.25 ERA over his last four starts against them
You going back to the U in FLA tonight BOD's....any thoughts on the other total ???
Yes I am...and no, i don't really have an opinion on the CHI/KCR total. First game back for DAnks. Will see how he does. Plus Dunn is out of the lineup so that hurts the UNDER :)
Alright, let's go back to the same play from yesterday. We have another scenario with very good starting pitchers, top 10 BP's, above average fielding, and poor offensive (bottom 10 both) teams. Both of these starting pitchers have ERA"s and WHIP's around 1.0 in their last 3 starts as both are pitching very well right now. Everyone knows that San Diego is one of the worst hitting teams in baseball, but Florida has Mike Cameron in its lineup! When you have Mike Cameron in your lineup at this stage of his career (his wOBA is a horrible .232 this year), you know you have issues. Same trends apply here as yesterday, in addition to the fact that the O/U when Padres play a below-.500 team is on a 0-7 run. I like another low scoring game here.
#3: Los Angeles Angels -128
Oh s#%t, am I really fading red-hot Texas Rangers? You betcha! I know Rangers are on a 12-game winning streak, but they've beaten Baltimore, A's, and Mariners to get this winning streak, 3 of the worst 5 teams in baseball (Houston and Cubs round it out). Don't get me wrong, it's still pretty impressive, but it's not AS impressive when you actually consider the teams they've played recently.
This is where Derek Holland comes in as well. Sure, the kid is going for his 3rd straight complete game (he won't get it today), but the first 2 came against OAK and SEA, two of the lightest offensive clubs in the league. Prior to that, Holland had a 5 game span where he gave up 21 ER's on 37 hits in only 26 innings pitched, with 15K's to 11 BB's (10 K's came in one game). In his career against the Angels, Holland has a 4.75 ERA. In his last 3 starts against them (1 this year) he has allowed 9 ER's on 17 hits in 14 innings pitched with 8K's to 8 BB's. Not very impressive is it? At the same time, Holland has an interesting L/R split, with lefties having an OBP of only .294 off him compared to .350 for the righties. Hmmm... Interesting. (Both Seattle and Oakland (his last 2 opponents) have a number of 'key' lefties in their lineups.) I checked Holland's advanced stats and sure enough his xFIP against lefties is 3.22 and a much worse 4.07 against right-handed batters. In addition he has a 3.17 K/BB ratio against lefties and 1.97 against righties. Hmmm. Here was LA's lineup in yesterday's game:
1. Maicer Izturis (S) 2B 2. Torii Hunter (R) RF 3. Bobby Abreu (S) DH 4. Vernon Wells (R) CF 5. Alberto Callaspo (S) 3B 6. Howard Kendrick (R) LF 7. Erick Aybar (S) SS 8. Mark Trumbo (R) 1B 9. Jeff Mathis (R) C
I expect to see a similar lineup today as well. I don't expect Holland to see even one full-time lefty in there as Angels must use any advantage they have, to get back in this divisional race. At the same time, Holland is coming off two straight outings where he threw 118 and 119 times. He is averaging 102 pitches per game-started this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he tires out a bit in this one (his career high is 118 also).
Opposite Holland is Haren, who is a super-stud. I'm not going to regurgitate all of his stats, but he's definitely a top-10 pitcher in this league. Against the Rangers he has a 3.50 ERA life-time. But what's impressive is his last 3 starts against them (1 this year): 4 ER's on 16 hits in 20.2 innings of work with a 10 K's to 3 BB's ratio. These numbers are very different from Holland's last 3 starts against the Angels. I like Haren to be sharp again tonight.
Angels have a better staring pitcher on the mound, better bullpen, and a better fielding team. They have an advantage in 3 of the 4 main categories. Obviously Rangers' O is stronger, but you know what they say: "Good pitching is always better than good hitting" and today, Angels definitely have the pitching in their favor.
Good luck!
0
#2: UNDER 7 SDP/FLA -102
Alright, let's go back to the same play from yesterday. We have another scenario with very good starting pitchers, top 10 BP's, above average fielding, and poor offensive (bottom 10 both) teams. Both of these starting pitchers have ERA"s and WHIP's around 1.0 in their last 3 starts as both are pitching very well right now. Everyone knows that San Diego is one of the worst hitting teams in baseball, but Florida has Mike Cameron in its lineup! When you have Mike Cameron in your lineup at this stage of his career (his wOBA is a horrible .232 this year), you know you have issues. Same trends apply here as yesterday, in addition to the fact that the O/U when Padres play a below-.500 team is on a 0-7 run. I like another low scoring game here.
