Me too! My stats say they are a *Best Bet so I played it (-155)......but funny thing.....if it loses on me my winning night falls to break even, which always seems to happen when I've scored a few wins....so, I'm watching closely if I need a possible "hedge bet" later
Me too! My stats say they are a *Best Bet so I played it (-155)......but funny thing.....if it loses on me my winning night falls to break even, which always seems to happen when I've scored a few wins....so, I'm watching closely if I need a possible "hedge bet" later
Bunch of games Wednesday which are more or less coin-flippers but where one side is getting significant plus money......DGaNG will wait and see the lineups before betting on day games....
Bunch of games Wednesday which are more or less coin-flippers but where one side is getting significant plus money......DGaNG will wait and see the lineups before betting on day games....
Bunch of games Wednesday which are more or less coin-flippers but where one side is getting significant plus money......DGaNG will wait and see the lineups before betting on day games....
i like your style Duke BOL with your plays buddy…
The impossible only takes longer….
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Bunch of games Wednesday which are more or less coin-flippers but where one side is getting significant plus money......DGaNG will wait and see the lineups before betting on day games....
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
SKUBAL, Tiggers >> day game
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances....it happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that the bubble may burst that day. There's 14 other games to look at. I can simply skip those "HOT STREAK" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing beatdown, then resume looking at his starts after that!
WARNING: HOT STREAK alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
SKUBAL, Tiggers >> day game
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances....it happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that the bubble may burst that day. There's 14 other games to look at. I can simply skip those "HOT STREAK" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing beatdown, then resume looking at his starts after that!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
JONES, Pirates >> vs Blake Snell
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
WARNING: HOT STREAK alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
JONES, Pirates >> vs Blake Snell
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836: Our twins got much needed win last night!!! They take series today and start another winning streak to get back in division race!!!Maybe. I have today's game estimated at 4.0 runs each - a coin-flipper. Actually, based on my capping methods, I see a surprising number of evenly matched coin-flippers today...... Minn/Wash Det/KC Milw/Miami SD/Cinci Bos/TB Sea/NYY CWS/TOR ATL/Cubs Colo/OAK The idea being the dogs should win on plus money with the games splitting wins/losses
am looking at some of those dogs too
"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836: Our twins got much needed win last night!!! They take series today and start another winning streak to get back in division race!!!Maybe. I have today's game estimated at 4.0 runs each - a coin-flipper. Actually, based on my capping methods, I see a surprising number of evenly matched coin-flippers today...... Minn/Wash Det/KC Milw/Miami SD/Cinci Bos/TB Sea/NYY CWS/TOR ATL/Cubs Colo/OAK The idea being the dogs should win on plus money with the games splitting wins/losses
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836: Our twins got much needed win last night!!! They take series today and start another winning streak to get back in division race!!!Maybe. I have today's game estimated at 4.0 runs each - a coin-flipper. Actually, based on my capping methods, I see a surprising number of evenly matched coin-flippers today...... Minn/Wash Det/KC Milw/Miami SD/Cinci Bos/TB Sea/NYY CWS/TOR ATL/Cubs Colo/OAK The idea being the dogs should win on plus money with the games splitting wins/losses am looking at some of those dogs too
i think i like the redsox the best
"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836: Our twins got much needed win last night!!! They take series today and start another winning streak to get back in division race!!!Maybe. I have today's game estimated at 4.0 runs each - a coin-flipper. Actually, based on my capping methods, I see a surprising number of evenly matched coin-flippers today...... Minn/Wash Det/KC Milw/Miami SD/Cinci Bos/TB Sea/NYY CWS/TOR ATL/Cubs Colo/OAK The idea being the dogs should win on plus money with the games splitting wins/losses am looking at some of those dogs too
Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836: Our twins got much needed win last night!!! They take series today and start another winning streak to get back in division race!!!Maybe. I have today's game estimated at 4.0 runs each - a coin-flipper. Actually, based on my capping methods, I see a surprising number of evenly matched coin-flippers today...... Minn/Wash Det/KC Milw/Miami SD/Cinci Bos/TB Sea/NYY CWS/TOR ATL/Cubs Colo/OAK The idea being the dogs should win on plus money with the games splitting wins/losses
Have a good plus money opp for a hedge bet into the bottom of the 8th and I'll take it because Stros get 2 at bats and Halos only get one, and I win something either way....LIVE HEDGE BET: ASTROS +200
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836: Our twins got much needed win last night!!! They take series today and start another winning streak to get back in division race!!!Maybe. I have today's game estimated at 4.0 runs each - a coin-flipper. Actually, based on my capping methods, I see a surprising number of evenly matched coin-flippers today...... Minn/Wash Det/KC Milw/Miami SD/Cinci Bos/TB Sea/NYY CWS/TOR ATL/Cubs Colo/OAK The idea being the dogs should win on plus money with the games splitting wins/losses
Have a good plus money opp for a hedge bet into the bottom of the 8th and I'll take it because Stros get 2 at bats and Halos only get one, and I win something either way....LIVE HEDGE BET: ASTROS +200
another day in the office! Like Rockies at plus money. what you think?
@VICRRC
Sorry I missed you earlier...
YES! Rockies have an edge there and they are getting plus money! Better starter facing an A's reliever, although A's appear to have better support from the pen....but a Rockies edge offensively suggests good value taking the money line dog.
Cubbies, BoSox and Marlins all in a similar "value" boat imo
Seattle and CWS each yield a little edge tonight but those weighty moneylines look tempting!
BoL with your bets!
Quote Originally Posted by VICRRC:
another day in the office! Like Rockies at plus money. what you think?
@VICRRC
Sorry I missed you earlier...
YES! Rockies have an edge there and they are getting plus money! Better starter facing an A's reliever, although A's appear to have better support from the pen....but a Rockies edge offensively suggests good value taking the money line dog.
Cubbies, BoSox and Marlins all in a similar "value" boat imo
Seattle and CWS each yield a little edge tonight but those weighty moneylines look tempting!
Actually, based on my capping methods, I see a surprising number of 
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