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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

    «First Previous 495051 ... 361362363 Next Last»
    fubah2
    OO7CRUSHER
    Premian
    UncleBiz100
    River_fish
    ...
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    «First Previous 495051 ... 361362363 Next Last»
     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 8:13 AM ET #1201

    YTD to end May: 149 - 95  +40.25u  (62 - 39 *BB)
    -------------------------------------------------

    June 01:   4 - 2   +2.00u
    June 02:  3 - 2    +1.18u     (1 - 0 *BB)
    June 03:  1 - 1      0.00u
    June 04:  1 - 2    -1.63u
    June 05:  3 - 4    -2.21u     (1 - 2 *BB)
    June 06:  4 - 2   +1.45u     (2 - 0 *BB)
    June 07:  3 - 3   +0.30u     (1 - 0 *BB)
    June 08:  6 - 2   +3.86u     (0 - 1 *BB)
    June 09:  6 - 3   +2.33u     (3 - 2 *BB)
    June 10:   1 - 0   +1.00u

    YTD: 181 - 116  +48.53u an_2drinks    (70 - 44 *BB)

    Reply

    YTD to end May: 149 - 95  +40.25u  (62 - 39 *BB)
    -------------------------------------------------

    June 01:   4 - 2   +2.00u
    June 02:  3 - 2    +1.18u     (1 - 0 *BB)
    June 03:  1 - 1      0.00u
    June 04:  1 - 2    -1.63u
    June 05:  3 - 4    -2.21u     (1 - 2 *BB)
    June 06:  4 - 2   +1.45u     (2 - 0 *BB)
    June 07:  3 - 3   +0.30u     (1 - 0 *BB)
    June 08:  6 - 2   +3.86u     (0 - 1 *BB)
    June 09:  6 - 3   +2.33u     (3 - 2 *BB)
    June 10:   1 - 0   +1.00u

    YTD: 181 - 116  +48.53u an_2drinks    (70 - 44 *BB)

     
    OO7CRUSHER
    OO7CRUSHER
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 8:43 AM ET #1202

    @fubah2

     clover

    Reply

    @fubah2

     clover

     
    Premian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 10:49 AM ET #1203

    @fubah2

    Amazing results    an_cheers

    Reply

    @fubah2

    Amazing results    an_cheers

     
    UncleBiz100
    UncleBiz100
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    Posts: 120
    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 11:42 AM ET #1204

    @fubah2

     are we worried about jet lag at all from the London series for the Mets?

    Reply

    @fubah2

     are we worried about jet lag at all from the London series for the Mets?

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 2:51 PM ET #1205

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleBiz100:

    @fubah2  are we worried about jet lag at all from the London series for the Mets?
    Perhaps! an_getaway  ....though I'm not betting METS or Phillies today

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleBiz100:

    @fubah2  are we worried about jet lag at all from the London series for the Mets?
    Perhaps! an_getaway  ....though I'm not betting METS or Phillies today

     
    River_fish
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 3:19 PM ET #1206

    @Moose6836

     Varland is a gas can. Twinkies go down today by an ex-Guardian.

    You did not mention how the umpires helped your Twinkies in extra innings over the weekend. It was not a passed ball. The ball fouled off the bat. It literally gave the game to the Twinkies. You cry foul when it happens to the Twins, but not when it happens opposite.

    The Guardians will win the division.

    Reply

    @Moose6836

     Varland is a gas can. Twinkies go down today by an ex-Guardian.

    You did not mention how the umpires helped your Twinkies in extra innings over the weekend. It was not a passed ball. The ball fouled off the bat. It literally gave the game to the Twinkies. You cry foul when it happens to the Twins, but not when it happens opposite.

    The Guardians will win the division.

     
    Zeus4par
    Zeus4par
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 4:37 PM ET #1207

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: VALUE BETS? ie, 50-50 coin-flippers worthy of a look if getting good PLUS MONEY!   I have 3 in my handicapping sheets but it's likely 2 won't come into a play. I need at bare minimum +120 or it just isn't worth it.   Royals game     .....I bet KC, as they gain SIGNIFICANT PLUS MONEY Reds game        .....won't qualify with very small ML Yankees game ....dead even if SOTO is not in the lineup for NYY but I would still need at least +120 ML, which is NOT available at this time Now confirmed that Yankee slugger, SOTO, will not start today.  That reduces the perceived Yankees small edge to coin-flipper status, but because neither team is getting SIGNIFICANT PLUS MONEY,  there's no "value"  and no point in risking a bet....

    Any value bets today?  peace_5

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: VALUE BETS? ie, 50-50 coin-flippers worthy of a look if getting good PLUS MONEY!   I have 3 in my handicapping sheets but it's likely 2 won't come into a play. I need at bare minimum +120 or it just isn't worth it.   Royals game     .....I bet KC, as they gain SIGNIFICANT PLUS MONEY Reds game        .....won't qualify with very small ML Yankees game ....dead even if SOTO is not in the lineup for NYY but I would still need at least +120 ML, which is NOT available at this time Now confirmed that Yankee slugger, SOTO, will not start today.  That reduces the perceived Yankees small edge to coin-flipper status, but because neither team is getting SIGNIFICANT PLUS MONEY,  there's no "value"  and no point in risking a bet....

