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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    2014 Spring Training

    «First Previous 535455 ... 596061 Next Last»
    earlbii
    santafeken
    Bsallday47
    brendanmc
    stevo1
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 97339
    Posts: 1522
    «First Previous 535455 ... 596061 Next Last»
     
    earlbii
    earlbii
    Rookie
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    Posts: 606
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:22 AM ET #1301

    it looks like cardinals, mets marlins and orioles today

    stevo on my way to help you look ok...leaving in 20 min

    Reply
    it looks like cardinals, mets marlins and orioles today

    stevo on my way to help you look ok...leaving in 20 min

     
    santafeken
    santafeken
    Prospect
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:24 AM ET #1302

    Well according to the biggest number differentials they would be:

    SF (+8)

    Phil (+7)

    Balt (+4)

    LAA (+3)

    Bost (+2)

    Tor (+8) but of course I had to take the NYY's

    CWS (+1) but took Colorado

















    Reply
    Well according to the biggest number differentials they would be:

    SF (+8)

    Phil (+7)

    Balt (+4)

    LAA (+3)

    Bost (+2)

    Tor (+8) but of course I had to take the NYY's

    CWS (+1) but took Colorado

















     
    Bsallday47
    Bsallday47
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    Posts: 754
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:29 AM ET #1303

    Based on overall run differential, Colorado, New York Y, and Tampa Bay seem like strong plays

    COL= +17  COL (+44) 
    CWS= -27

    NYY= +27 NYY (+37)
    TOR= -10

    TB= +25  TB (+46)
    BOS= -21
    Reply
    Based on overall run differential, Colorado, New York Y, and Tampa Bay seem like strong plays

    COL= +17  COL (+44) 
    CWS= -27

    NYY= +27 NYY (+37)
    TOR= -10

    TB= +25  TB (+46)
    BOS= -21
     
    Bsallday47
    Bsallday47
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:31 AM ET #1304

    Quote Originally Posted by Bsallday47:


    Stevo, these are all the games today
    HOU=74-106(-32).....Last 2=4-12(-8)
    STL=97-103(-6)........Last 2=7-2(+5)

    MIA=81-56(+25)........Last 2=11-5(+6)
    DET=100-71(+29).......Last 2=7-9(-2)

    MIN=61-91(-30)..........Last 2=5-14(-9)
    PHI=75-111(-36).........Last 2=5-7(-2)

    PIT=95-76(+19).........Last 2=5-7(-2)
    BAL=102-74(+28).........Last 2=11-3(+8)

    TB=96-71(+25).....Last 2=3-8(-5)
    BOS=70-91(-21)......Last 2=5-8(-3)

    NYY=90-63(+27)............Last 2=9-4(+5)
    TOR=94-114(-10)..........Last 2=14-4(+10)

    CLE=137-110(+27)........Last 2=20-17(+3)
    LAA=111-83(+28)..........Last 2=16-9(+5)

    MIL=111-125(-14).......Last 2=11-16(-5)
    CIN=117-129(-12)........Last 2=17-6(+11)

    KC=125-107(+18).......Last 2=10-7(+3)
    SF=92-92(0).......Last 2=11-5(+6)

    SD=98-116(-18)........Last 2=10-5(+5)
    TEX=108-137(-29)...........Last 2=11-13(-2)

    CWS=94-121(-27)..........Last 2=10-21(-11)
    COL=94-77(+17).............Last 2=6-18(-12)

    NO SPLIT SQUAD GAMES, WAGERABLE OR NOT ARE INCLUDED........... BOL to all today

    Page turn  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bsallday47:


    Stevo, these are all the games today
    HOU=74-106(-32).....Last 2=4-12(-8)
    STL=97-103(-6)........Last 2=7-2(+5)

    MIA=81-56(+25)........Last 2=11-5(+6)
    DET=100-71(+29).......Last 2=7-9(-2)

    MIN=61-91(-30)..........Last 2=5-14(-9)
    PHI=75-111(-36).........Last 2=5-7(-2)

    PIT=95-76(+19).........Last 2=5-7(-2)
    BAL=102-74(+28).........Last 2=11-3(+8)

    TB=96-71(+25).....Last 2=3-8(-5)
    BOS=70-91(-21)......Last 2=5-8(-3)

