🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

.   I Woulda . . .

When I sit down at the table to cap my games there are papers spread out everywhere, and my computer screen (65" Sanyo TV I use as my monitor) I have 11 tabs open with different stats.
First, I begin with my Series RPG Worksheet (ie, assessing offenses!) and this separate process is *KEY* to my capping, unlike my assessment of pitching (which I do only with each daily game because they change) - especially because offense DOES NOT rely on the performance of JUST ONE MAN....and good offenses can often overcome a bad performance from their starter....whereas even a GOOD starter having a GOOD day still relies on run support to win.

Offense is the KEY in my capping...NOT pitching. Although obviously starter + BP is VERY important!!

Once I finish my pre-series RPG Worksheet for all games, then I get down to capping that day's games.

After capping them all I have "circled" multiple teams/odds and totals based on my projections (ie, potential/probable bets!) But the effort isn't over as I prefer to confirm the lineups, assess the updated weather forecasts, and watch closely for injury or "resting player" updates as we approach gametimes...

Then, from all those "circled" potential bets I make my actual bets and post most of them (I usually keep my parlays and props to myself)

All this is pointed out for a reason, which may or may not apply to YOUR capping as well:  "Wouldas"
"Wouldas" are circled picks that I seriously considered for bet but for one reason or another didn't bet. Now looking back at my capping sheets, I can assess the results of all those games I liked and I "woulda" bet but didn't.
ie. "I Woulda Won that" (WW)  or "I Woulda Lost that" (WL) had I actually bet them.

Results of my "Wouldas" since May 01 to date:

49 - 25  SIDES 66% (about 60% were plus $$$; only a handful of RL; only 4 of the 25 losses woulda been large favs )

45 - 41  Unders (theoretical loss on juice)

26 - 8  OVERS! 76% hit rate on the overs I passed up! 

Conclusion: I'm going to incorporate/bet more of my "Woulda" (sides) and "Woulda" (overs)

 Awesome self assessing/capping FB!!! GL today!!!

What are the plays today in one post if possible lol

 Working on it....Just started capping today a few mins ago ...

Although excellent SP Schlittler is on the mound for NYY tonight, coming off a bad outing (normally great for a rebound performance!) and supported by a fine BP   the most integral part of the Yankee team, their offense, has SUCKED....on an extended weakss/SLUMP thru their recent 5 complete series - tracing back to June 19!  Just 46 runs over 16 games. WEAKASS 2.88 rpg - and 3 of those series were at Yankee Stadium!

Tampa owns the BEST HOME RECORD and are pretty solid at run-scoring!

So, in a game of Jekyll & Hyde, which Yankee offense will show up tonight to face the #3 best team in MLB??

The former HOT bats of NYY from first half of June?? Or the current weakass version, but which may be overdue to breakout of their slump at some point soon, possibly tonight(?!).....or not.

Then too, whichever NYY offense decides to show up does face a fairly good starter in JAX.

Grrrr .......too close to call because silly-ass *GUESSING* about NYY offense is required and I won't do that.  Guessing = bad idea!

Coin-flipper is probable anyway so I pass.

Damn do you have any time left over to enjoy life and see the sun outside?

Baseball capping is so time consuming, thats why after 46 years of doing this, i decided this year() to not spend my summer capping baseball andf instead just play the over umps, to grind out a couple of units each week.  Am running out of summers lmfaoooooooooooooooooo

Good Luck Friend and please take some time for other fun things, before you know it you will be making the same post i just made

umpire bias plays for tonight are

tampa over 7.5 12-5 over ump

lad over 9.5 12-5 over ump    These are the only umpire plays i make. I use the totals because i get both teams involved in going for the winning play. If i just play a umpire that is bias to home teams, i need that home team being able to win the game. Thats why i just like the totals.

heres the other ones for tinight

san diego 12-5 home ump bias and toronto 10-3 road ump bias

Good luck

Nope. 

              " Gazing from my window, to the streets below... "

@Jayznation01

 Dude listen up this is a good bud of mine! Don't be asking shit ok If your into betting shutup and learn and be thankful your even in this space trust- me 

Other then that have a good day

we cant replace time

p.s. post those totals

@Jayznation01

Anything else.. King Fubah can assist you with?

My capping shows BREWERS with a +0.6 run edge....and on low odds, this would normally be a bet BUT the intangible here is SP DUSTIN MAY.....the dude struggled his last 2 outings "bigly".....albeit both on the road and his numbers are better at home.....Still, on June 20 he held and deserved a very decent WHIP stat then hit those two bummers.  Now his WHIP is only mediocre.  But I have to wonder if he will rebound, like so many do after bad outings.   Uncertainty and no real probability for accurate prediction.  His last HOME start was a full 9.0 innings and zero ER in a 3 - 0 win over the Padres! 

I pass.

But for reference, consider the Brewers as a "Woulda bet" (LEAN) but  not a recommendation/pick/bet. 

BRAVES -121 @pinn  *BB  ...should be a +1.0 run edge, but recently my logical bets are failures!

Will do if there are any worthy....so far, no, but haven't started the 3 late games yet.

The SF Giants have lost the last 11 games in which ROUPP started ... 

In Dodgers current homestand they are 2 - 2 if choosing to bet the -RL with juice losses.

Their previous home stand they lost 2 games and won 4 but each by just one run.

So, the last 10 HOME games, 2 - 8  betting the RL on Dodgers...

Guess who is scheduled to start Tuesday for PIRATES at HEAVY FAV odds?! 

Padres -121 @pinn

Padres -119 @pinn 1st 5

Obviously hoping I have a winning day Tuesday but maybe I'm due for a loser...

Disregard the score.  Their offense did NOTHING to suggest they turned the corner.

Well.....the PADRES/BUEHLER not looking good at all in the 1st 

Buehler beaned a guy and an throwing error on a pickoff.... 0 - 2 still top of 1.

Braves lead 3 - 2 in night.....Mets down to their last out....SOTO at the plate.....open base to put the slugger.....NOPE!!!   Toss it right down the middle of the plate and .... 3 run homer