    Any value bets today?  peace_5

     

     
    yourpalhal
    yourpalhal
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 4:54 PM ET #1208

    an_worshipclover

    Reply

    an_worshipclover

     
    UncleBiz100
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 5:18 PM ET #1209

    @fubah2

     peace_5

    Reply

    @fubah2

     peace_5

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 6:00 PM ET #1210

    Quote Originally Posted by ilsp2003:

    Thanks @fubah2

     

    peace_5

    Thank you, and BoL with your bets this week! clover thumbs_up

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by ilsp2003:

    Thanks @fubah2

     

    peace_5

    Thank you, and BoL with your bets this week! clover thumbs_up

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 6:16 PM ET #1211

    cool UPDATED through June 10,

     

    How the HEAVY FAVS have fared since May 01 (does not include April)

    I define HEAVY FAVS as a closing moneyline of at least  -170

     

    6 - 4   -7.10u    SUPER HEAVY FAVS -300 to -350  = BIG FAT LOSER!
                (this range had 1 winner by one run, ie a loss on RL)


    51 - 26   HEAVY FAVS in -200 to -299 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
               (this range had 5 winners by one run, ie, 46 - 31 on RL)   <----- an_light


    44 - 28   HEAVY FAVS in -170 to -199 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
               (this range had 10 winners by one run, ie, 33 - 39 on RL)

    Reply

    cool UPDATED through June 10,

     

    How the HEAVY FAVS have fared since May 01 (does not include April)

    I define HEAVY FAVS as a closing moneyline of at least  -170

     

    6 - 4   -7.10u    SUPER HEAVY FAVS -300 to -350  = BIG FAT LOSER!
                (this range had 1 winner by one run, ie a loss on RL)


    51 - 26   HEAVY FAVS in -200 to -299 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
               (this range had 5 winners by one run, ie, 46 - 31 on RL)   <----- an_light


    44 - 28   HEAVY FAVS in -170 to -199 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
               (this range had 10 winners by one run, ie, 33 - 39 on RL)

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 6:28 PM ET #1212

    JP Sears is the starter for OAKLAND today vs PADRES.
       He sports a good WHIP stat ...but mediocre ERA

    This is interesting:

    an_lightNote this sequence of earned runs allowed!


    04/22 -   0   earned runs
    04/27 -   7  earned runs
    05/03 -   0   earned runs
    05/08 -   4  earned runs
    05/14  -  1   earned runs
    05/19  -  4  earned runs
    05/25  -  1   earned runs
    05/31  -  4  earned runs
    06/06  -  2   earned runs

    Tonight ???

    Reply

    JP Sears is the starter for OAKLAND today vs PADRES.
       He sports a good WHIP stat ...but mediocre ERA

    This is interesting:

    an_lightNote this sequence of earned runs allowed!


    04/22 -   0   earned runs
    04/27 -   7  earned runs
    05/03 -   0   earned runs
    05/08 -   4  earned runs
    05/14  -  1   earned runs
    05/19  -  4  earned runs
    05/25  -  1   earned runs
    05/31  -  4  earned runs
    06/06  -  2   earned runs

    Tonight ???

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53375
    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 6:47 PM ET #1213

    Quote Originally Posted by OO7CRUSHER:

    @fubah2

     clover

    Thanks!  ....and BoL with your Orioles bet!! an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by OO7CRUSHER:

    @fubah2

     clover

    Thanks!  ....and BoL with your Orioles bet!! an_cheers

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53375
    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 6:55 PM ET #1214

    Quote Originally Posted by Coloneljim:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Premian: @fubah2 But the Mariners' edge and the Twins edge don't justify the current ML right, not even close?  You are correct with that statement, according to my research/capping stats on outcomes resulting from edges. However, this does not mean the opponent wins!  It means bets on Mariners and Twins may well be a higher risk than they are worth....so I PASS.... The Padres are close though..

    June 10: Padres -1.5 -105  

     

    Another solid winner.   Good stuff fubah moneybag  an_clap

    Good luck on today's plays clover

    @Coloneljim

    THANKS, Jim!  Bol with your POD today!! an_worship thumbs_up

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Coloneljim:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Premian: @fubah2 But the Mariners' edge and the Twins edge don't justify the current ML right, not even close?  You are correct with that statement, according to my research/capping stats on outcomes resulting from edges. However, this does not mean the opponent wins!  It means bets on Mariners and Twins may well be a higher risk than they are worth....so I PASS.... The Padres are close though..

