Posted:
#1226
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#1227
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Over the past 30 days, according to my handicapping sheets when I account for "skewed" results, the ROCKIES have been averaging about 4.1 rpg, which is a marked improvement from April! Over the same period, also adjusting the numbers to eliminate skewing, the TWINKIES avg only 3.4 rpg.....Twins have picked it up just a bit more recently but ROCKIES have kept pace. I'll give the TWINS a small edge at the plate however because personally I anticipate improvement now with the change of venue coming off a BAD 3 - 6 road trip...... Now, gentlemen, look at the pitching matchup....and decide for yourself....
Twinkies have an edge, yes, but waaaaaaaaaaay overpriced here, imv.
COLORADO RL +1.5 -115
WINNER #3 
Hope it wins for you!! 
Posted:
#1233
Quote Originally Posted by Premian:
@fubah2 Wow good move on the hedge bet.
@fubah2 Wow good move on the hedge bet.
Yeah, thanks. I do that a lot more now when I see a game not proceeding according to plan in the late stages. Too risky to let it ride then. I'm OK with cancelling it out withg a hedge, even if it may include a loss of juice with the exchange.
Posted:
#1237
Worth reviewing!
UPDATED through June 11,
How the HEAVY FAVS have fared since May 01 (does not include April)
I define HEAVY FAVS as a closing moneyline of at least -170
6 - 4 -7.10u SUPER HEAVY FAVS -300 to -350 = BIG FAT LOSER!
(this range had 1 winner by one run, ie a loss on RL)
51 - 27 HEAVY FAVS in -200 to -299 range = BIG FAT LOSER!
(this range had 5 winners by one run, ie, 46 - 32 on RL) <-----
45 - 28 HEAVY FAVS in -170 to -199 range = BIG FAT LOSER!
(this range had 11 winners by one run, ie, 34 - 39 on RL)
good work on a tough betting card.
Posted:
#1246
Quote Originally Posted by Premian:
@fubah2 Yeah, betting on heavy favorites is generally bad, but there are spots where I think I can pick up half a unit using them.
Some, yes. It's important to track everything on paper so one knows exactly which category of bets are winning or failing....
@fubah2 Yeah, betting on heavy favorites is generally bad, but there are spots where I think I can pick up half a unit using them.
Posted:
#1247
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Burnes pitched well yet again and escaped a "bad outing"
WARNING: STREAKER alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak ....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
BURNES, Orioles @Tampa
His tenuous consecutive streak climbs to 14....
Next up: Phillies
Posted:
#1248
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Burnes pitched well yet again and escaped a "bad outing"
WARNING: STREAKER alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak ....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
BURNES, Orioles @Tampa
His tenuous consecutive streak climbs to 14....
Next up: Phillies
sorry i'm new 
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