#3: Los Angeles Angels -128
Oh s#%t, am I really fading red-hot Texas Rangers? You betcha! I know Rangers are on a 12-game winning streak, but they've beaten Baltimore, A's, and Mariners to get this winning streak, 3 of the worst 5 teams in baseball (Houston and Cubs round it out). Don't get me wrong, it's still pretty impressive, but it's not AS impressive when you actually consider the teams they've played recently.
This is where Derek Holland comes in as well. Sure, the kid is going for his 3rd straight complete game (he won't get it today), but the first 2 came against OAK and SEA, two of the lightest offensive clubs in the league. Prior to that, Holland had a 5 game span where he gave up 21 ER's on 37 hits in only 26 innings pitched, with 15K's to 11 BB's (10 K's came in one game). In his career against the Angels, Holland has a 4.75 ERA. In his last 3 starts against them (1 this year) he has allowed 9 ER's on 17 hits in 14 innings pitched with 8K's to 8 BB's. Not very impressive is it? At the same time, Holland has an interesting L/R split, with lefties having an OBP of only .294 off him compared to .350 for the righties. Hmmm... Interesting. (Both Seattle and Oakland (his last 2 opponents) have a number of 'key' lefties in their lineups.) I checked Holland's advanced stats and sure enough his xFIP against lefties is 3.22 and a much worse 4.07 against right-handed batters. In addition he has a 3.17 K/BB ratio against lefties and 1.97 against righties. Hmmm. Here was LA's lineup in yesterday's game:
1. Maicer Izturis (S) 2B 2. Torii Hunter (R) RF 3. Bobby Abreu (S) DH 4. Vernon Wells (R) CF 5. Alberto Callaspo (S) 3B 6. Howard Kendrick (R) LF 7. Erick Aybar (S) SS 8. Mark Trumbo (R) 1B 9. Jeff Mathis (R) C
I expect to see a similar lineup today as well. I don't expect Holland to see even one full-time lefty in there as Angels must use any advantage they have, to get back in this divisional race. At the same time, Holland is coming off two straight outings where he threw 118 and 119 times. He is averaging 102 pitches per game-started this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he tires out a bit in this one (his career high is 118 also).
Opposite Holland is Haren, who is a super-stud. I'm not going to regurgitate all of his stats, but he's definitely a top-10 pitcher in this league. Against the Rangers he has a 3.50 ERA life-time. But what's impressive is his last 3 starts against them (1 this year): 4 ER's on 16 hits in 20.2 innings of work with a 10 K's to 3 BB's ratio. These numbers are very different from Holland's last 3 starts against the Angels. I like Haren to be sharp again tonight.
Angels have a better staring pitcher on the mound, better bullpen, and a better fielding team. They have an advantage in 3 of the 4 main categories. Obviously Rangers' O is stronger, but you know what they say: "Good pitching is always better than good hitting" and today, Angels definitely have the pitching in their favor.
BOL Bod Any thoughts on the Mets tonight? Albert Pujols went 0/4 last night, and it seems as if the Cards are struggling to manufacture some runs. Mets looked solid yesterday with Reyes and Beltran back in the line up. Your thoughts would be appreciated.
0
BOL Bod Any thoughts on the Mets tonight? Albert Pujols went 0/4 last night, and it seems as if the Cards are struggling to manufacture some runs. Mets looked solid yesterday with Reyes and Beltran back in the line up. Your thoughts would be appreciated.
Bodio, appreciate the input...any worry about the recent high pitch counts for Nolasco (5 games in a row over 100) and this time only on 4 days rest?? thanks bud
0
Bodio, appreciate the input...any worry about the recent high pitch counts for Nolasco (5 games in a row over 100) and this time only on 4 days rest?? thanks bud
hey Bodio, I wanted to get your opinion on the Pads game.
The Padres have won 7 of the last 9 meetings at Florida overall and 6 straight on
the road in this series. Also, Harang having a
great season below the radar. He is 7-2 with an ERA of 3.29 and the Padres have won 4
of his last 5 road starts.
So I was thinking about either +158 which is huge.. Or just playing it safe with +1.5 at -140.
Oh also, dude! check out the day so far! Im getting really excited about my MLB capping finally coming together. I have gone 16-4 since I started posting the day before yesterday . You have helped a lot man and I wanted to thank you again.
Today's tally so far
Boston ML Washington +1.5 Phillies ML Reds ML Twins ML Dodgers +1.5 Indians live +1.5 (semi hedge) Texas ML +119 (this was an auto bet lol. I have made more money on them than any other team and Ill continue to bet until the streak ends lol)
0
hey Bodio, I wanted to get your opinion on the Pads game.
