150-126 +2449
G1 STL -1.5 +150
G1 STL TT O4.5 -125
TB 1st5 +.5 -132
NYY O6.5 -142
NYY TT O3.5 -110
2U CHC -146
CHC 1st5 -.5 -101
PIT 1st5 -.5 -110
TOR +135
BLT -112
PHL -184
CLV 1st5 +.5 +106
BOS 1st5 U4 +103
BOS TT U3.5 +115
WAS 1st 5 O4.5 -130
NYM TT U3.5 +105
ATH -104
LAA TT U3.4 -114
1.5U AZ -169
.5U AZ -1.5 +125
@undermysac
Long story a tad short:
HOU -11.75 YTD
CHC 1.8 YTD
CHC at home: 18-9 +3.9 units
HOU away: 9-17 -8.25 units
So, this is the largest differential for that category of all of the matchups this weekend.
Then the pitching M/U looks good for CHC for the full game. Teng will likely be out by the 5th inning.
HOU has not scored more than 4 runs in their last 10 games.
I thought for sure CHC would win this series. So, this is Avery key game fore them to bounce back.
Of course, the concern is you should not really take team that is starting a solid losing streak.
But HOU is just not that good.
So, I am hoping for a ‘levee break’ today.
Plus, I think it is a great number due to their losing 'streak' right now. So, the value is with them as well as the edge I see.
In my humble opinion, if the Cubs won't be able to hit Teng, they won't be able to hit the Stros pen.
That's how bad the vibes are in this lineup right now. Everyone is pressing.
PCA moves to lead off, and strikes out to start the inning...
Ian Happ is on the bench thank God.
I have no money at stake, and I'm a Cubs fan. So I'm rooting for you guys.
One last thing to consider for the Cubs future(it's a long season)...
The injuries to the starting pitching is starting to take a toll, it's bleeding into the pen.
Cade Horton is done for the year. Hit the shelf a month ago.
Matthew Boyd started the season, then missed a couple starts in April, came back for 2 starts just to hurt his knee while playing with his kid. His last start was May 3rd.
Ben Brown was moved to a starter. The dude laced up his shoes tight and has pitched well. Although he's been a 4 to 5 inning guy. He's made 3 starts, the first 2 were stellar, but last time out got hit around.
Jameson Tailon is NOT the dude he was in the past. I'm not sure what's up with him, but he's hit a wall of some sort.
Edward Cabrera is not progressing like the Cubs would have wanted him to. After a decent 2025 with the Marlins, his production has dropped. He's given up 3 or more runs 7 out of 10 starts. 2 of those good starts were the first 2 of the year. He only gave up 1 in his last start because he only went 3 innings and left with a blister...
Imanaga is the Cubs ace. 3.38 era, 3.39 fip. He is who he is. He had his worst outing last time out verse the Brew Crew, giving up 8 earned. And if the league copies the Brewers strategy of swinging early against Imanaga, watch out because this snowball is going to get bigger.
God Bless Colin Rea trying his best to be a band aid for this rotation. He's started 7 times(not including today). Last 6 starts(consecutive) his era is 5.76.
How the Cubs respond to this slump, and depth woes at pitcher is beyond me. How we attack em from a betting standpoint I really don't know either. But right now they're over valued in the midst of a terrible losing streak.
I could see every NL Central team surpassing them by mid June.
Amazing what a tiny little thing like swinging early and often vs a pitcher can do to his pitching strategy.
Imanaga's first 10 starts: era 3.38, fip 3.37 RE24 7.57
Last 2 starts: era 13.06, fip 9.28, RE24 -10.09
Established in 1995,
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