good work 
TY, Kelly 
@Moose6836
Well I certainly agree they should win AT LEAST 2 in Denver.
Rockies offense is among the worst vs righthanders...
But I have to wonder how the break affects all the teams. Will it help revitalize/refocus/make improvements/fresh start for MOST of them, including the weak teams like Colorado? Or does the break have zero effect on most teams?
Now I have decided.
My capping suggests 4.3 runs each team is the focal point of standard deviation curve. Suggesting no significant edge either team. I have factored in: Starters, team offfense vs righties, bullpens, offense over past 30 days, team records at the venue, the typical enhanced performance expected when a team RETURNS HOME where they have a SOLID winning record (Cubbies) ...or vice-versa where teams were winning AT HOME but now take to the road where they usually perform WORSE (BoSox), and most recent batting performance. BoSox have the better starter for sure - but will he remain consistent today??
What I can't factor in is how the break will affect teams. Malaise or rejuvenation??
Certainly one would EXPECT that all pitchers should gain somewhat from 4 extra days rest, including bullpens, and managerial decisions, suggesting slightly BETTER overall pitching performances....
*Although in a coin-flipper there may be small value taking the plus money...
PASS
Two games where I have just handicapped small edges AND they are getting GOOD PLUS MONEY ta boot! Normally I might call them "value" bets given the closeness or coin-flipper status....but I make +0.4 and +0.5 edges respectively on these teams to win.
Cool thing is, even if I split these I still profit!
CWS +140 @pinn
NATS +128 @pinn
Who knows if I have this game capped accurately (notwithstanding possible effects of 4 days off) but basically it boils down to 2 weak batting teams, with 2 better than average starters on the mound and fresh arms in the bullpens..... so all told I make the CWS/Pitts game tabbed at around 7.4 runs total.
UN 9 -131 alt-line *BB .....under 8.5 is less juice but more risky
. Friday, JULY 18
HOT STREAK WARNING!
LUGO, KC
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-game HOT STREAK, 
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe
Established in 1995,
(ok at least lose most of there games) 
@fubah2 ........ hope to have eyes on your thread 2h ... such a nice comeback you had 1h i think
The scientist at work…… 
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