🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

MLB   

2026 YTD so far:  414 - 296   +46.62u*                [165 - 110 *BB!]

2025 FINAL YTD:   177 - 115   +28.47u*    60.6%

2024 FINAL YTD:   186 - 117   +52.72u*   61.5%   [71 - 44 *BB!]

*All counted at the common standard "one unit per bet" - as this is a record of my skills at picking winners (or lack thereof!) not an accounting of how much money (units) I may claim to bet, despite the fact, like most, I OFTEN bet more on some.

Lines on favored NATS has jumped and they are now waaaaaaay overpriced.

Phillies @SEA has too much confusion/uncertainty...... don't need the stress

Tampa @Tiggers is a coin-flipper  ...value is on Tiggers but only 49% chance to win

Umpire in washington game has a 1-18 bias towards the under.  Thats a pretty crazy number, to see an umpire have such a bias.  Is this guy calling strikes on every pitch?  But even with that bias, i hate under bets and just cant bet it.

This umps whole family and all his friends must have cleaned up this season

Monday:

Bos/Mia both teams to score 2+ Yes -185 @SIA   *BB

I'm not seeing any edges/VALUE in any totals today.

@fubah2

 Good evening sir , I check your thread out quite often. You offer a lot of insight. If you’ve ever checked any of my threads out , you know I bet pretty heavy , win or lose. I’ve capped everything I could today, and my two best plays I see is under 7.5 Pit/SD & Cleveland ml & rl , any insights on these two games ? Thanks man in advance if you have any advice here. 

@Rolexsports    

Pitts/SD, I see  two better than avg starters and two better than avg pens, with a small +0.5 run edge overall to Padres due mainly to slightly stronger bats particularly vs righties in their home venue ......so my estimate is 7.5 runs give or take a run either way

With  elite starter MESSICK on the mound and an expected fair edge at the plate, I have Cleveland marked for ~+1.1 run edge, but could be anywhere from +0.6 to +1.6 due to obvious volatility in assessing the tiny sample size on KLASSEN's game....I like the play myself but my stats over the decades do prefer slightly lower odds (lower to mid-150's) with this amount of perceived edge.

My est game total is 5.2 to 7.8 runs

 BoL with your bets tonight! 

@fubah2

 Thank you for advise on both, I’m seeing very similar numbers on both games. I think I’m going to play them both separately but won’t go to heavy on them. I believe worse case is I split and lose a lil juice. I think Cleveland can dominate if they play their game. Thanks bro and good luck tonight on your plays . 

WhiteSox -122 @pinn   *BB

LEAN to  Cleveland  but I want a lower line . . .

Urquidy looks HORRIBLE and they're foolishly leaving him in! 

LIVE hedge BET 3 -2 top of 3rd, TEX -140 @pinn *BB

...and he allows 2 more runs in the 3rd....  5 - 2 now

8th inning, tied now at 2 =  *Best Bet WINNER! 

Also LEAN Twinkies... I have them for ~ +0.9 run edge over struggling A's....

@fubah2

Nice King Fubah.. My CA Book Doesnt Offer That Play... Congrats! (the 2+2).. Great Play

@fubah2

 Any opinion on the cinci game?

@fubah2

 Do you like Seattle?

I make Cinci with ~ +0.8 run edge....the odds need to be down in the 140's for me to suggest a bet

Also a "woulda bet" (but won't) on PADRES

Are we takin the twinkies and clev?

Not bothered to cap:  Phillies @SEA... has too much confusion/uncertainty...... don't need the stress  PASSING

So tonight, my LEANS/wouldas are

Cleveland

Minny

Padres

I'm standing pat with my win  + a split

BoL with YOUR bets on the late games!