Heres my blurb from last night. "The GIANTS at home -130 where they are 30-16 and have Little Timmy Linny
on the mound is great value IMHO. Especially with the way SF just finds
ways to win and is or right at the top of the majors in winning
percentage in 1 run games. Also the Dodgers are brutal and just plain
old brutal,more so on the road where they're 19-28 . Plus they've cooled of since going back on the road. They won their first game in Zona but have now dropped 4 straight while SF is hot winning 3 in a row,7 of 9 and 8 of their L10...........Long story short I think the pitching is pretty tight but SF is a winner and L.A is not
The PHI play is honestly a bit of an impulse play this morning. It's not as much a fade of Dumpster but more of his team. They're 8 games below 500 at home and even in his great run at home (4-1 1.74) he's only gotten more than 3 runs of support just the one time.
And as good as Dumpy has been Worley has been dealing himself with a 3-0 record and 0.89 era L5 starts (all PHILLY wins) since being recalled from AAA. You're probably right and I shoulda left this PHILS one on the board I just thought that if the pitching is tight the PHILS are the better team and at -120 it was within my wheelhouse price wise. Plus PHI travels pretty well (26-22 road) and it didn't hurt that Mike DiMuro is a road warrior either. The road team is 13-5 in his 18 behind the plate this year and were 20-14 last year so 33-19 in his L52 going back through last season.
We'll see I guess but now ya got me second guessing and I'm a bit nervous
Interesting. I understand the home/away records etc. which is all good, but Kershaw is sick this year and has numbers which are even better than Timmy. Also, Keshaw's ERA against the Giants is half of what Timmy's is against the Dodgers. Just don't see much value in backing Timmy at -130 odds, even at home. To me this game is close to 50/50. At -130 odds, you're saying that Giants will win this matchup 57% of the time
Worley has never seen the Cubs, so he has an advantage there. The problem is that Dempster has been very good for the whole season except the months of March and April. Fading him at home doesn't seem like a 'value' play to me.
Either way, I'm not on any of these, and I hate the Cubs, so I hope you win them both!!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by DDH420:
Heres my blurb from last night. "The GIANTS at home -130 where they are 30-16 and have Little Timmy Linny
on the mound is great value IMHO. Especially with the way SF just finds
ways to win and is or right at the top of the majors in winning
percentage in 1 run games. Also the Dodgers are brutal and just plain
old brutal,more so on the road where they're 19-28 . Plus they've cooled of since going back on the road. They won their first game in Zona but have now dropped 4 straight while SF is hot winning 3 in a row,7 of 9 and 8 of their L10...........Long story short I think the pitching is pretty tight but SF is a winner and L.A is not
The PHI play is honestly a bit of an impulse play this morning. It's not as much a fade of Dumpster but more of his team. They're 8 games below 500 at home and even in his great run at home (4-1 1.74) he's only gotten more than 3 runs of support just the one time.
And as good as Dumpy has been Worley has been dealing himself with a 3-0 record and 0.89 era L5 starts (all PHILLY wins) since being recalled from AAA. You're probably right and I shoulda left this PHILS one on the board I just thought that if the pitching is tight the PHILS are the better team and at -120 it was within my wheelhouse price wise. Plus PHI travels pretty well (26-22 road) and it didn't hurt that Mike DiMuro is a road warrior either. The road team is 13-5 in his 18 behind the plate this year and were 20-14 last year so 33-19 in his L52 going back through last season.
We'll see I guess but now ya got me second guessing and I'm a bit nervous
Interesting. I understand the home/away records etc. which is all good, but Kershaw is sick this year and has numbers which are even better than Timmy. Also, Keshaw's ERA against the Giants is half of what Timmy's is against the Dodgers. Just don't see much value in backing Timmy at -130 odds, even at home. To me this game is close to 50/50. At -130 odds, you're saying that Giants will win this matchup 57% of the time
Worley has never seen the Cubs, so he has an advantage there. The problem is that Dempster has been very good for the whole season except the months of March and April. Fading him at home doesn't seem like a 'value' play to me.
Either way, I'm not on any of these, and I hate the Cubs, so I hope you win them both!!!!
