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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    2021 HOT STOVE

    «First Previous 333435 ... 798081 Next Last»
    JEG53
    KeyElement
    barneybeans
    undermysac
    BIGDTITLE
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    Search
    Views: 8886
    Posts: 2013
    «First Previous 333435 ... 798081 Next Last»
     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 11:00 AM ET #801

    @KeyElement

     Key you must know I would never bet a team with that kind of juice, come on now, fun is fun but money is a different world, for instance I bet Kershaw twice last year and only because he was close to even money and I think I only made about 4 bets all year.

    I play covers contest for fun and just to see how I can do,CBB on sides I am 480-456-20, of course they are all -110, and at a modest 51.26% I would of lost 10,800, I can not believe you think I would play any of my FAV. Teams for money, actually the way you bet is the only way you could play those kind of odds as your risk is always the same but even over time those kind of losses would affect your system which is why you do them seldom but once in awhile.

    That is one reason I have never been a big football bettor, you need to hit 54% or so to pay the juice and those services that local's use now juice shit to -120 or more, which was one reason I bought out of it since I was getting 10% of the charge to service I made good money last 7 years not counting virus year. When I was working most my bets were done on my 2 days off, except baseball were I would take a dog or 2 before work, I would some days take every team +200 and up without even looking at games, 2-5 was close to even and if I had a +300 that hit I made money if that won. I do not advice doing this daily but once in awhile it was ok, but it is not a big winner, just fun.

    But I thought you knew shit talk is just that since I been doing it for 13 years we been fooling around, but real betting is different but last year has not been that, for me the virus seasons have killed me and not used to playing every day so had to change things and when baseball starts I will open a couple on line accounts and go that way, the service was screwing lines and juice so I quit them.

    Reply

    @KeyElement

     Key you must know I would never bet a team with that kind of juice, come on now, fun is fun but money is a different world, for instance I bet Kershaw twice last year and only because he was close to even money and I think I only made about 4 bets all year.

    I play covers contest for fun and just to see how I can do,CBB on sides I am 480-456-20, of course they are all -110, and at a modest 51.26% I would of lost 10,800, I can not believe you think I would play any of my FAV. Teams for money, actually the way you bet is the only way you could play those kind of odds as your risk is always the same but even over time those kind of losses would affect your system which is why you do them seldom but once in awhile.

    That is one reason I have never been a big football bettor, you need to hit 54% or so to pay the juice and those services that local's use now juice shit to -120 or more, which was one reason I bought out of it since I was getting 10% of the charge to service I made good money last 7 years not counting virus year. When I was working most my bets were done on my 2 days off, except baseball were I would take a dog or 2 before work, I would some days take every team +200 and up without even looking at games, 2-5 was close to even and if I had a +300 that hit I made money if that won. I do not advice doing this daily but once in awhile it was ok, but it is not a big winner, just fun.

    But I thought you knew shit talk is just that since I been doing it for 13 years we been fooling around, but real betting is different but last year has not been that, for me the virus seasons have killed me and not used to playing every day so had to change things and when baseball starts I will open a couple on line accounts and go that way, the service was screwing lines and juice so I quit them.

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 11:01 AM ET #802

    I See You Took LC 800,lol.

    Reply

    I See You Took LC 800,lol.

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 12:27 PM ET #803

    @JEG53

     Well, I'm glad you cleared that up. Maybe I had not had enough coffee yet this morning (Posted at 6:00 A.M.) but it appeared you had been spending too much time with Puff, The Magic Dragon, AGAIN. Just the same, I will be able to LMFAO at all the geniuses that think they will be able to make a fortune betting the Yankees, Dodgers and Padres every day all season. You know they are coming, just waiting for CBB to end. 

    an_roll_laugh

    I suppose I should have noted #800 in LC's honor, but I was so frustrated with you I forgot to mention it. If he would just register as Abe Lincoln or Aunt Je___a (politically incorrect word) we would catch on, but it might take the mods years to do that. So many other critters have gotten away with it, why not LC?

    Have a nice day, and play $100 on Idaho, then tell your book to "let it ride" until they win the tournament. If it hits you will have no further need of advice from me, sac, or any of the fools that pass out on your bar every evening. Instead of bartending at the freakin resort you could buy the damn place. Yee-Haw

    an_dance

     

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @JEG53

     Well, I'm glad you cleared that up. Maybe I had not had enough coffee yet this morning (Posted at 6:00 A.M.) but it appeared you had been spending too much time with Puff, The Magic Dragon, AGAIN. Just the same, I will be able to LMFAO at all the geniuses that think they will be able to make a fortune betting the Yankees, Dodgers and Padres every day all season. You know they are coming, just waiting for CBB to end. 

    an_roll_laugh

    I suppose I should have noted #800 in LC's honor, but I was so frustrated with you I forgot to mention it. If he would just register as Abe Lincoln or Aunt Je___a (politically incorrect word) we would catch on, but it might take the mods years to do that. So many other critters have gotten away with it, why not LC?