    NYY=90-63(+27)............Last 2=9-4(+5)
    TOR=94-114(-10)..........Last 2=14-4(+10)

    CLE=137-110(+27)........Last 2=20-17(+3)
    LAA=111-83(+28)..........Last 2=16-9(+5)

    MIL=111-125(-14).......Last 2=11-16(-5)
    CIN=117-129(-12)........Last 2=17-6(+11)

    KC=125-107(+18).......Last 2=10-7(+3)
    SF=92-92(0).......Last 2=11-5(+6)

    SD=98-116(-18)........Last 2=10-5(+5)
    TEX=108-137(-29)...........Last 2=11-13(-2)

    CWS=94-121(-27)..........Last 2=10-21(-11)
    COL=94-77(+17).............Last 2=6-18(-12)

    NO SPLIT SQUAD GAMES, WAGERABLE OR NOT ARE INCLUDED........... BOL to all today

    Page turn  
     
    earlbii
    earlbii
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    Posts: 606
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:37 AM ET #1305

    thx guys going to meet stevo and help look hopefully 
    Reply
    thx guys going to meet stevo and help look hopefully 
     
    earlbii
    earlbii
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    Posts: 606
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:40 AM ET #1306

    a little confused on the numbers thought regarding NYY..
    Reply
    a little confused on the numbers thought regarding NYY..
     
    Bsallday47
    Bsallday47
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    Posts: 754
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:42 AM ET #1307

    Based on overall spring training numbers nyy have large advantage
    Reply
    Based on overall spring training numbers nyy have large advantage
     
    earlbii
    earlbii
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    Posts: 606
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 11:56 AM ET #1308

    Ok thz 47
    Reply
    Ok thz 47
     
    brendanmc
    brendanmc
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    Posts: 826
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 1:00 PM ET #1309

    SteveO

    Here were my plays for today:

    Yankees -  3u

    Orioles - 3u

    Marlins - 3u

    Rays - 3u

    Cardinals - 3u

    Colorado - 3u

    Those should be the picks based on the formula's. Hopefully we see green fella's. Good Luck All!

    Reply
    SteveO

    Here were my plays for today:

    Yankees -  3u

    Orioles - 3u

    Marlins - 3u

    Rays - 3u

    Cardinals - 3u

    Colorado - 3u

    Those should be the picks based on the formula's. Hopefully we see green fella's. Good Luck All!

     
    Bsallday47
    Bsallday47
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    Posts: 754
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 1:04 PM ET #1310

    On NYY, TB, and COL............... best of luck to all 
    Reply
    On NYY, TB, and COL............... best of luck to all 
     
    brendanmc
    brendanmc
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    Posts: 826
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 1:34 PM ET #1311

    Quote Originally Posted by Bsallday47:

    On NYY, TB, and COL............... best of luck to all 



    Good Luck!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bsallday47:

    On NYY, TB, and COL............... best of luck to all 



    Good Luck!
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 2:24 PM ET #1312

    Afternoon guys just getting in
    Unable to find my records at Casino 

    Somebody has them and all i can hope is they work well for them

    47 i seem to find many 2 game diff from your records so i don't know if there correct but i do respect your work and thank you for your #'s

    one example for your review is
    Cleve did not play on Sat as a wager game IMO and casino
    that takes them to
     Friday,,,14-3
    Thurs,,,,did not play or not a wager gme at my casino
    Wed,,,,,,3-13
    total last 2 wager games,,,,17-16 =+1


    Regarding Games i see IMO there were/are 3 plays today
    Miami
    Cardinals
    Cinn

    no split squad plays are in any of these totals 
    Reply
    Afternoon guys just getting in
    Unable to find my records at Casino 

    Somebody has them and all i can hope is they work well for them

    47 i seem to find many 2 game diff from your records so i don't know if there correct but i do respect your work and thank you for your #'s

    one example for your review is
    Cleve did not play on Sat as a wager game IMO and casino
    that takes them to
     Friday,,,14-3
    Thurs,,,,did not play or not a wager gme at my casino
    Wed,,,,,,3-13
    total last 2 wager games,,,,17-16 =+1


