🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.  MONDAY,  July 06 . . .  

 

Researching your results for the games at the start, middle and end of each series could provide some valuable insight to you. I am finding some curious patterns with my own...

For example, with regard to picking SIDES W/L only (since May 01) Mondays have been my worst day of the week (ie, start of a new series) showing 3 winning Mondays vs 5 losing Mondays and a split.

Oddly, the games starting the 2nd series of the week, Fridays have been my most successful, with 6 winning Fridays vs 3 losing Fridays and a split. Five of those 6 had a margin of 2+ more wins than losses (ie, significant winning days) compared with ZERO for losing days!

3 - 5 - 1  for Mondays (start of new series)

6 - 3 - 1  for Fridays  (start of new series) ...although 5 - 0 for significance!

The second games of my series picks are likewise confounding. 

Tuesdays I've done well, (ie, the second games of the Monday - Thursday series) with 5 winning Tuesdays vs 3 losing Tuesdays and a split.

 But with Saturdays (ie, the second games of the Fri - Sun series) it's been a loser with only 3 winning Saturdays vs 4 losers and 3 splits

In terms of actual game-SIDES W/L, Saturdays (games #2 of the series) have been my weakest, hitting only 45% 

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

In terms of actual game-SIDES W/L, Saturdays (games #2 of the series) have been my weakest, hitting only 45% 

Whereas my strongest day is the other games #2 of a series(Tuesdays) where I have hit 65% of my pre-game posted SIDES bets.

FYI,

By my count/capping-stats, SANCHEZ (Philly) has started 7 road games

...and 4 of those 7 were poor performances.

In those 4 ROAD starts where he pitched poorly, Phillies LOST 3

SANCHEZ appears to love the spotlight of HOME games,

but not so good on the road.

 .086  ERA AWESOME!!!   at home in 11 starts

 .389 ERA on the road in 7 starts (pitching poorly in 4 of 7)

As a LEFTY starter, Sanchez is particularly adept when facing lefty bats,

allowing just  .161 OBP!!

... but facing righties, he allows .307 OBP  

...and today the Royals are throwing 7 righty bats at him, 4 of whom hold YTD OBP of at least .330

OTOH,

CAMERON (Royals) has more bad outings than good, even at home, and his numbers are mediocre at best.  In fact his last 4 consecutive starts have all been poor pitching (losing 3 and KC was forced to score more than 6 runs to defeat St.Louis)

But here's the thing.....streaks work BOTH ways.... Cameron may be due for a decent performance since his last one  June 07!  It'll be a tough task facing good bats, but ya never know......Consecutive bad outings don't last forever, just like any other hot or cold streak.

IF Cameron posts his 5th consecutive bad outing, they lose. 

But he's overdue for a decent start even if it is vs. a good offense.

If he doesn't pitch poorly again, this game becomes a coin-flipper...

And Philly/SANCHEZ is a very heavy fav at -206   despite SANCHEZ's less than stellar performances ON THE ROAD

@fubah2

 How about the over?

Passed on that.

@fubah2

 Well because of your excellent work up on Sanchez, I passed on Phillies and took the over. Thanks and keep up the great job my friend. 

Royals got to SANCHEZ early!  6 - 1 lead after 1st inning 

@fubah2

 Great call Fubs, I had been on the Royals past couple games, but I fell for the Phillies today & to make it worse played the under.. looking like 0-2 -4.51u to start the day.

Should have read your thread! Great job sir

@Augie11

 WOW dude!  Wise play!!  You probably saved yourself a Philly loser and probably gained yourself an OVER winner!   

@fubah2

 I took K.C didn't want to admit it unreal I thought there was a possibility.

@Dubcity4

 YA almost did the same but no under just Philly-1.5 then said not a chance to much juice

@fubah2

 Great info brother.

Like I've been saying people should be donating to you for the education cash everything you do my man without a doubt You should be charging for all your insight listening and learning more then u ever would in school

Thanks

@trust-me

 You probably dodged a bullet  

@trust-me

@fubah2

 Thanks but I couldn’t talk my buddy out it and he placed 4K to win 2k which I never understand and now he’s mad at me. Haha dummy. I loved to follow all your advice and also glad to hear you’re feeling better man. 

@fubah2

 Ya it just didn't look right or feel right the pay that much for even -1.5

Im not pushing winners no more gonna be alot more selective and sit and learn my man

Wisdom rules

@Augie11

 4K on Philly wow 

That's some serious playing wow id be mad to for losing that much a bet like that not a chance id ever do it maybe a dollar or 2.

Ya no doubt he ??