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Bodio's MLB Thur 04/14

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today!!
 
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GL bodio

 
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  leaning sd ...
 
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BOL buddy, love the Cards play
 
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Hey bodio, would you be able to post how many units you bet per game? Im just curious to see what games you like a little more than others. :) :) Awesome job
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by SharpBettor1:

Nice write-ups, but you don't seem to do well when you bet on STL games, maybe today it will be different.

hehe...true
STL is like the DEER in basketball for me  :)
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:

Hey Bodio,

How did you do last MLB season? I see your MLBP record posted but not the regular season. Just curious how it went overall. Keep up the good work!

Pretty good.  I didn't start keeping official records until the playoffs (that's when I started betting at my new designated unit amount)
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by North_14:

Bodio, Great Work as always, love the Cardinals after wha thier offense was able to accomplish this week in Zona..Your angle on Kuroda is spot on..

SD/Stros..  Bud Norris has been an absolute gas can, i know the padres dont hit it outta the park, but Norris has been dismal.. i know it looks like a square play, but the pitching advantage as to go with SD, and at +105.. there seems like to much value to go against the Pads!

 

As Always, love the write ups.


Sure, but Norris' K to BB ratio is pretty solid in those 2 starts.  Sure he got hit but a lot of it was bad luck.  Add in the fact that SDP haven't seen him much at all so we have the 'unfamiliarity' angle there also.  Moseley is a very marginal pitcher.  3 K's through 2 games is pathetic.  Houston is at home and as long as they're making contact with his pitches (they will, he doesn't strike guys out) they should be able to muster up some runs in this one.  

GL
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Brave3110:

BOL bro, keep the great work!!...any thoughts on the COL/METS game at noon??...im leaning COL...what ya think ?


Yeah, was leaning COL with De La Rosa as well in the 2nd game.  The first game I was leaning Mets... gL
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Barbosa212:

Whoops....my post got erased and only left me with your quote....

I wanted to know if you were worried about the Cards playing their 3night in a row in 2 different cities away from home b2b.  The Cards bats have been really hot, and maybe time for them to cool down.  Do you worry about NBA "like" factors in baseball, with a very long grinding season on the road...Statistically STL is the play, but wonder if they are tired.  What I just mentioned may be built into the line however.  Do you have any thoughts on the MLB season, and the grind being factored into your plays??

No, same factors do NOT apply in MLB like they do in NBA.  Baseball is a statistics heavy sport and that's why I enjoy capping it.  Scheduling angles don't really apply here as teams play pretty much every day anyways.  It's not as grueling a sport physically as is basketball. 
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by Dougheyez:

Hey bodio, would you be able to post how many units you bet per game? Im just curious to see what games you like a little more than others. :) :) Awesome job

I like them all the same.  All for the same amount.  I flat-bet
 
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Posted: #39
GL.
 
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Bodio, you use fangraphs, but I cant finde al that data that you show here. Pitcher against batter or that 115 pitches-next game that ER'.

Anything else then fangraphs?
 
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doing any NHL Bodio?
 
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BOL
 
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Good luck brutha !,Excellent capping yesterday on NBA,wow 6 - 0 !,maybe 7 - 0 if Fear the deer showed up.   
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


I like them all the same.  All for the same amount.  I flat-bet


Thanks man!!!!
 
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Good Luck Bo
 
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appriciate your work ....really helpful!! 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by mkbini:

doing any NHL Bodio?


Might look into it...
 
 
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Posted: #50

Love your write up on Houston. Makes me think over is the play. Will wait to see if the roof is open and who is calling the game.

Thanks and BOL!

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