Posted:
#5776
@fubah2 what other sites have these type lines ?
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#5778
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Thoughts on Yanks -1.5 today?
Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Thoughts on Yanks -1.5 today?
Aside from the obvious stats favoring a Yankees win, and the understanding that HOME teams laying -1.5 is usually a trickier bet to win, I'm not particularly confident the Yankees will give it their all in today's DAY GAME. They are notorious for having an excellent game one day and then screwing the pooch the next..... I have them for about a +1.9 run edge to begin with on paper but my concerns are valid and personally I won't risk having them to win by 2 at home without their 9th inning bats.... Anything can happen in baseball of course! They could win by 5 or lose by 5! 
But chances seem to point more toward a one-run NYY win and it could be white-knuckle driving in the stretch! 
.....sigh ..... 
Posted:
#5780
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Thoughts on Yanks -1.5 today? Aside from the obvious stats favoring a Yankees win, and the understanding that HOME teams laying -1.5 is usually a trickier bet to win, I'm not particularly confident the Yankees will give it their all in today's DAY GAME. They are notorious for having an excellent game one day and then screwing the pooch the next..... I have them for about a +1.9 run edge to begin with on paper but my concerns are valid and personally I won't risk having them to win by 2 at home without their 9th inning bats.... Anything can happen in baseball of course! They could win by 5 or lose by 5! But chances seem to point more toward a one-run NYY win and it could be white-knuckle driving in the stretch! .....sigh .....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Thoughts on Yanks -1.5 today? Aside from the obvious stats favoring a Yankees win, and the understanding that HOME teams laying -1.5 is usually a trickier bet to win, I'm not particularly confident the Yankees will give it their all in today's DAY GAME. They are notorious for having an excellent game one day and then screwing the pooch the next..... I have them for about a +1.9 run edge to begin with on paper but my concerns are valid and personally I won't risk having them to win by 2 at home without their 9th inning bats.... Anything can happen in baseball of course! They could win by 5 or lose by 5! But chances seem to point more toward a one-run NYY win and it could be white-knuckle driving in the stretch! .....sigh .....
The very lucky REDS are gifted 4 UNearned runs for a 6 - 1 lead...
Posted:
#5784
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
I have Phillies with a solid +1.1 run edge tonight but the line is waaaaaay too high (Sanchez) to justify the risk The Phillies are over-valued here due to perceptions of Sanchez
I have Phillies with a solid +1.1 run edge tonight but the line is waaaaaay too high (Sanchez) to justify the risk The Phillies are over-valued here due to perceptions of Sanchez
Likewise, another waaaaaay over-valued spot tonight is on PIRATES.
Yes, SKENES will likely pitch very well AGAIN tonight. Not a concern.
The concern is this:
despite how well SKENES pitches, PIRATES have LOST 9 of his 15 starts,
including his last 6 consecutive starts!
Pirates have given up 45 runs in those 6 straight losses with SKENES starting.
We have 3 betting options on this game, and choosing to PASS might be the best...
Posted:
#5792
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I have Phillies with a solid +1.1 run edge tonight but the line is waaaaaay too high (Sanchez) to justify the risk The Phillies are over-valued here due to perceptions of Sanchez
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I have Phillies with a solid +1.1 run edge tonight but the line is waaaaaay too high (Sanchez) to justify the risk The Phillies are over-valued here due to perceptions of Sanchez
Likewise,
another waaaaaay over-valued spot tonight is on PIRATES.
Yes, SKENES will likely pitch very well AGAIN tonight. Not a concern.
The concern is this:
despite how well SKENES pitches, PIRATES have LOST 9 of his 15 starts,
including his last 6 consecutive starts!
Pirates have given up 45 runs in those 6 straight losses with SKENES starting.
We have 3 betting options on this game, and choosing to PASS might be the best...
Yep. Pirates lose their 7th consecutive start by SKENES.
Glad I passed on that one . . .
Posted:
#5794
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
JuneTEENTH: HOT STREAK WARNING! THE MIZ, Ole' Milwaukee This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game HOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. Best to avoid! CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't guarantee his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.
JuneTEENTH: HOT STREAK WARNING! THE MIZ, Ole' Milwaukee This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game HOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. Best to avoid! CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't guarantee his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.
The MIZ pitched well yet again (14 consecutive) but the team lost to Atlanta 2 - 3.
By avoiding such a HOT STREAK one would have avoided the loss.
; unders not good to me
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