Really liking the way URA are playing right now. Floran isn't finding the twine and they are still winning. And he and Suarez are as good a 1-2 as there is around right now. Great chemistry
Yes they are. Maybe URU in the finals then, depending on who wins today. Hmm...we shall see
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Quote Originally Posted by DDH420:
Really liking the way URA are playing right now. Floran isn't finding the twine and they are still winning. And he and Suarez are as good a 1-2 as there is around right now. Great chemistry
Yes they are. Maybe URU in the finals then, depending on who wins today. Hmm...we shall see
Kershaw is definitely a solid starter I just saw he does his best at home where he's 7-1,1.88 era and .183 opp b.a while on the road just 3-3,4,31 and .256 opp b.a. Timmy is actually a bit better on the road too though so we'll see
Oh and SF is 4-1 vs L.A in SF (7-4 overall) and SF wins about 65% of their home games 30-16, L.A wins about half that on the road at 19-28.
You are far better at this than me so I know I won't get rich going against you,just trying to learn as I go and get a bit better each year. I started betting bases 3 years ago then wagering and "capping" (sorta lol) the last couple seasons. I'm getting better but it's truly a work in progress. The best thing I have done though is try to surround myself with others smarter than myself and learn from them.
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Kershaw is definitely a solid starter I just saw he does his best at home where he's 7-1,1.88 era and .183 opp b.a while on the road just 3-3,4,31 and .256 opp b.a. Timmy is actually a bit better on the road too though so we'll see
Oh and SF is 4-1 vs L.A in SF (7-4 overall) and SF wins about 65% of their home games 30-16, L.A wins about half that on the road at 19-28.
You are far better at this than me so I know I won't get rich going against you,just trying to learn as I go and get a bit better each year. I started betting bases 3 years ago then wagering and "capping" (sorta lol) the last couple seasons. I'm getting better but it's truly a work in progress. The best thing I have done though is try to surround myself with others smarter than myself and learn from them.
Kershaw is definitely a solid starter I just saw he does his best at home where he's 7-1,1.88 era and .183 opp b.a while on the road just 3-3,4,31 and .256 opp b.a. Timmy is actually a bit better on the road too though so we'll see
Oh and SF is 4-1 vs L.A in SF (7-4 overall) and SF wins about 65% of their home games 30-16, L.A wins about half that on the road at 19-28.
You are far better at this than me so I know I won't get rich going against you,just trying to learn as I go and get a bit better each year. I started betting bases 3 years ago then wagering and "capping" (sorta lol) the last couple seasons. I'm getting better but it's truly a work in progress. The best thing I have done though is try to surround myself with others smarter than myself and learn from them.
You're not going against me. I'm not on those games. I hope you win them both! GL!
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Quote Originally Posted by DDH420:
Kershaw is definitely a solid starter I just saw he does his best at home where he's 7-1,1.88 era and .183 opp b.a while on the road just 3-3,4,31 and .256 opp b.a. Timmy is actually a bit better on the road too though so we'll see
Oh and SF is 4-1 vs L.A in SF (7-4 overall) and SF wins about 65% of their home games 30-16, L.A wins about half that on the road at 19-28.
You are far better at this than me so I know I won't get rich going against you,just trying to learn as I go and get a bit better each year. I started betting bases 3 years ago then wagering and "capping" (sorta lol) the last couple seasons. I'm getting better but it's truly a work in progress. The best thing I have done though is try to surround myself with others smarter than myself and learn from them.
You're not going against me. I'm not on those games. I hope you win them both! GL!
Well done sir ya just keep on rolling very impressive.
I shoulda have stuck with my under play but I forced the +1.5 to T.O so I only break even on this game. Even worse I did the same thing with BOS. I had them as my first pick of the day (CIN/PIT U 7 was #2) but I pussied out and played the O 10.5 and that will cost me again. Looks like it comes down to the Midgets for me to have a winning afternoon or not.
Anyways Congrats,Handshakes and all that good stuff for another winner bro
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Well done sir ya just keep on rolling very impressive.
I shoulda have stuck with my under play but I forced the +1.5 to T.O so I only break even on this game. Even worse I did the same thing with BOS. I had them as my first pick of the day (CIN/PIT U 7 was #2) but I pussied out and played the O 10.5 and that will cost me again. Looks like it comes down to the Midgets for me to have a winning afternoon or not.
Anyways Congrats,Handshakes and all that good stuff for another winner bro
Hey Bodio, I know you dont have a lean posted for the SF game but if you were just to go by your gut... would you say SF or Dodgers?