    Have a nice day, and play $100 on Idaho, then tell your book to "let it ride" until they win the tournament. If it hits you will have no further need of advice from me, sac, or any of the fools that pass out on your bar every evening. Instead of bartending at the freakin resort you could buy the damn place. Yee-Haw

    an_dance

     

     
    barneybeans
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 12:28 PM ET #804

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    @barneybeans  Strangely, I think the Giants and D-bax may be the lowly 3-4 in the division and Rockies the real doormat, but it doesn't matter, none will be a playoff threat. They should lose badly to Dodgers and Padres and play each other with similar mediocrity.
    There's probably no reason to watch the D'Backs, Rox nor Giants. But there might be some good $ making opportunities out there for those MLB cellar dwellers. You can make a lot of money on the mediocre teams picking your spots wisely. IMHO. 

     

    A mediocre dog in a hitters park,  vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen.

     

    SD will be a good bet early in the season with the following conditions:

     

    vs big name pitcher/team (Kershaw, DeGrom, Scherzer, Nola)

    with Lamet or Musgrove starting

    Having hot bats

    Having rested pen

     

    You might get SD -120 to +140 depending on the venue and circumstances.

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    @barneybeans  Strangely, I think the Giants and D-bax may be the lowly 3-4 in the division and Rockies the real doormat, but it doesn't matter, none will be a playoff threat. They should lose badly to Dodgers and Padres and play each other with similar mediocrity.
    There's probably no reason to watch the D'Backs, Rox nor Giants. But there might be some good $ making opportunities out there for those MLB cellar dwellers. You can make a lot of money on the mediocre teams picking your spots wisely. IMHO. 

     

    A mediocre dog in a hitters park,  vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen.

     

    SD will be a good bet early in the season with the following conditions:

     

    vs big name pitcher/team (Kershaw, DeGrom, Scherzer, Nola)

    with Lamet or Musgrove starting

    Having hot bats

    Having rested pen

     

    You might get SD -120 to +140 depending on the venue and circumstances.

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 1:01 PM ET #805

    @barneybeans

    "A mediocre dog in a hitters park,  vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen."

    A similar thought, if not exactly the same thing. In the 5 inning game the bullpens are irrelevant, but because the 5 inning line is based on the adjusted full game line, bettors that are betting the better bullpen are shading the line that way. You often get solid 5 inning odds you would not take full game, because of the difference in bullpens. If you have a perceived edge in starter, but not the bullpen, you must consider the 5 inning line.

    an_light

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @barneybeans

    "A mediocre dog in a hitters park,  vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen."

    A similar thought, if not exactly the same thing. In the 5 inning game the bullpens are irrelevant, but because the 5 inning line is based on the adjusted full game line, bettors that are betting the better bullpen are shading the line that way. You often get solid 5 inning odds you would not take full game, because of the difference in bullpens. If you have a perceived edge in starter, but not the bullpen, you must consider the 5 inning line.

    an_light

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 12:44 PM ET #806

    Jeg "letting it ride" on Idaho an_roll_laugh

    Reply

    Jeg "letting it ride" on Idaho an_roll_laugh

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 12:45 PM ET #807

    Northwestern ML +210 today reallyhappy

    Reply

    Northwestern ML +210 today reallyhappy

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 3:57 PM ET #808

    @undermysac

     I did it sucka. I took JEG at his word (foolish me) and jumped in with the hottest capper in CBB history. IT FREAKIN BETTER WIN, or your azz is grass and I am big power lawn mower. 

    bigsmile an_roll_laugh

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @undermysac

     I did it sucka. I took JEG at his word (foolish me) and jumped in with the hottest capper in CBB history. IT FREAKIN BETTER WIN, or your azz is grass and I am big power lawn mower. 

    bigsmile an_roll_laugh

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 4:01 PM ET #809

    @undermysac

     I think you might be better taking the points on NW or maybe even the FH, not sure about a win but your the CBB Expert.

    Reply

    @undermysac

     I think you might be better taking the points on NW or maybe even the FH, not sure about a win but your the CBB Expert.

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 6:22 PM ET #810

    Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

    @undermysac  I think you might be better taking the points on NW or maybe even the FH, not sure about a win but your the CBB Expert.

    Took the 6 points as well. Bet accordingly.

    Fyi, the streak is probably ending soon, the laws of probability won't allow me to keep this pace.

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

    @undermysac  I think you might be better taking the points on NW or maybe even the FH, not sure about a win but your the CBB Expert.

    Took the 6 points as well. Bet accordingly.

    Fyi, the streak is probably ending soon, the laws of probability won't allow me to keep this pace.

    peace_5

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 8:12 PM ET #811

    @undermysac

     You better keep it up one more day because your original post did not say anything about the 6. I am on the moneyline and YOU ARE ON THE HOOK.

    No guts - No glory

    an_razz

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @undermysac

     You better keep it up one more day because your original post did not say anything about the 6. I am on the moneyline and YOU ARE ON THE HOOK.

