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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #1001

YTD:   158 - 102   +41.80u    (63 - 39 *BB)

 
Legend
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Posted: #1002

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

And now I refreshed the weather page at Swish Analytics and see the wind at COORS FIELD has been upgraded by an additional 2 more MPH *IN* from left......

 

Keep in mind, there are NO GUARANTEES in baseball.  This could fail on me once again, but I gotta go with my handicapping stats esp when approaching overwhelming status for an UNDER 12..... However, if it fails, there' no crying in baseball....

an_blowhorn Just now I refreshed the weather page at Swish Analytics for a second time and see the wind at COORS FIELD has been upgraded AGAIN by an additional 1/2 more MPH *IN* from left....an_light

 

No guarantees it stays UNDER 12 though but I see absolutely NO REASON whatsover to make a case for it to go OVER 12

 
Legend
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Posted: #1003

Milly @Philly?

My capping stats sheets show Phillies have a confirmed 1/2 run edge AT THE PLATE over the Brewskys and the Nola/Ashby matchup should theoretically extend that edge to roughly +1.2 net runs for Philly......BUT......While a solid edge, and I do like Philly to prevail, Heavy favs have not fared well this year and that +1.2 run edge is NOT LARGE ENOUGH to justify risking -185 on a fav inflated by steam bets.......PASS!

 

BUT.....I believe the low scoring the first 2 games are akin to a one-off and very unlikely to repeat a 3rd consecutive day.....These are two teams with good offenses waiting to erupt and the odds are good they bat closer to their respective averages than not....NOLA is very good but his stats have been fortunate to escape the best bats against righties.....and Brewskys are arguably one of the TOP 2 best offenses in the league v. righties (like Nola)....and there's a nice breeze blowing out to left center for teams that have good OPS numbers!!  I have this total figured to be between  8.7 and 9.7 runs....

So I grabbed a decent price on an alt-total at pinnacle:

Mil/PHIL ov 8 -131

 

              • My Totals, OVERS posted pre-game:  30 - 13 +13.13u

 
Legend
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Posted: #1004

cool So far only capped the first few games as I now have my second cup of coffee....LOL

 

Much more BS to come, you can count on that an_bounce

 
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Posted: #1005

@fubah2

 Best of luck on the over play today fubah. peace_5

 
Legend
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Posted: #1006

@fubah2

 Let’s get some W’s today. cloveran_cheers

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1007
No coin flippers today? Have a great day and thanks for all you do for this forum
 
Legend
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Posted: #1008

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: And now I refreshed the weather page at Swish Analytics and see the wind at COORS FIELD has been upgraded by an additional 2 more MPH *IN* from left......   Keep in mind, there are NO GUARANTEES in baseball.  This could fail on me once again, but I gotta go with my handicapping stats esp when approaching overwhelming status for an UNDER 12..... However, if it fails, there' no crying in baseball.... Just now I refreshed the weather page at Swish Analytics for a second time and see the wind at COORS FIELD has been upgraded AGAIN by an additional 1/2 more MPH *IN* from left....   No guarantees it stays UNDER 12 though but I see absolutely NO REASON whatsover to make a case for it to go OVER 12

 

...unless they knock in 4  runs in the first inning?    angry   There it goes.....

Adding: GIANTS -106

 
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Posted: #1009

Lets go Over clover

 
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Posted: #1010

@fubah2

 clover

 
Legend
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Posted: #1011

Was leaning heavily METS earlier until I saw  a very good bat for them is OUT....MARTE.

That status lowers the edge for METS down to just +0.5 runs and that is not enough in my handicapping to justify the current ML...

 

ASTROS bet LOST.

 

Rockies game under 12 *BB is definitely on the way to a LOSS as well.   Already 8 runs with more threatening in less than half the game.... Violated my rule about betting UNDERS and sure enough....an_brick

 
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Posted: #1012

@fubah2

I violated my rule of not betting on bad teams.  I took bets on the Reds and the Astros, but I probably won't do that again any time soon.  Even the Astros are not a particularly good team.

 
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Posted: #1013

Quote Originally Posted by Coloneljim:

@fubah2  Best of luck on the over play today fubah.

Thanks peace_5   ....but unlikely to happen today.... No biggie; gotta take a certain percentage of lossses in stride and continue on...an_2drinks

BoL with your bets today!!

 
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Posted: #1014

Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

@fubah2 I violated my rule of not betting on bad teams.  I took bets on the Reds and the Astros, but I probably won't do that again any time soon.  Even the Astros are not a particularly good team.

Yeah, self-discipline is crucial to a bankroll.

 

 
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Posted: #1015

Quote Originally Posted by pointguard:

No coin flippers today?   Have a great day and thanks for all you do for this forum

@pointguard

 Thank you! peace_5

I do have a coin-flipper marked for the Dodger/Pirates game EXCEPT neither team is getting good plus money to make it worthwhile...Still working on the late games...

BoL with your bets today!!

 
Legend
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Posted: #1016

So....the game featuring two very mediocre offenses (Cinci @COL) and a fairly strong breeze blowing IN from left toward homeplate gets 19+ runs, while the game featuring two very good offenses v.s righthanders (Milly @Philly) scores just 2 runs...

 

of course! sad

 
Legend
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Posted: #1017

Yankees -165 *BB

 
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Posted: #1018

@fubah2

 Hey there pal, well we split  1-1 last night fading the streak pitchers but the  Mets were favorites so I lost some juice.. but I’ll keep a record.. Glasgow also lost but not due to him..

 
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Posted: #1019

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

So....the game featuring two very mediocre offenses (Cinci @COL) and a fairly strong breeze blowing IN from left toward homeplate gets 19+ runs, while the game featuring two very good offenses v.s righthanders (Milly @Philly) scores just 2 runs...   of course!
WOW!!!

Mighty Dodgers getting ROUTED early by the mediocre Pirates!

6 runs in and they're still batting with 2 on base!!!!! paint_help

 
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Posted: #1020

@fubah2

Yeah, I just broke my rule again not to bet on bad teams at took the Dodgers.  Why is Paxton in the Major League?

 
Legend
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Posted: #1021

@fubah2

 Thanks for the giants win. winan_worship

 
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Posted: #1022

@OO7CRUSHER peace_5

@Premian  peace_5

@bravo911  peace_5

@Coloneljim peace_5

 

Thanks, fellas and BoL with your bets this evening!! thumbs_up

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #1023

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

VALUE BETS?  

I use this term "value bets" to apply to games where I can't make a reasonably strong case one way or the other for either team to prevail, but one side is getting significant PLUS MONEY, on what I expect is essentially a 50/50 toss-up (ie, coin-flipper!) 

Wednesday: 

my capping sheets identify the Det/Texas games as a 50-50, "coin-flipper"

And one team is getting SIGNIFICANT plus money, making it a decent bet:

TIGGERS +132  (pinnacle)

 

If this coin-flip goes against me (and it could!) I lose  -1.00 unit

If the coin-flip is in my favor, I win +1.32 units an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #1024

Quote Originally Posted by insatiable:

@fubah2

 Thanks for the giants win. winan_worship

@insatiable

Ahh good,  you got it! an_clap

 
 
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Posted: #1025

cloveran_cheers

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