Posted:
#1026
Entering today . . .
YTD: 158 - 102 +41.80u (63 - 39 *BB)
but this will drop some by late tonight for sure....
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#1030
Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:
@fubah2 Hey there pal, well we split 1-1 last night fading the streak pitchers but the Mets were favorites so I lost some juice.. but I’ll keep a record.. Glasgow also lost but not due to him..
@fubah2 Hey there pal, well we split 1-1 last night fading the streak pitchers but the Mets were favorites so I lost some juice.. but I’ll keep a record.. Glasgow also lost but not due to him..
@Hoyasaxa
Good stuff. 
No HOT STREAKS today but Thursday maybe.....will check later....
Posted:
#1031
Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup
because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.
Posted:
#1033
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Yankees -165 *BB Yankee stadium, bottom of the 5th....my Yankees lead 4 - 0..... bases loaded for slugger Aaron Judge and nobody out....
At least I got that win today.......the rest not so good.....but we all have days like this....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Yankees -165 *BB Yankee stadium, bottom of the 5th....my Yankees lead 4 - 0..... bases loaded for slugger Aaron Judge and nobody out....
Posted:
#1034
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: VALUE BETS? I use this term "value bets" to apply to games where I can't make a reasonably strong case one way or the other for either team to prevail, but one side is getting significant PLUS MONEY, on what I expect is essentially a 50/50 toss-up (ie, coin-flipper!) Wednesday: my capping sheets identify the Det/Texas games as a 50-50, "coin-flipper" And one team is getting SIGNIFICANT plus money, making it a decent bet: TIGGERS +132 (pinnacle) If this coin-flip goes against me (and it could!) I lose -1.00 unit If the coin-flip is in my favor, I win +1.32 units
Coin-flip came up tails, so the Tiggers lose...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: VALUE BETS? I use this term "value bets" to apply to games where I can't make a reasonably strong case one way or the other for either team to prevail, but one side is getting significant PLUS MONEY, on what I expect is essentially a 50/50 toss-up (ie, coin-flipper!) Wednesday: my capping sheets identify the Det/Texas games as a 50-50, "coin-flipper" And one team is getting SIGNIFICANT plus money, making it a decent bet: TIGGERS +132 (pinnacle) If this coin-flip goes against me (and it could!) I lose -1.00 unit If the coin-flip is in my favor, I win +1.32 units
Posted:
#1035
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.
WiteSox keeping pace with the "Cardiac Cubs" ....it's gonna be close in the final 2 innings and maybe extras!
Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.
Posted:
#1036
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.WiteSox keeping pace with the "Cardiac Cubs" ....it's gonna be close in the final 2 innings and maybe extras!
8th ended no scoring, so the "Cardiac CUBS" will again push it to the final outs....and have to make hay by blanking the worst team in baseball, then scoring with the TOP of the CUBS order due up in their half ... LIVE BET: CUBS -150
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.WiteSox keeping pace with the "Cardiac Cubs" ....it's gonna be close in the final 2 innings and maybe extras!
Posted:
#1037
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.WiteSox keeping pace with the "Cardiac Cubs" ....it's gonna be close in the final 2 innings and maybe extras! 8th ended no scoring, so the "Cardiac CUBS" will again push it to the final outs....and have to make hay by blanking the worst team in baseball, then scoring with the TOP of the CUBS order due up in their half ... LIVE BET: CUBS -150
"Cardiac CUBS" will not get a better shot to win tonight then RIGHT NOW going to the bottom of the 9th in a tie game but the top of their batting order....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.WiteSox keeping pace with the "Cardiac Cubs" ....it's gonna be close in the final 2 innings and maybe extras! 8th ended no scoring, so the "Cardiac CUBS" will again push it to the final outs....and have to make hay by blanking the worst team in baseball, then scoring with the TOP of the CUBS order due up in their half ... LIVE BET: CUBS -150
Posted:
#1038
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.WiteSox keeping pace with the "Cardiac Cubs" ....it's gonna be close in the final 2 innings and maybe extras! 8th ended no scoring, so the "Cardiac CUBS" will again push it to the final outs....and have to make hay by blanking the worst team in baseball, then scoring with the TOP of the CUBS order due up in their half ... LIVE BET: CUBS -150"Cardiac CUBS" will not get a better shot to win tonight then RIGHT NOW going to the bottom of the 9th in a tie game but the top of their batting order....
First batter: walk off homer! Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Passed on the Chicago vs Chicago matchup because although the "Cardiac Cubs" should hold a solid +1.0 edge in theory, the CWS have dropped two weak bats from their lineup and called up a good one...It really can only get better for them, which creates a level of uncertainty I am not comfortable with. PASS.WiteSox keeping pace with the "Cardiac Cubs" ....it's gonna be close in the final 2 innings and maybe extras! 8th ended no scoring, so the "Cardiac CUBS" will again push it to the final outs....and have to make hay by blanking the worst team in baseball, then scoring with the TOP of the CUBS order due up in their half ... LIVE BET: CUBS -150"Cardiac CUBS" will not get a better shot to win tonight then RIGHT NOW going to the bottom of the 9th in a tie game but the top of their batting order....
Posted:
#1041
Orioles, in this series @Toronto thus far have outscored the hapless BlewitJays 19 - 6 *despite* facing 3 righthanders....O's are much better hitting lefties! In fact, their OPS v. lefties is .813 and leads the entire league!
Today they face Toronto's KIKUCHI - a lefty - whose last two outing were very poor:
He let 8 on base and 5 earned runs in only 3.0 ip vs Detroit - only .638 OPS
Then let 10 on and 5 earned runs in just 5,1 ip vs Pirates - .718 OPS
Posted:
#1042
JP Sears is the starter for OAKLAND today vs Mariners.
He sports a very good WHIP stat ...but mediocre ERA
This is interesting:
6 of his starts allowed at least 4+ earned runs
his other 6 starts limited earned runs to only 1 or 0!
... and they seem to alternate! 
Note this sequence!
04/22 - 0 earned runs
04/27 - 7 earned runs
05/03 - 0 earned runs
05/08 - 4 earned runs
05/14 - 1 earned runs
05/19 - 4 earned runs
05/25 - 1 earned runs
05/31 - 4 earned runs
Today ???
Posted:
#1045
A gent in another thread - 
most probably well-intentioned! 
- suggested something that I had to check out, and discovered it is "unintentionally misleading"
Betting all favs this year (to date) would result in serious profits?
While I will not spend several hours trying to verify more than 9 weeks of results, two important points:
1/ back tracing trends like this are always misleading because the viewer could not possibly know in advance of said trend when itwould take hold and thus begin betting in order to earn those "implied" profits...
2/ I did a count on a randomly selected 2 week period (May 13 - 26) and found that betting all favs would have lost -17.39 units. No reason to believe all the other 2 week periods would be highly profitable.
Posted:
#1046
The top batting teams v. right-hand pitchers are:
(as based on OBP, but OPS is closely correlated!)
Yankees
Brewskys
Padres .... yes, the mediocre Padres!
Dodgers
Phillies
Astros
.... then there is a significant dropoff to 7th best
The WORST batting teams v. right-hand pitchers are:
WhiteSox
Angels
Pirates
Reds
Marlins
The top batting teams v. 
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