On Tuesday,
teams which had the SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER starter on the mound and supported by a better offense (or no worse than even)
Lose! Cinci (Burns)
Lose! BoSox (Bennett)
Lose! Dodgers (Wrobleski)
Lose! CWS (Kay)
Lose! Tampa (Jax)
Much better starters, but backed by weaker offense:
Lose! Cleveland (Williams)
Lose! St.Louis (McGreevy)
.
It's HUMPING DAY! 
... but ...if you're married and over 35, it's just another Wednesday.
Humping Day's high risk bets:
Colo/SD ov 8 -119 @pinn
Colo +1.5 -136 @pinn "value bet" ....I have this figured close; almost dead-even
Tailing my bets on Wednesdays is NOT recommended!
Texas +131 @pinn "value bet" ....I have this figured close; almost dead-even
Tex/TB ov 7.0 -138 alt@pinn *BB
Cinci +124 @pinn *BB ...better offense vs equal pitching should prevail, in theory
Davis Martin at home is a decent match up against the Yankees. CWS is healthy too. I think they have a strong chance. Braves has just been weird past few days against the Mets, they cant score despite the Mets pathetic defense. They make the Mets look like a decent contender every time they play.
AGREED
No worse than 50/50 and there's good PLUS $$$ because of the "over-valued" line on Schlittler - who is VERY GOOD, yes, but AT HOME Martin has been EXCELLENT. Going in CWS still have an edge at the plate as well, with the pens also roughly even (home vs road stats) So I make this a coin-flipper at worst for CWS. Might not work out that way, as Tuesday's results and already today PROVE that the logical plays can lose as often as the others....
We payz our money and we takes our chances...
AGREEDNo worse than 50/50 and there's good PLUS $$$ because of the "over-valued" line on Schlittler - who is VERY GOOD, yes, but AT HOME Martin has been EXCELLENT. Going in CWS still have an edge at the plate as well, with the pens also roughly even (home vs road stats) So I make this a coin-flipper at worst for CWS. Might not work out that way, as Tuesday's results and already today PROVE that the logical plays can lose as often as the others....
We payz our money and we takes our chances...
Already about to lose BOTH my first two bets . . . Wednesdays = mediocre at best. CWS +127 @pinn "value bet" ...I have this figured dead-even! COIN-FLIPPER! 50/50
. It's HUMPING DAY!
... but ...if you're married and over 35, it's just another Wednesday.
Humping Day's high risk bets:
Colo/SD ov 8 -119 @pinn
Colo +1.5 -136 @pinn "value bet" ....I have this figured close; almost dead-even
0 - 2 -2.55u
The "value bets" are never expected to win however; they are 50/50 coin-flips getting $$$
[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]On Tuesday,
teams which had the SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER starter on the mound and supported by a better offense (or no worse than even)
Lose! Cinci (Burns)
Lose! BoSox (Bennett)
Lose! Dodgers (Wrobleski)
Lose! CWS (Kay)
Lose! Tampa (Jax)
With much better starters, but backed by weaker offense:
Lose! Cleveland (Williams)
Lose! St.Louis (McGreevy)
Wednesday,
teams which had the SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER starter on the mound and supported by a better offense (or no worse than even)
Lose! Phillies -180 (Luzardo)
Lose! Detroit -198 (Skubal)
??? Astros -130 (Wesneski)
??? Minnesota -195 (Ryan)
Established in 1995,
WHOA!
BoL, I'm passing.
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