Posted:
#5726
JUNETEENTH! 
CWS +1.5 -117 @pinn "value bet" ...micro-thin edge to CWS, so a virtual coin-flipper
Coin-flipper on ML so not expected to win (50% chance) ...but about 59% chance on +RL imho
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#5729
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
. JUNETEENTH!
.
JUNETEENTH!
CWS +1.5 -117 @pinn "value bet" ...micro-thin edge to CWS, so a virtual coin-flipper Coin-flipper on ML so not expected to win (50% chance) ...but about 59% chance on +RL imho
Yankees -270 @pinn *BB ...depends entirely on Schlittler NOT imploding
Yankees -1.5 -128 @pinn ...~ +2.6 runs edge, if Schlittler and NYY offense plays to their avg
NYY TT ov 3.5 -300 @SIA ... I need 4 Yankee runs to cover; they average 5 at home.
Posted:
#5731
@trust-me
FYI .. Fubah2 Strong can make his own decisions... One of the best... All I was adding was a Pep Talk.... And reminding him sometimes you can be the best Capper.. but if Star's or Series Match Ups are not aligning... Thats MLB.. not the Ace MLB Capper. No Disrespect... Youre good too.
Posted:
#5733
JuneTEENTH:
HOT STREAK WARNING! 
THE MIZ, Ole' Milwaukee
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game HOT STREAK, 
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. 
Best to avoid!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't guarantee his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.
Posted:
#5738
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: . JUNETEENTH! CWS +1.5 -117 @pinn "value bet" ...micro-thin edge to CWS, so a virtual coin-flipper Coin-flipper on ML so not expected to win (50% chance) ...but about 59% chance on +RL imho Yankees -270 @pinn *BB ...depends entirely on Schlittler NOT imploding Yankees -1.5 -128 @pinn ...~ +2.6 runs edge, if Schlittler and NYY offense plays to their avg NYY TT ov 3.5 -300 @SIA ... I need 4 Yankee runs to cover; they average 5 at home.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: . JUNETEENTH! CWS +1.5 -117 @pinn "value bet" ...micro-thin edge to CWS, so a virtual coin-flipper Coin-flipper on ML so not expected to win (50% chance) ...but about 59% chance on +RL imho Yankees -270 @pinn *BB ...depends entirely on Schlittler NOT imploding Yankees -1.5 -128 @pinn ...~ +2.6 runs edge, if Schlittler and NYY offense plays to their avg NYY TT ov 3.5 -300 @SIA ... I need 4 Yankee runs to cover; they average 5 at home.
St.Louis -117 @pinn *BB ... about +0.7 run edge with Witt out for KC
Posted:
#5743
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Series #1 of this week:
Series #1 of this week:
6 - 3 on Monday
4 - 5 on Tuesday
4 - 8 on Wednesday
1 - 1 on Thursday
Series #2 of the week kicks off with the Juneteenth celebration/Federal holiday and I'm feeling slightly optimistic about breaking out of my batting slump this long weekend.........well....maybe....
JuneTEENTH:
W CWS +1.5 -117 @pinn "value bet"
W Yankees -270 *BB
W Yankees -1.5 -128
W NYY TT ov 3.5 -300
L St.Louis -117 *BB
pending...Dodgers -202
Posted:
#5744
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
We it's the 8th inning and this one now looks like a BIG FAT LOSER.
Dodgers -202 @pinn
TAILING this one is NOT recommended 
....very close call!!
But so glad I warned off anyone from tailing. . .
I'll finish the day 4 - 2 .......unless a miracle happens.
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