    Regarding Games i see IMO there were/are 3 plays today
    Miami
    Cardinals
    Cinn

    no split squad plays are in any of these totals 
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 2:42 PM ET #1313

    Miami,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,up  1-0,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cardinals,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,up 6-0,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cinn,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Pending
    Reply
    Miami,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,up  1-0,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cardinals,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,up 6-0,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cinn,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Pending
     
    nayrb23
    nayrb23
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    Posts: 3789
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 2:56 PM ET #1314

    Stevo do you ever or have you ever thought of capping scores at a certain #? Like instead of havinga team be +13 for a 13-0 win only giving them +6 or +7 as a way to reduce outliers? Know someone who does it in Hockey effectively and got me wondering if it'd work in MLB.
    Reply
    Stevo do you ever or have you ever thought of capping scores at a certain #? Like instead of havinga team be +13 for a 13-0 win only giving them +6 or +7 as a way to reduce outliers? Know someone who does it in Hockey effectively and got me wondering if it'd work in MLB.
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 3:12 PM ET #1315

    Guys how can we have so many diff RF/RA totals in last 2 wagered games for these teams

    Can someone confirm totals for late games so we agree

    Cleve 14-3 and 3-13 = 17-16 = +1
    Laa,,,,9-6 and 3-2 = 12-8 = +4
    Pass
    _______________________
    Milw,,,6-9 and 5-7 = 15-16 = -1
    Cinn,,,8-3 and 5-4 = 13-7 = +6
    Play Cinn
    ___________________________
    Royals,,,8-4 and 2-3 = 10-7 = +3
    Giants,,,11-3 and 3-0 = 14-3 = +11
    Lean Giants but pass
    ______________________________
    Padres,,,7-2 and 3-11 = 10-13 = -3
    Texas,,,,,4-5 and 7-5 = 11-10 = -1
    Pass
    ____________________________
    CWS,,,,,,0-7 and 10-14 = 10-21 = -11
    Rocks,,, ,3-14 and 3-4  = 6-18   = -12
    Pass
    Reply
    Guys how can we have so many diff RF/RA totals in last 2 wagered games for these teams

    Can someone confirm totals for late games so we agree

    Cleve 14-3 and 3-13 = 17-16 = +1
    Laa,,,,9-6 and 3-2 = 12-8 = +4
    Pass
    _______________________
    Milw,,,6-9 and 5-7 = 15-16 = -1
    Cinn,,,8-3 and 5-4 = 13-7 = +6
    Play Cinn
    ___________________________
    Royals,,,8-4 and 2-3 = 10-7 = +3
    Giants,,,11-3 and 3-0 = 14-3 = +11
    Lean Giants but pass
    ______________________________
    Padres,,,7-2 and 3-11 = 10-13 = -3
    Texas,,,,,4-5 and 7-5 = 11-10 = -1
    Pass
    ____________________________
    CWS,,,,,,0-7 and 10-14 = 10-21 = -11
    Rocks,,, ,3-14 and 3-4  = 6-18   = -12
    Pass
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 3:16 PM ET #1316

    23 no so far as usually just compile overall records and then the last 2 games to just see a continuation that overall records show
    What i like the best is Positive # vs a Negative # as the best plays

    where both are Positive or both Negative i normally try and avoid those plays as IMO could go either way,But that is just my opinion
    Reply
    23 no so far as usually just compile overall records and then the last 2 games to just see a continuation that overall records show
    What i like the best is Positive # vs a Negative # as the best plays

    where both are Positive or both Negative i normally try and avoid those plays as IMO could go either way,But that is just my opinion
     
    brendanmc
    brendanmc
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 3:39 PM ET #1317

    Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:

    23 no so far as usually just compile overall records and then the last 2 games to just see a continuation that overall records show
    What i like the best is Positive # vs a Negative # as the best plays

    where both are Positive or both Negative i normally try and avoid those plays as IMO could go either way,But that is just my opinion


    Have you ever carried this over into the Regular season? Has it hit this much??

    Also, starting today, I am going to keep a record of all the games and lines. We can keep track of the
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:

    23 no so far as usually just compile overall records and then the last 2 games to just see a continuation that overall records show
    What i like the best is Positive # vs a Negative # as the best plays

    where both are Positive or both Negative i normally try and avoid those plays as IMO could go either way,But that is just my opinion


    Have you ever carried this over into the Regular season? Has it hit this much??

