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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #7651

On Tuesday,


teams which had the SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER starter on the mound and supported by a better offense (or no worse than even)

Lose!  Cinci (Burns)
Lose!  BoSox (Bennett)
Lose!  Dodgers (Wrobleski)
Lose!  CWS (Kay)
Lose!  Tampa (Jax)

 


Much better starters, but backed by weaker offense:
Lose!  Cleveland (Williams)
Lose!  St.Louis (McGreevy)

 
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Posted: #7652

@fubah2

 today we had Luzardo, Skubal and I will fade Sale and Schlitler. 

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
 
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Posted: #7653

@fubah2

 I took a stab at Rockies +2.5 +130 live. 2nd half bullpen of the Padres will be exposed. good luck buddy I hope we win! 

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
 
Legend
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Posted: #7654

Quote Originally Posted by Way2Good:

@fubah2  today we had Luzardo, Skubal and I will fade Sale and Schlitler.

  I was in bed at the time,  but  >>>>>  surprised WHOA!

 

Cool thing about fades is getting the solid PLUS $$$.an_boggienight   BoL, I'm passing.

 
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Posted: #7655

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_happydude 

 

          ... but ...if you're married and over 35,   it's just another Wednesday.

 

 

Humping Day's high risk bets:

  Colo/SD ov 8 -119 @pinn

  Colo +1.5 -136 @pinn   "value bet"   ....I have this figured close; almost dead-even

 

an_lightTailing my bets on Wednesdays is NOT recommended!fingershake   

  Texas +131 @pinn  "value bet"     ....I have this figured close; almost dead-even

  Tex/TB ov 7.0 -138 alt@pinn  *BB

  Cinci  +124 @pinn *BB     ...better offense vs equal pitching should prevail, in theory

 
Legend
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Posted: #7656

an_lightTailing my bets on Wednesdays is NOT recommended!fingershake 

 Already about to lose BOTH my first two bets . . .

Wednesdays  = mediocre at best. an_lightening

 
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Posted: #7657

Davis Martin at home is a decent match up against the Yankees. CWS is healthy too. I think they have a strong chance. Braves has just been weird past few days against the Mets, they cant score despite the Mets pathetic defense. They make the Mets look like a decent contender every time they play. 

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
 
Legend
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Posted: #7658

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Tailing my bets on Wednesdays is NOT recommended!   Already about to lose BOTH my first two bets . . . Wednesdays  = mediocre at best.

CWS +127 @pinn  "value bet"   ...I have this figured dead-even! COIN-FLIPPER! 50/50

 
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Posted: #7659

Quote Originally Posted by Way2Good:

Davis Martin at home is a decent match up against the Yankees. CWS is healthy too. I think they have a strong chance.

AGREEDan_cheersNo worse than 50/50 and there's good PLUS $$$ because of the "over-valued" line on Schlittler -  who is VERY GOOD, yes, but AT HOME Martin has been EXCELLENT.  Going in CWS still have an edge at the plate as well, with the pens also roughly even (home vs road stats)   So I make this a coin-flipper at worst for CWS.   Might not work out that way, as Tuesday's results and already today PROVE that the logical plays can lose as often as the others....

We payz our money and we takes our chances...

 
Legend
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Posted: #7660

Quote Originally Posted by Way2Good:

Davis Martin at home is a decent match up against the Yankees. CWS is healthy too. I think they have a strong chance.

AGREEDan_cheersNo worse than 50/50 and there's good PLUS $$$ because of the "over-valued" line on Schlittler -  who is VERY GOOD, yes, but AT HOME Martin has been EXCELLENT.  Going in CWS still have an edge at the plate as well, with the pens also roughly even (home vs road stats)   So I make this a coin-flipper at worst for CWS.   Might not work out that way, as Tuesday's results and already today PROVE that the logical plays can lose as often as the others....

We payz our money and we takes our chances...

 
Legend
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Posted: #7661

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tailing my bets on Wednesdays is NOT recommended!   

Already about to lose BOTH my first two bets . . . Wednesdays  = mediocre at best. CWS +127 @pinn  "value bet"   ...I have this figured dead-even! COIN-FLIPPER! 50/50

CUBBIES +100 @pinn  *BB  an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #7662

 Posted by fubah2   Colo/SD ov 8 -119  ...    Colo +1.5 -136  "value bet" ....  Texas +131  "value bet"  ....   Tex/TB ov 7.0 -138 alt  *BB ......    Cinci  +124  *BB   ......     CWS +127  "value bet"  ....      cubs +100 *BB      clover      an_popcorn

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #7663

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

 

  an_ref Tailing my bets on Wednesdays is NOT recommended!   

Already about to lose BOTH my first two bets . . .

Wednesdays  = mediocre at best.

 

LEANING to METS

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #7664

Minnesota's 2 top SLUGGERS, Buxton & Jeffers >>>  OUT!

 
Legend
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Posted: #7665

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_happydude 

 

          ... but ...if you're married and over 35,   it's just another Wednesday.

 

 

Humping Day's high risk bets:

  Colo/SD ov 8 -119 @pinn

  Colo +1.5 -136 @pinn   "value bet"   ....I have this figured close; almost dead-even

0 - 2    -2.55u

The "value bets" are never expected to win however;  they are 50/50 coin-flips getting $$$

 
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Posted: #7666

@fubah2 - on CWS & Reds w/ you Fubs.. let’s turn this hump day around! an_cheers

 
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Posted: #7667

My capping stats indicated . . . 

 

Reds should have net +1.1 run edge over the favs!

CWS should have net +0.2 run edge over the large favs

CUBS should have net +1.5 runs over the home team favs who avg 2.5 rpg

 

 
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Posted: #7668

Quote Originally Posted by Way2Good:

@fubah2  I took a stab at Rockies +2.5 +130 live. 2nd half bullpen of the Padres will be exposed. good luck buddy I hope we win!

@Way2Good

    moneybag  win

 
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Posted: #7669

Quote Originally Posted by Dubcity4:

@fubah2 - on CWS & Reds w/ you Fubs.. let’s turn this hump day around!

 

@Dubcity4

 cool Sounds good to me!  I'll be pulling for you to win those two! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #7670

Doesn't look like rays game is gonna go over after the fast start they died 

 
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Posted: #7671

Quote Originally Posted by countrybob:

Doesn't look like rays game is gonna go over after the fast start they died

Doesn't look that way.  But thankfully you didn't bet it so why does it matter to you?

 
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Posted: #7672

Astros -128 @pinn   *BB         ... ~ +1.2 run edge

 
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Posted: #7673

BoSox -144 @pinn  *BB    ... should be about +1.1 run edge

 
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Posted: #7674

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]On Tuesday,

 teams which had the SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER starter on the mound and supported by a better offense (or no worse than even)

Lose!  Cinci (Burns)
Lose!  BoSox (Bennett)
Lose!  Dodgers (Wrobleski)
Lose!  CWS (Kay)
Lose!  Tampa (Jax)

 

With much better starters, but backed by weaker offense:
Lose!  Cleveland (Williams)
Lose!  St.Louis (McGreevy)

 

 

Wednesday,

teams which had the SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER starter on the mound and supported by a better offense (or no worse than even)

Lose!  Phillies -180  (Luzardo)
Lose!  Detroit -198  (Skubal)

  ???     Astros  -130  (Wesneski)

  ???    Minnesota -195  (Ryan)

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #7675

Giants offense has come to life!

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