The Padres have won 7 of the last 9 meetings at Florida overall and 6 straight on
the road in this series. Also, Harang having a
great season below the radar. He is 7-2 with an ERA of 3.29 and the Padres have won 4
of his last 5 road starts.
So I was thinking about either +158 which is huge.. Or just playing it safe with +1.5 at -140.
Oh also, dude! check out the day so far! Im getting really excited about my MLB capping finally coming together. I have gone 16-4 since I started posting the day before yesterday . You have helped a lot man and I wanted to thank you again.
Today's tally so far
Boston ML Washington +1.5 Phillies ML Reds ML Twins ML Dodgers +1.5 Indians live +1.5 (semi hedge) Texas ML +119 (this was an auto bet lol. I have made more money on them than any other team and Ill continue to bet until the streak ends lol)
Alright, let's go back to the same play from yesterday. We have another scenario with very good starting pitchers, top 10 BP's, above average fielding, and poor offensive (bottom 10 both) teams. Both of these starting pitchers have ERA"s and WHIP's around 1.0 in their last 3 starts as both are pitching very well right now. Everyone knows that San Diego is one of the worst hitting teams in baseball, but Florida has Mike Cameron in its lineup! When you have Mike Cameron in your lineup at this stage of his career (his wOBA is a horrible .232 this year), you know you have issues. Same trends apply here as yesterday, in addition to the fact that the O/U when Padres play a below-.500 team is on a 0-7 run. I like another low scoring game here.
#3: Los Angeles Angels -128
Oh s#%t, am I really fading red-hot Texas Rangers? You betcha! I know Rangers are on a 12-game winning streak, but they've beaten Baltimore, A's, and Mariners to get this winning streak, 3 of the worst 5 teams in baseball (Houston and Cubs round it out). Don't get me wrong, it's still pretty impressive, but it's not AS impressive when you actually consider the teams they've played recently.
This is where Derek Holland comes in as well. Sure, the kid is going for his 3rd straight complete game (he won't get it today), but the first 2 came against OAK and SEA, two of the lightest offensive clubs in the league. Prior to that, Holland had a 5 game span where he gave up 21 ER's on 37 hits in only 26 innings pitched, with 15K's to 11 BB's (10 K's came in one game). In his career against the Angels, Holland has a 4.75 ERA. In his last 3 starts against them (1 this year) he has allowed 9 ER's on 17 hits in 14 innings pitched with 8K's to 8 BB's. Not very impressive is it? At the same time, Holland has an interesting L/R split, with lefties having an OBP of only .294 off him compared to .350 for the righties. Hmmm... Interesting. (Both Seattle and Oakland (his last 2 opponents) have a number of 'key' lefties in their lineups.) I checked Holland's advanced stats and sure enough his xFIP against lefties is 3.22 and a much worse 4.07 against right-handed batters. In addition he has a 3.17 K/BB ratio against lefties and 1.97 against righties. Hmmm. Here was LA's lineup in yesterday's game:
1. Maicer Izturis (S) 2B 2. Torii Hunter (R) RF 3. Bobby Abreu (S) DH 4. Vernon Wells (R) CF 5. Alberto Callaspo (S) 3B 6. Howard Kendrick (R) LF 7. Erick Aybar (S) SS 8. Mark Trumbo (R) 1B 9. Jeff Mathis (R) C
I expect to see a similar lineup today as well. I don't expect Holland to see even one full-time lefty in there as Angels must use any advantage they have, to get back in this divisional race. At the same time, Holland is coming off two straight outings where he threw 118 and 119 times. He is averaging 102 pitches per game-started this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he tires out a bit in this one (his career high is 118 also).
Opposite Holland is Haren, who is a super-stud. I'm not going to regurgitate all of his stats, but he's definitely a top-10 pitcher in this league. Against the Rangers he has a 3.50 ERA life-time. But what's impressive is his last 3 starts against them (1 this year): 4 ER's on 16 hits in 20.2 innings of work with a 10 K's to 3 BB's ratio. These numbers are very different from Holland's last 3 starts against the Angels. I like Haren to be sharp again tonight.
Angels have a better staring pitcher on the mound, better bullpen, and a better fielding team. They have an advantage in 3 of the 4 main categories. Obviously Rangers' O is stronger, but you know what they say: "Good pitching is always better than good hitting" and today, Angels definitely have the pitching in their favor.
Good luck!
