Essentially undefeated system has no picks for 3rd week in a row even though weeks 1 and 2 after creation it had 1 pick each week and 3 picks the 3rd week... not sure why
1) Have 2 experimental picks for the undefeated system instead Koslow +110 and Joel Figlier +105 to see if higher volume experimental pick approach works
2) Created a new system with 3 variants that went between 2-10 to 3-14 on each variant to make for hilariously consistent profitable fade material that was profitable on all 5 unseen testing cards. All 3 variants have Buckley (+110 iirc?) to defeat Malott as the fade play
3) Trying to make a 3rd system trying to evolve and really understand the fights better more like how a human would
So system1 (5-0 undefeated on officials, 0-0 on experimentals): 2 experimental plays figlier +105 and koslow +110
System2 (+nearly 6 units of profit by fading 2-10 plays, even better on both variants, profitable on all 5 cards in testing): all variants unanimously choose Malott so we fade to get Buckley (+110?) as the fade play
Warnings:
1) Koslow hasn't fought since 2022 and facing a full time fighter, system is necessarily based on data from years ago
2) Malott is very similar to the few times when fading the system failed in testing on the 5 most recent unseen ufc events... the system is 7-0 when fading underdog picks but only 3-2 when fading favorites like malott... Malotts numbers and betting line closely resemble the favorites that fading failed on. However Buckley has faced the far higher level competition consistently
Clues:
1) JakeGerber YT prediction vid thinks Koslow will be able to get the grappling going and win but if he can't he's screwed... MMAExperts YT thinks its an uphill battle for the inactive Koslow against full time fighter and expects opponent to be victorious
2) Gerber thinks Malott's counterpunching is really good and expects a tough win for him but Voice of MMA notes that Buckley has just been fighting a bunch of elite fighters unlike Malott
3) MMAExperts thinks Figlier is a very solid betting pick
Essentially undefeated system has no picks for 3rd week in a row even though weeks 1 and 2 after creation it had 1 pick each week and 3 picks the 3rd week... not sure why
1) Have 2 experimental picks for the undefeated system instead Koslow +110 and Joel Figlier +105 to see if higher volume experimental pick approach works
2) Created a new system with 3 variants that went between 2-10 to 3-14 on each variant to make for hilariously consistent profitable fade material that was profitable on all 5 unseen testing cards. All 3 variants have Buckley (+110 iirc?) to defeat Malott as the fade play
3) Trying to make a 3rd system trying to evolve and really understand the fights better more like how a human would
So system1 (5-0 undefeated on officials, 0-0 on experimentals): 2 experimental plays figlier +105 and koslow +110
System2 (+nearly 6 units of profit by fading 2-10 plays, even better on both variants, profitable on all 5 cards in testing): all variants unanimously choose Malott so we fade to get Buckley (+110?) as the fade play
Warnings:
1) Koslow hasn't fought since 2022 and facing a full time fighter, system is necessarily based on data from years ago
2) Malott is very similar to the few times when fading the system failed in testing on the 5 most recent unseen ufc events... the system is 7-0 when fading underdog picks but only 3-2 when fading favorites like malott... Malotts numbers and betting line closely resemble the favorites that fading failed on. However Buckley has faced the far higher level competition consistently
Clues:
1) JakeGerber YT prediction vid thinks Koslow will be able to get the grappling going and win but if he can't he's screwed... MMAExperts YT thinks its an uphill battle for the inactive Koslow against full time fighter and expects opponent to be victorious
2) Gerber thinks Malott's counterpunching is really good and expects a tough win for him but Voice of MMA notes that Buckley has just been fighting a bunch of elite fighters unlike Malott
3) MMAExperts thinks Figlier is a very solid betting pick
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