    June 10: Padres -1.5 -105  

     

    Another solid winner.   Good stuff fubah moneybag  an_clap

    Good luck on today's plays clover

    @Coloneljim

    THANKS, Jim!  Bol with your POD today!! an_worship thumbs_up

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 7:12 PM ET #1215

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleBiz100:

    @fubah2

    peace_5

    THANKS!  BoL with your bets tonight! cloverthumbs_up

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleBiz100:

    @fubah2

    peace_5

    THANKS!  BoL with your bets tonight! cloverthumbs_up

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 8:23 PM ET #1216

    Quote Originally Posted by yourpalhal:

    an_worshipclover

    @yourpalhal

     THANKS, Hal!  BoL with your bets tonight! cloverthumbs_up

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by yourpalhal:

    an_worshipclover

    @yourpalhal

     THANKS, Hal!  BoL with your bets tonight! cloverthumbs_up

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 8:50 PM ET #1217

    Are my CARDINALS finally going to break open a scoreless game in the 5th? an_nailbiter

    Reply

    Are my CARDINALS finally going to break open a scoreless game in the 5th? an_nailbiter

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 9:21 PM ET #1218

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Are my CARDINALS finally going to break open a scoreless game in the 5th?

    NOPE!

     

     

    Meanwhile, still considering MARINERS   RL....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Are my CARDINALS finally going to break open a scoreless game in the 5th?

    NOPE!

     

     

    Meanwhile, still considering MARINERS   RL....

     
    Premian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 9:29 PM ET #1219

    @fubah2

    My book is only offering Even for the Mariners Run Line.  It's +110 to +115 elsewhere.

    Reply

    @fubah2

    My book is only offering Even for the Mariners Run Line.  It's +110 to +115 elsewhere.

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 9:50 PM ET #1220

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Are my CARDINALS finally going to break open a scoreless game in the 5th?

    Poopers....this one is not going according to plan...Scoreless into the 9th....So that means it's LIVE HEDGE BET time: Pirates -115

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Are my CARDINALS finally going to break open a scoreless game in the 5th?

    Poopers....this one is not going according to plan...Scoreless into the 9th....So that means it's LIVE HEDGE BET time: Pirates -115

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 9:52 PM ET #1221

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 11:

     

    Orioles +119 pinnacle

    I actually have the O's with a +0.6 run edge here! an_2drinks

    They are the better team, with a significant edge at the plate and according to my stats, the NET game pitching (SP + pens) is DEAD-EVEN!

    Wrong team may be favored here

    WINNER!  an_2drinks

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 11:

     

    Orioles +119 pinnacle

    I actually have the O's with a +0.6 run edge here! an_2drinks

    They are the better team, with a significant edge at the plate and according to my stats, the NET game pitching (SP + pens) is DEAD-EVEN!

    Wrong team may be favored here

    WINNER!  an_2drinks

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 9:53 PM ET #1222

    Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

    @fubah2 My book is only offering Even for the Mariners Run Line.  It's +110 to +115 elsewhere.

    Yeah....decided to pass on it....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

    @fubah2 My book is only offering Even for the Mariners Run Line.  It's +110 to +115 elsewhere.

    Yeah....decided to pass on it....

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 9:54 PM ET #1223

    Leaning DODGERS in late game........maybe...... undecided at that ML but I do like their chances....

    Reply

    Leaning DODGERS in late game........maybe...... undecided at that ML but I do like their chances....

     
    Premian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 10:10 PM ET #1224

    @fubah2

    I took the Dodgers at -170, hope it pans out.  clover

    Reply

    @fubah2

    I took the Dodgers at -170, hope it pans out.  clover

     
     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2024 - 10:15 PM ET #1225

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    YTD:  180 - 116   +47.53u an_2drinks     (70 - 44 *BB)

     

    The Cleveland @Cinci game looks interesting due to the questions surrounding BOTH starters! I make it just about even there butCLEVELAND definitely has the stronger support from the pen - as they have all season. Their bats have piocked up a bit the past 30 days as well and they should have a modest to strong edge at the plate as well, given they bat lefties VERY WELL while the REDS struggle against righthanders - even mediocre ones like McKenzie.....but we shall see. Ya payz yer money and ya takes yer chances.
    I have CLEVELAND rated for a +1.0 run edge and at this line it's a bet!

    CLEVELAND -125 @Bet365

    WINNER #2!  an_2drinks

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    YTD:  180 - 116   +47.53u an_2drinks     (70 - 44 *BB)

     

    The Cleveland @Cinci game looks interesting due to the questions surrounding BOTH starters! I make it just about even there butCLEVELAND definitely has the stronger support from the pen - as they have all season. Their bats have piocked up a bit the past 30 days as well and they should have a modest to strong edge at the plate as well, given they bat lefties VERY WELL while the REDS struggle against righthanders - even mediocre ones like McKenzie.....but we shall see. Ya payz yer money and ya takes yer chances.
    I have CLEVELAND rated for a +1.0 run edge and at this line it's a bet!

    CLEVELAND -125 @Bet365

    WINNER #2!  an_2drinks

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