    Also, starting today, I am going to keep a record of all the games and lines. We can keep track of the
     
    brendanmc
    brendanmc
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 3:43 PM ET #1318

    Sorry computer glitch... I will keep track of the other scenarios...

    When a +5 goes against a +3... We will assume that the higher positive number should be the play and we can start seeing the record and how that is hitting.. Hopefully it leans hard on either of the sides so we can either follow or fade :)

    The second scenario would be when a -3 plays a -5... We assume the -3 is the play and we will be able to see how those pan out. Let's keep this rolling so we can all be taking our extra vacations this year all because of our MLB :)


    Reply
    Sorry computer glitch... I will keep track of the other scenarios...

    When a +5 goes against a +3... We will assume that the higher positive number should be the play and we can start seeing the record and how that is hitting.. Hopefully it leans hard on either of the sides so we can either follow or fade :)

    The second scenario would be when a -3 plays a -5... We assume the -3 is the play and we will be able to see how those pan out. Let's keep this rolling so we can all be taking our extra vacations this year all because of our MLB :)


     
    brendanmc
    brendanmc
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2011
    Posts: 826
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 3:57 PM ET #1319

    Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:

    SteveO

    Here were my plays for today:

    Yankees -  3u   

    Orioles - 3u  



    Marlins - 3u

    Top 9th... Tied 4-4 after leading all game
    Rays - 3u 

    Cardinals - 3u  

    Colorado - 3u

    Those should be the picks based on the formula's. Hopefully we see green fella's. Good Luck All!

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:

    SteveO

    Here were my plays for today:

    Yankees -  3u   

    Orioles - 3u  



    Marlins - 3u

    Top 9th... Tied 4-4 after leading all game
    Rays - 3u 

    Cardinals - 3u  

    Colorado - 3u

    Those should be the picks based on the formula's. Hopefully we see green fella's. Good Luck All!

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 4:36 PM ET #1320

    Miami,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cardinals,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cinn,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    Reply
    Miami,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cardinals,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    Cinn,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 4:46 PM ET #1321

    4 plays tomorrow so farMonday 3/24
    Rays
    Pirates
    Braves
    Orioles
    Reply
    4 plays tomorrow so farMonday 3/24
    Rays
    Pirates
    Braves
    Orioles
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 4:55 PM ET #1322

    brendanmc

    that NYY game was not a good play and Jays showed it with their RF/RA records and a +10 vs +5 vs NYY but with both a + i passed
    ____________________________________________
    we need to see Cinn win this for a sweep
    Reply
    brendanmc

    that NYY game was not a good play and Jays showed it with their RF/RA records and a +10 vs +5 vs NYY but with both a + i passed
    ____________________________________________
    we need to see Cinn win this for a sweep
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 4:57 PM ET #1323

    damnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
    reds down 7-0
    Reply
    damnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
    reds down 7-0
     
    collectNOW
    collectNOW
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 11709
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 5:07 PM ET #1324

    I rode the cards for 3 straight days after a loss on thurs. Today was the most juice,but a win is a win.  It looks like fading Hou all year will be profitable again. I've noticed in spring training.....if you take a good team after a loos,they seem to win 2 or 3 in a row. I might fade STL tomorrow
    Reply
    I rode the cards for 3 straight days after a loss on thurs. Today was the most juice,but a win is a win.  It looks like fading Hou all year will be profitable again. I've noticed in spring training.....if you take a good team after a loos,they seem to win 2 or 3 in a row. I might fade STL tomorrow
     
     
    santafeken
    santafeken
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 344
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2014 - 6:07 PM ET #1325

    Stevo I put up those  #'s you were looking for earlier and we were only off by one on the TX game.

    So  your/my #'s are good but I still had a terrible day.

    I really like your idea of takeing a team with positive #'s versus a team with negative #'s.  If we can find those I am there !!













































    Reply
    Stevo I put up those  #'s you were looking for earlier and we were only off by one on the TX game.

    So  your/my #'s are good but I still had a terrible day.

    I really like your idea of takeing a team with positive #'s versus a team with negative #'s.  If we can find those I am there !!













































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