🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

WARNING:  HOT STREAK alert!

This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-game HOT STREAK, WITHOUT getting roughed up yet in that streak,

...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!   

                Imanaga, Cubs

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances....it happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that the bubble may burst that day.  There's 14 other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "HOT STREAK" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing beatdown, then resume looking at his starts after that!

I have a few possible leans today I will watch for line moves and/or lineup changes:

Angels .... getting plus money in a coin-flipper

Rockies .... getting BIG plus money in a coin-flipper

Rays .... should have a tiny edge over Jays, but Gausman coming off a BAD outing so he may rebound with a SOLID performance, putting a Tampa bet in jeopardy... hard to say... hate guessing

Oy-yoy....tough question...... I mean, if they weren't in such a horrid slump at the plate....

On the one hand, Twinkies hit against lefties better than all but 3 other teams, and today they face a mediocre/WEAK starter (Allen) with a BAD WHIP stat and even worse ERA    This suggests Twinkies have a golden opportunity to break their batting slump! Mind you, Cleveland does have the best bullpen in MLB to back him up so it may come down to *IF* they can get to this guy early.... But, Cleveland does not hit righties particular well and they face a GOOD one....

But on the other hand, two things:  that Twins batting slump is a big concern until they prove they are out of it (which implies wait until Sunday) .....and the fact that Ober "the giant" has only allowed 28 baserunners in 41 2/3 ip with only 2 homers (AWESOME!!), gives pause in my capping style because a reasonable case can be made that NOW he may be due for a BAD outing 

Put it all together and the Twinkies could be a definite maybe...

But I'm sitting this one out until I see a full game where their bats are back.

What’s your  month to date record?

@Hoyasaxa

My entire season bets/results so far:

April 30:   3 - 5 - 1   -2.65u        (1 - 2 *BB)
May 01:    7 - 0       +7.64u        (4 - 0 *BB)
May 02:    1 - 0 - 1  +1.00u
May 03:    5 - 5        -1.16u        (4 - 3 *BB)
May 04:    5 - 7        -4.25u        (4 - 2 *BB)
May 05:  11 - 8       +6.72u        (4 - 4 *BB)
May 06:    2 - 3        -1.39u        (1 - 3 *BB)
May 07:    8 - 2 - 1  +4.70u        (5 - 2 *BB)
May 08:    3 - 2 - 1  +0.58u        (2 - 1 *BB)
May 09:    2 - 0       +2.00u        (1 - 0 *BB)
May 10:  13 - 8      +5.45u        (6 - 5 *BB)
May 11:    7 - 3       +2.60u        (2 - 1 *BB)
May 12:    7 - 4       +1.34u        (1 - 2 *BB)
May 13:    2 - 6      - 6.33u        (0 - 3 *BB)
May 14:    3 - 3        -1.28u        (3 - 1 *BB)
May 15:    1 - 1        -0.18u         (1 - 1 *BB)
May 16:    1 - 1        -0.41u
May 17:  10 - 2      +9.58u        (2 - 1 *BB)

= 91 - 60 - 4   +23.96u     (41 - 30 *BB)

Best starter in baseball just increased his streak to nine (9) consecutive outings without a BAD one.......so far

Nicely done, sir!

Went over in the top of the 3rd inning...

WINNER!

@trust-me

At this time I am not moving on any of those potential leans I noted, but if you have bets on any then BoL, hope you win!

Top of the first and Phillies fair/mediocre starter, SANCHEZ, already gives up 3 hits and an earned run.  Statistically, the NATS bat poorly v. lefties, but they got to Sanchez early.... Phillies DO NOT have a GOOD bullpen, so they could be in big trouble here if he doesn't rebound in next inning and beyond...... that or Phillies bats will be forced to score plenty...

Safe to say the GIANTS bats have returned home!

Scored 10 runs last night and 14 more today against the formerly red hot Rockies....

Rockies Cinderella hot streak is over. 

Despite the Phillies solo homer in the 7th to tie the game,  their bats are slumping today....

Just got this feeling that after having a stellar night of bets yesterday, I'm going to lose at least 3 of my pending 6 bets....

Finally the TWINKIES score!!!!

They're losing badly, again, but at least they scored.

Entering todaay, the TWINS over the last 4 games (all losses) were outscored 17 - 3.....

METS phuck-it-UP

and blow a large 7 - 2 lead to LOSE 9 - 10 to the worst team in MLB

OMG

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

On the one hand, Twinkies hit against lefties better than all but 3 other teams, and today they face a mediocre/WEAK starter (Allen) with a BAD WHIP stat and even worse ERA    This suggests Twinkies have a golden opportunity to break their batting slump! Mind you, Cleveland does have the best bullpen in MLB to back him up so it may come down to *IF* they can get to this guy early.... But, Cleveland does not hit righties particular well and they face a GOOD one....

But on the other hand, two things:  that Twins batting slump is a big concern until they prove they are out of it (which implies wait until Sunday) .....

AND the fact that Ober "the giant" has only allowed 28 baserunners in 41 2/3 ip with only 2 homers (AWESOME!!!), but THAT gives pause in my capping style because a reasonable case can be made that NOW he may be due for a BAD outing 

....and sure enough, Twins starter Ober, does indeed have the BAD outing...allowing 9 on board in only 4 innings, and 5 earned runs!