I love your picks, write ups and input to questions bodio but i am gonna have to disagree that the angels bullpen is better than texas. angels bullpen is improbing but far from good. also a side note that holland is not good with runners on base so if the angels can be pesky than you might be looking good. also holland and the rangers staff throws more pitches than any other staff due to the fact that nolan ryan said his club does not support pitch counts. anyways BOL bodio and keep it up
0
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
#2: UNDER 7 SDP/FLA -102
Alright, let's go back to the same play from yesterday. We have another scenario with very good starting pitchers, top 10 BP's, above average fielding, and poor offensive (bottom 10 both) teams. Both of these starting pitchers have ERA"s and WHIP's around 1.0 in their last 3 starts as both are pitching very well right now. Everyone knows that San Diego is one of the worst hitting teams in baseball, but Florida has Mike Cameron in its lineup! When you have Mike Cameron in your lineup at this stage of his career (his wOBA is a horrible .232 this year), you know you have issues. Same trends apply here as yesterday, in addition to the fact that the O/U when Padres play a below-.500 team is on a 0-7 run. I like another low scoring game here.
#3: Los Angeles Angels -128
Oh s#%t, am I really fading red-hot Texas Rangers? You betcha! I know Rangers are on a 12-game winning streak, but they've beaten Baltimore, A's, and Mariners to get this winning streak, 3 of the worst 5 teams in baseball (Houston and Cubs round it out). Don't get me wrong, it's still pretty impressive, but it's not AS impressive when you actually consider the teams they've played recently.
This is where Derek Holland comes in as well. Sure, the kid is going for his 3rd straight complete game (he won't get it today), but the first 2 came against OAK and SEA, two of the lightest offensive clubs in the league. Prior to that, Holland had a 5 game span where he gave up 21 ER's on 37 hits in only 26 innings pitched, with 15K's to 11 BB's (10 K's came in one game). In his career against the Angels, Holland has a 4.75 ERA. In his last 3 starts against them (1 this year) he has allowed 9 ER's on 17 hits in 14 innings pitched with 8K's to 8 BB's. Not very impressive is it? At the same time, Holland has an interesting L/R split, with lefties having an OBP of only .294 off him compared to .350 for the righties. Hmmm... Interesting. (Both Seattle and Oakland (his last 2 opponents) have a number of 'key' lefties in their lineups.) I checked Holland's advanced stats and sure enough his xFIP against lefties is 3.22 and a much worse 4.07 against right-handed batters. In addition he has a 3.17 K/BB ratio against lefties and 1.97 against righties. Hmmm. Here was LA's lineup in yesterday's game:
1. Maicer Izturis (S) 2B 2. Torii Hunter (R) RF 3. Bobby Abreu (S) DH 4. Vernon Wells (R) CF 5. Alberto Callaspo (S) 3B 6. Howard Kendrick (R) LF 7. Erick Aybar (S) SS 8. Mark Trumbo (R) 1B 9. Jeff Mathis (R) C
I expect to see a similar lineup today as well. I don't expect Holland to see even one full-time lefty in there as Angels must use any advantage they have, to get back in this divisional race. At the same time, Holland is coming off two straight outings where he threw 118 and 119 times. He is averaging 102 pitches per game-started this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he tires out a bit in this one (his career high is 118 also).
Opposite Holland is Haren, who is a super-stud. I'm not going to regurgitate all of his stats, but he's definitely a top-10 pitcher in this league. Against the Rangers he has a 3.50 ERA life-time. But what's impressive is his last 3 starts against them (1 this year): 4 ER's on 16 hits in 20.2 innings of work with a 10 K's to 3 BB's ratio. These numbers are very different from Holland's last 3 starts against the Angels. I like Haren to be sharp again tonight.
Angels have a better staring pitcher on the mound, better bullpen, and a better fielding team. They have an advantage in 3 of the 4 main categories. Obviously Rangers' O is stronger, but you know what they say: "Good pitching is always better than good hitting" and today, Angels definitely have the pitching in their favor.
Good luck!
I love your picks, write ups and input to questions bodio but i am gonna have to disagree that the angels bullpen is better than texas. angels bullpen is improbing but far from good. also a side note that holland is not good with runners on base so if the angels can be pesky than you might be looking good. also holland and the rangers staff throws more pitches than any other staff due to the fact that nolan ryan said his club does not support pitch counts. anyways BOL bodio and keep it up
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I don't eccept loser side
. You have helped a lot man and I wanted to thank you again.
(this was an auto bet lol. I have made more money on them than any other team and Ill continue to bet until the streak ends lol)
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