6-8 -$1511
have won 5 of last 6 though...
Today's card the opposite of yesterday's. I edited it down from 4 plays to three (decided to eliminate Boston ML and just go bigger across the board). On a slower day I would have pulled the trigger, but today I'm just gonna focus on three MISSILES that I absolutely LOVE:
Miami -145 2103/1450 !!
I preface this with saying I am THE WORST Zac Gallen bettor on the planet. Whether I'm on him or fading him i NEVER win...I'm like 0-20. Guy always seems to do the absolute opposite of what you'd expect. But he is absolutely washed and facing an absolute STUD in Meyer. Tremendous swing and miss ability. Good control. All the makings of an ace. The ceiling is always a shutout...(he's given up 0 ER in 4 of his last 10), and he's pretty steady...really only one blow up to speak about. Gallen on the other hand has quite literally lost his fastball. He's good for multiple runs every start. Can't really strike anyone out anymore, and giving up home runs left and right. Splits also tell the story of Meyer being unbeatable at home while Gallen has been terrible on the road with a plus 7 ERA. Line started way lower, and sharps pounding it up...wish I got it earlier, but this is a POUND IT bet.
Philadelphia -108 920/850
May be asking for trouble for riding the Phils here again, but I think theyre hot and have been hitting their stride offensively. Great price to get Wheeler at. On the surface the pitching matchup seems like maybe a wash, but Wheeler is better than Cease, and seems like the latter is due for some regression. He misses a ton of bats, but he has been susceptible to the long ball...enter Philly's all or nothing go big or go home bats.
Oakland F5 -135 1222/950
Clear Pitching advantage here. Both offenses can mash. Running out of steam after the first couple write-ups but gimme Oakland
ALSO on Carolina to even up the series in PUCK!
Buena suerte.
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