Im thinking both pitchers will do great. Kershaw will probably do a little better.. but the SF bats seem to be more reliable as of late and could be the difference maker. What do you think man?
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Hey Bodio, I know you dont have a lean posted for the SF game but if you were just to go by your gut... would you say SF or Dodgers?
Im thinking both pitchers will do great. Kershaw will probably do a little better.. but the SF bats seem to be more reliable as of late and could be the difference maker. What do you think man?
Hey Bodio, I know you dont have a lean posted for the SF game but if you were just to go by your gut... would you say SF or Dodgers?
Im thinking both pitchers will do great. Kershaw will probably do a little better.. but the SF bats seem to be more reliable as of late and could be the difference maker. What do you think man?
Dodgers. Anytime you can get Kershaw at +122 that's a solid bet IMO. (yes, even against Timmy on the road)
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Quote Originally Posted by CloserX:
Hey Bodio, I know you dont have a lean posted for the SF game but if you were just to go by your gut... would you say SF or Dodgers?
Im thinking both pitchers will do great. Kershaw will probably do a little better.. but the SF bats seem to be more reliable as of late and could be the difference maker. What do you think man?
Dodgers. Anytime you can get Kershaw at +122 that's a solid bet IMO. (yes, even against Timmy on the road)
Ahhh, i just saw that you talked about it in your last page. damn.. lol do I go with better pitching or better bats. Also SF has good numbers against the team as a whole.. even though kershaw has good numbers against sf.
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Ahhh, i just saw that you talked about it in your last page. damn.. lol do I go with better pitching or better bats. Also SF has good numbers against the team as a whole.. even though kershaw has good numbers against sf.
Congrats bodio...damn been busy at work and couldn't get a chance to log on...didn't realize u posted a play for the day game...missed out on this one...look forward to yur play tonight. FYI took Paraguay/venezuela tie after 90 min....Paraguay keeper playing INSANE and don't see Venezuela taking chances....Paraguay 4 straight ties on his tourny...let's make it 5
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Congrats bodio...damn been busy at work and couldn't get a chance to log on...didn't realize u posted a play for the day game...missed out on this one...look forward to yur play tonight. FYI took Paraguay/venezuela tie after 90 min....Paraguay keeper playing INSANE and don't see Venezuela taking chances....Paraguay 4 straight ties on his tourny...let's make it 5
A red flag just went up for me with your pick of Cinn. Many of the top cappers are touting the same thing. Many times, the next day, everyone is saying I can't believe they lost. I will leave that game alone. BOL
A couple guys on the computer saying they lean this way or that way does not effect the outcome of games. It is physically impossible, unless there is some sort of artificial intelligence, or aliens, or perhaps a gambling God.
I am the god of betting
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Quote Originally Posted by raghead:
A red flag just went up for me with your pick of Cinn. Many of the top cappers are touting the same thing. Many times, the next day, everyone is saying I can't believe they lost. I will leave that game alone. BOL
A couple guys on the computer saying they lean this way or that way does not effect the outcome of games. It is physically impossible, unless there is some sort of artificial intelligence, or aliens, or perhaps a gambling God.
Yes, most likely. No plays for the rest of the afternoon games and I will finish capping the evening games after lunch... Didn't get a chance to cap the games properly last night (started playing soccer again so was at a practice till 9 pm) so a bit behind today...
wow u played soccer in this heat
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Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
Yes, most likely. No plays for the rest of the afternoon games and I will finish capping the evening games after lunch... Didn't get a chance to cap the games properly last night (started playing soccer again so was at a practice till 9 pm) so a bit behind today...
Ahhh, i just saw that you talked about it in your last page. damn.. lol do I go with better pitching or better bats. Also SF has good numbers against the team as a whole.. even though kershaw has good numbers against sf.
better bats? Have you seen the lineups out there. They're atrocious. If Rowand is batting 3rd, then you know you're in bad shape :)
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Quote Originally Posted by CloserX:
Ahhh, i just saw that you talked about it in your last page. damn.. lol do I go with better pitching or better bats. Also SF has good numbers against the team as a whole.. even though kershaw has good numbers against sf.
better bats? Have you seen the lineups out there. They're atrocious. If Rowand is batting 3rd, then you know you're in bad shape :)
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as there is around right now. Great chemistry
Well done sir ya just keep on rolling very impressive. 
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