    No guts - No glory

    an_razz

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 8:33 PM ET #812

    @KeyElement

     If you would of looked at his awesome CBB thread he has the bet with the points, which I did not take, instead I went with ODB on Penn St. getting 10.5 points, that service that I posted a few of his picks has been terrible, he was doing well but last 5 days he is 2-7 and now he has NW +6 today, so I followed the best CBB Capper ODB.

    Reply

    @KeyElement

     If you would of looked at his awesome CBB thread he has the bet with the points, which I did not take, instead I went with ODB on Penn St. getting 10.5 points, that service that I posted a few of his picks has been terrible, he was doing well but last 5 days he is 2-7 and now he has NW +6 today, so I followed the best CBB Capper ODB.

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 8:39 PM ET #813

    @KeyElement

    Puff, The Magic Dragon, AGAIN.

     

    Key you are so still in the 60s, IT IS CANDY NOW JUST EAT A COUPLE SWEET TARTS.

    Reply

    @KeyElement

    Puff, The Magic Dragon, AGAIN.

     

    Key you are so still in the 60s, IT IS CANDY NOW JUST EAT A COUPLE SWEET TARTS.

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 8:47 PM ET #814

    an_beatup

    Reply

    an_beatup

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 11:55 PM ET #815

    @undermysac

     You had to give him a loser, he is blaming me already,an_roll_laughan_roll_laugh.

    Reply

    @undermysac

     You had to give him a loser, he is blaming me already,an_roll_laughan_roll_laugh.

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 6:53 AM ET #816

    @undermysac

     At least it was quick, if not painless.

    an_cry

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @undermysac

     At least it was quick, if not painless.

    an_cry

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 10:43 AM ET #817

    Well, at least Barney was there for the ride. 27-3 streak. All good things come to an end. Went 2-7 yesterday.

    Maybe now focus on baseball? reallyhappy

    Reply

    Well, at least Barney was there for the ride. 27-3 streak. All good things come to an end. Went 2-7 yesterday.

    Maybe now focus on baseball? reallyhappy

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posts: 26776
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 3:38 PM ET #818

    @undermysac

     As I just read you decided to not wait for baseball an_roll_laughan_roll_laugh , but that guy said you only lose on Sunday,

    GL Today.

    Key today is sac day,yesterday ODB won every pick so he might be the one, as of this moment ODB is my fav., but I won bets from both this weekend.

    Reply

    @undermysac

     As I just read you decided to not wait for baseball an_roll_laughan_roll_laugh , but that guy said you only lose on Sunday,

    GL Today.

    Key today is sac day,yesterday ODB won every pick so he might be the one, as of this moment ODB is my fav., but I won bets from both this weekend.

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 3:39 PM ET #819

    @undermysac

     My bookie is laughing at Barney's. Back to the business of this forum thebaseball

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @undermysac

     My bookie is laughing at Barney's. Back to the business of this forum thebaseball

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Joined: Dec, 2007
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 3:41 PM ET #820

    @JEG53

     I don't car what acronym you use, I am never taking your advice again an_razz

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @JEG53

     I don't car what acronym you use, I am never taking your advice again an_razz

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posts: 23750
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 3:42 PM ET #821

    @JEG53

     Footnote - Go tell Puff all about it

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @JEG53

     Footnote - Go tell Puff all about it

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posts: 52622
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 8:30 PM ET #822

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    @JEG53  I don't car what acronym you use, I am never taking your advice again

    Took you this long....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    @JEG53  I don't car what acronym you use, I am never taking your advice again

    Took you this long....

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 9:04 PM ET #823

    @undermysac

     I gave him every possible break in the world but there are some guys that will never prove reliable. new_smh

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @undermysac

     I gave him every possible break in the world but there are some guys that will never prove reliable. new_smh

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 11:32 PM ET #824

    @KeyElement

     You need to go re read from 807 to 822, your envy is really coming out in droves but for some reason your showing your love for sac and even when I tried to point out that is play had issues you still jumped all over it and now you 2 girls are ganging up against me, I am starting to think you guys were involved in getting LC kicked to the curb because he liked me more.

    I CAN SEE CLEARLY NOW

    ME an_punch KEY OR SAC   bigsmilean_razz            OR KEY surprised  SAC  reallyhappy       

                   <----------

    Reply

    @KeyElement

     You need to go re read from 807 to 822, your envy is really coming out in droves but for some reason your showing your love for sac and even when I tried to point out that is play had issues you still jumped all over it and now you 2 girls are ganging up against me, I am starting to think you guys were involved in getting LC kicked to the curb because he liked me more.

    I CAN SEE CLEARLY NOW

    ME an_punch KEY OR SAC   bigsmilean_razz            OR KEY surprised  SAC  reallyhappy       

                   <----------

     
     
    BIGDTITLE
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posts: 26914
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2021 - 11:40 PM ET #825

    anyone seeing any RSW totals yet?

     

    looking at Marlins over peace_5

    Reply

    anyone seeing any RSW totals yet?

     

    looking at Marlins over peace_5

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