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2014 Spring Training

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Rookie
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Posts: 606
Posted: #1351
Quote Originally Posted by santafeken:

I THINK IT IS TIME TO STAY OFF DETROIT.

THERE MUST BE SOME TURMOIL THERE AS THE CY YOUNG AWARD WINNER SCHERZER DID NOT AGREE TO A HUGE CONTRACT EXTENSION LAST WEEK AND THEY WILL WAIT TILL THE END OF THE SEASON.

SO I DO NOT CARE WHAT OUR NUMBERS ARE DETROIT IS OFF LIMITS FOR ME.

VERLANDER WILL START IN THE OPENER

i think so too..they are on a downhill slump...

toronto, rays and athletics today
 
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Posted: #1352
divot how is oakland a 10-11

Oakland was not a wager game in last 2 days
3/23 0-0 non wager or off
3/22 0-0 non wager or off
3/21 they lost 0-3
3/20 0-0  non wager or off
3/19 13-3
last 2 wagered games they are 13-6 = +7
__________________________________________
Texas,last 2 wagered games 11-19 = -8
3/23,,7-11
3/22,,4-8
Oakland has a +15 run advantage if both last 2 games are reviewed for both teams 
how is this not correct


 
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Posted: #1353
earl was looking for you at SP
 
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Posts: 826
Posted: #1354
Damn! Easy money to be made but the rain washed that away for us!


 
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Posted: #1355
Rays gm cancelled
Pirates gm cancelled

God bless ST
 
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Posted: #1356
i did not see Jays as a play today with them at a +7 and Phils at a +2,,,,,.yes jays had a + 5 run advantage but i do not like playing games where both teams are in the Positive or negative thus for me that game was a pass

Now if you have 2 teams and one is a positive and the other a Negative then i'm on the Positive team 
Example Baltimore has a +10 run adv but one problem is they allow as many as the get so not a great play so a pass for me

If we look further Cleve has a +8 run adv over their L 2 Games and Cinn has a -3 over their L 2 Games = tells me Cleve has a +11 run advantage today and a 5/10 unit play
 
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Posted: #1357
Oakland in last 2 games have a 13-6 = +7 run Adv
Texas in last 2 games has a 11-19 = - 8 run adv
this game to me is an oakland win and a 10 unit play with a +15 RA
___________________________________________________
Stroe's are 5-11 in L 2 games = - 6
Braves are 12-10 = +2
Total edge to Atla is +8, but due to single digit # the play for me is just a 1 unit play 
____________________________________________________
Giants are +7
Laa is +4
so a pass play as neither not strong enough
______________________________________________
Royals are 17-17 =0
Rocks are 8-19 = -11 so a small play 1 unit due to royals at just a 0 although a double digit run adv
__________________________________________
Padres +9
Cubs +2
so pass for me
_______________________________________________
 
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Posted: #1358
i know i tried to get there stevo..are you going later today???
 
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Posts: 1212
Posted: #1359
strongest remaining plays are cleve and oak? thanks stevo
 
Prospect
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Posts: 239
Posted: #1360
stevo thanks for your post # 1356-57, i just went to covers scores for last 2 days and chked, didn't know they were a no wager on both days , my fault, is there a way to find out on wagered games on covers after the fact. thanks and gl to all
 
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Posts: 239
Posted: #1361
sorry i am still hung over from lv i guess , i just mislooked on oakland and didn't notice it was not a wagered game sorry gonna take another couple of aspirins and move on , gl all
 
Prospect
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Posts: 122
Posted: #1362
Hey Stevo, I think the Indians lost both of their last two games. 
6-14 and 2-5 (-11 differential)
 
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Posted: #1363
LOOK ON COVERS SCORES AND YOU WILL SEE THE ODDS POSTED IN THE BOX FOR THE GAME IF THERE WERE ODDS GIVEN.  USUALLY BLANK ON SPLIT SQUAD GAMES.  WON'T HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT THAT WHEN SEASON STARTS.
 
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Posted: #1364
You guys have some of these #'s off as I think you are counting the spit squad games with no odds.  No wagering on those games.

Look at the covers scores box and if inside the box  there are no odds then no wager.   This will be like that before and after the games so you can see it.  I don't have the time now but just go back to what you have tabulated and see where there are no odds given and forget that figure and go on back to a game where there is and use that.  I know you are way off on Clev and Cinn.  Clev is +8 and Cinn is -3.  So it is a differ for Clev of +11.

The math on Phil is +2 not -2 (7-5)  !!!

There are several others.
 
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Posted: #1365
So just to give us an update of the LIVE plays today,  we got:

Oakland
Cleveland
Royals

All other plays have been postponed from weather today. Correct?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1366
I BELIEVE ATL  IS STILL GOOD TO GO.

ATL +2 AND HOUST -6

DIFFERENTIAL +8 SO GO BRAVES !!


 
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Posted: #1367
OK HERE ARE SOME TESTS FOR OUR SYSTEM AND LET'S SEE HOW THEY GO.

THERE ARE (4) FOUR GAMES HERE WHERE THE FIRST THREE HAVE TEAMS WHERE BOTH ARE POSITIVE NUMBERS:

TOR +7 AND PHIL +2.............PHIL WON

METS +9 AND ST LOU +6.......METS AHEAD BOT 8

S DIEGO +9 AND CUBS +2.........NOT STARTED

THEN 

ATL +2 AND HOUSTON -6.......NOT STARTED.  THIS IS THE ONE TEAM WITH A POSITIVE AND A NEGATIVE BUT NOT INTO A DD POSITIVE NUMBER AS IT IS ONLY A +8 DIFFERENTIAL.

SEE IF THERE IS ANYTHING WE CAN LEARN FROM ALL OF THIS.
 
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Posted: #1368
caps don't help
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1369
Mets won and also Miami was +9 today and Nats were +5 and the Nats won so now with these 2 games and the Phil's game where they were the smaller positive number but won,  it is confirming that generally we want to see a pos vs a neg and a DD differential, before we lay it out there.  

Now later Atl is positive and Houst is negative but not a DD difference, but the Astros are so bad a person might want to make a small unit play on Atlanta. 
 
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Posted: #1370
santafeken,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Amen bro,,,,


 
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Posts: 11709
Posted: #1371
Glad I faded STL after riding them for 3 straight days  I think the key to betting spring training is just take a good team after a loss and ride them for a fews days and then fade for a few. Works for me so far
 
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Posted: #1372
why is the oakland and texas game delayed?
 
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Posted: #1373
Guys with all the cancellations and the finals of today i have done almost all of tomorrows plays and here is what i have
Mets +10 vs Nats -5 = +15 for Mets

St Louis and Mia both at +1 so pass

Rays at +7 and Boston at -10 = +17 for Rays

O's at 0 and Minn at -5,,,,,Pass,too low or 1 unit play

Jays at -1 and Pirates at +2 too close pass

Philles at +7 and NYY at -1 = Phils +8 but single digit so 1 unit play or pass as i don't trust phils as need to see more wins

Need to await balance of finals prior to post balance of plays tomorrow

remember this is all computed on each teams last 2 games scores,combined for a record of outcome advantage.I think this approach is more important than overall seasons #'s as Starters and players start becoming a stronger unit as a team for upcoming 2014 Season ahead

 
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Posts: 532
Posted: #1374
It's not, the feed on MLB.com is down, go to https://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/scoreboard

0-0 Top of 4th
 
 
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Posts: 826
Posted: #1375
Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:

So just to give us an update of the LIVE plays today,  we got:

Oakland
Cleveland
Royals
Braves
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