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    All Forums | King of Covers

    KScapping write ups and plays archived #2

    «First Previous 111213 ... 394041 Next Last»
    10percent719
    wchowdip
    ILPRATO
    LILAC77477
    iSTATUS
    ...
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    Search
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    «First Previous 111213 ... 394041 Next Last»
     
    10percent719
    10percent719
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    Joined: Feb, 2011
    Posts: 67
    Posted: Dec. 23, 2011 - 11:08 PM ET #251

    Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:

    It's time to say it, as I told everyone before, gambling is all about streaks... kscapping had a good one and just started to brag about it while at the same time attempting to look 'humble'..  look at how terrible hes doing now.. hes like what. 0-6 last 6? people tends to forget the truth relies on the middle most of the time, I mean just how funny is it? he goes 7-1 and starts talking like hes Robin hood giving golden picks to the poor, look at him now..  I mean its normal, everyone has bad streaks of course, but it's kind of embarrasing how the guy says he works his ass off capping like 20 hours a day and stuff... he doesn't understand luck has alot to do with gambling, and yet writes like an entire book about how to hit 70%. Now.. get real, if you have a weak mind and cant think for yourself your first reaction will be to just call me a hater, but im just stating the real facts, it is what it is. and this whole thing just proved my previous point, and yeah, even the best cappers in the world will not go beyond 60% in the long run, ride your hot streaks, be careful and identify the cold ones fast, that's the key to success in this business.


    Nessa, since you are so smart, please enlighten us on how to identify the cold ones fast.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:

    It's time to say it, as I told everyone before, gambling is all about streaks... kscapping had a good one and just started to brag about it while at the same time attempting to look 'humble'..  look at how terrible hes doing now.. hes like what. 0-6 last 6? people tends to forget the truth relies on the middle most of the time, I mean just how funny is it? he goes 7-1 and starts talking like hes Robin hood giving golden picks to the poor, look at him now..  I mean its normal, everyone has bad streaks of course, but it's kind of embarrasing how the guy says he works his ass off capping like 20 hours a day and stuff... he doesn't understand luck has alot to do with gambling, and yet writes like an entire book about how to hit 70%. Now.. get real, if you have a weak mind and cant think for yourself your first reaction will be to just call me a hater, but im just stating the real facts, it is what it is. and this whole thing just proved my previous point, and yeah, even the best cappers in the world will not go beyond 60% in the long run, ride your hot streaks, be careful and identify the cold ones fast, that's the key to success in this business.


    Nessa, since you are so smart, please enlighten us on how to identify the cold ones fast.
     
    wchowdip
    wchowdip
    Prospect
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    Joined: Mar, 2011
    Posts: 475
    Posted: Dec. 23, 2011 - 11:20 PM ET #252

    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
    Reply
    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
     
    ILPRATO
    ILPRATO
    Captain
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    Joined: Nov, 2002
    Posts: 5518
    Posted: Dec. 23, 2011 - 11:29 PM ET #253

    Quote Originally Posted by poolman11:

    ilprato is a real gambler that i firmly believe is one of the very few on forums actully bets real money  and is genuinly concerned on not promoting hisself by bumping threads trying to be the man on forums what a first class guy !!!!!!  i loved his thread explaining he would never bet this many games no real gambler does!!!!!! he is about winning money not winning the most hits on his thread my hats off to you sir

    I appreciate your comments its not an easy game especially laying juice on every contest.The biggest downfall to many players is money management and betting over your head.Believe I know I have been there before .
     On another note one thing that upsets me is when i read the forums and see all these parlays go down in flames.Imagine winning 2 out of 3 or hitting 3 out of 4 and losing money. its hard enough to hit 1 game.It makes me wish sometimes I was on the other side just taking bets and collecting from the losers.On the other hand I have seen what gambling has done to some peoples lives and I would never want to be the cause of that.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by poolman11:

    ilprato is a real gambler that i firmly believe is one of the very few on forums actully bets real money  and is genuinly concerned on not promoting hisself by bumping threads trying to be the man on forums what a first class guy !!!!!!  i loved his thread explaining he would never bet this many games no real gambler does!!!!!! he is about winning money not winning the most hits on his thread my hats off to you sir

    I appreciate your comments its not an easy game especially laying juice on every contest.The biggest downfall to many players is money management and betting over your head.Believe I know I have been there before .
     On another note one thing that upsets me is when i read the forums and see all these parlays go down in flames.Imagine winning 2 out of 3 or hitting 3 out of 4 and losing money. its hard enough to hit 1 game.It makes me wish sometimes I was on the other side just taking bets and collecting from the losers.On the other hand I have seen what gambling has done to some peoples lives and I would never want to be the cause of that.
     
    10percent719
    10percent719
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2011 - 11:32 PM ET #254

    I'm 0 -3 since tailing Niners Over on MNF up to tonight's Baylor game. This seem to always happen. As soon I start tailing someone cos he's hot, they go cold. KS was 7 - 1 on his last 8 before that MNF game...
    Reply
    I'm 0 -3 since tailing Niners Over on MNF up to tonight's Baylor game. This seem to always happen. As soon I start tailing someone cos he's hot, they go cold. KS was 7 - 1 on his last 8 before that MNF game...
     
    LILAC77477
    LILAC77477
    Prospect
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    Joined: Feb, 2010
    Posts: 23
    Posted: Dec. 23, 2011 - 11:39 PM ET #255

    Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:

    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
    yes ,me too,
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:

    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
    yes ,me too,
     
    LILAC77477
    LILAC77477
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2011 - 11:40 PM ET #256

    need help
    Reply
    need help
     
    ILPRATO
    ILPRATO
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    Posts: 5518
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 12:08 AM ET #257

    Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:

    STEELERS UNDER 34.5

    RAVENS    UNDER  38

    Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.

    Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played  games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.

    Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
    Tread lightly
     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:

    STEELERS UNDER 34.5

    RAVENS    UNDER  38

    Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.

    Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played  games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.

    Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
    Tread lightly
     

     
    iSTATUS
    iSTATUS
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2011
    Posts: 250
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 12:11 AM ET #258

    Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:


    Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.

    Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played  games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.

    Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
    Tread lightly
     

    Thanks!  Any other games you're leaning? 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:


    Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.

    Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played  games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.

    Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
    Tread lightly
     

    Thanks!  Any other games you're leaning? 

     
    warcameagle56
    warcameagle56
    Captain
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    Joined: Dec, 2011
    Posts: 5418
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 12:43 AM ET #259

    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

       good luck to you sir... let's keep it mature...no insults... loser disappears...fair? 
    ...is that necessary ?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

       good luck to you sir... let's keep it mature...no insults... loser disappears...fair? 
    ...is that necessary ?
     
    winner005
    winner005
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2011
    Posts: 5526
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 12:49 AM ET #260

    Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:

    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.

     

    me too, the winning pick was posted too late, we all missed it

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:

    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.

     

    me too, the winning pick was posted too late, we all missed it

     
    winner005
    winner005
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    Joined: Sep, 2011
    Posts: 5526
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 12:51 AM ET #261

    Quote Originally Posted by iSTATUS:

    Thanks!  Any other games you're leaning? 

    Ravens best receiver also out

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by iSTATUS:

    Thanks!  Any other games you're leaning? 

    Ravens best receiver also out

     
    winner005
    winner005
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2011
    Posts: 5526
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 12:52 AM ET #262

    Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:


    Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.

    Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played  games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.

    Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
    Tread lightly
     

    Ravens best receiver also out

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:


    Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.

    Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played  games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.

    Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
    Tread lightly
     

    Ravens best receiver also out

     
    winner005
    winner005
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    Posts: 5526
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 12:57 AM ET #263

    Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:

    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.

     

    Correction, I also lost on MON night game, so its like 0-8 for me

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:

    Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss.  Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.

     

    Correction, I also lost on MON night game, so its like 0-8 for me

     
    winner005
    winner005
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 1:05 AM ET #264

    0- 11 Pitt/SF Over 18 first half, Pitt (NFL) +1.5 first half, Pitt/SF Over 37, Pitt Pick em 2nd half, NCAAFB: FIU -4.5, Marshall/FIU Over 49.5, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB)Baylor,

    additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5

     

    really really cold run,only thing save me is 4wins from ILproto


    Reply

    0- 11 Pitt/SF Over 18 first half, Pitt (NFL) +1.5 first half, Pitt/SF Over 37, Pitt Pick em 2nd half, NCAAFB: FIU -4.5, Marshall/FIU Over 49.5, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB)Baylor,

    additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5

     

    really really cold run,only thing save me is 4wins from ILproto


     
    winner005
    winner005
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 1:08 AM ET #265

    UL Lafayette +3 in 1ST half, SD State/UL Lafayette Over 60, Carolina +3.5 first half, Carolina +6 game, Detroit @ Oakland Under 48, Green Bay @ KC Under 46, Cleveland +6.5, Chargers +0.5 pts first half

    But I got to remind everyone he was hot before the cold streak

    Reply

    UL Lafayette +3 in 1ST half, SD State/UL Lafayette Over 60, Carolina +3.5 first half, Carolina +6 game, Detroit @ Oakland Under 48, Green Bay @ KC Under 46, Cleveland +6.5, Chargers +0.5 pts first half

    But I got to remind everyone he was hot before the cold streak

     
    Vuabip00
    Vuabip00
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2011
    Posts: 463
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 1:11 AM ET #266

    Let get together get some wins a for Christmas guys... Been down - for while week time to make it up ....let team work
    Reply
    Let get together get some wins a for Christmas guys... Been down - for while week time to make it up ....let team work
     
    ILPRATO
    ILPRATO
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2002
    Posts: 5518
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 1:57 AM ET #267

    Quote Originally Posted by iSTATUS:

    Thanks!  Any other games you're leaning? 


    In all honesty a lot of meaningless games tomorrow so i like to track the line movement of those games -sometimes it can lead you to the right side.

    A good example was last week we had about 75% plus of the public all over the pack over the chiefs yet the line dropped down from 14 to 11 by kickoff.So it was obvious some big money came down on the chiefs.

    So maybe we can spot something like that tomorrow that can give us a hint.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by iSTATUS:

    Thanks!  Any other games you're leaning? 


    In all honesty a lot of meaningless games tomorrow so i like to track the line movement of those games -sometimes it can lead you to the right side.

    A good example was last week we had about 75% plus of the public all over the pack over the chiefs yet the line dropped down from 14 to 11 by kickoff.So it was obvious some big money came down on the chiefs.

    So maybe we can spot something like that tomorrow that can give us a hint.
     
    Nessa
    Nessa
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2011
    Posts: 247
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 4:12 AM ET #268

    I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
    Reply
    I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
     
    djvice
    djvice
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 664
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 4:38 AM ET #269

    Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:

    I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:

    I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.

     
    KScapping
    KScapping
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 3207
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 5:12 AM ET #270

    Overview:
    All Forum Posted Plays (all plays total) : 61-46-1 (57%) additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5


    Challenge between iPROTO and myself (Rules posted below)
    iPROTO  4-0 w/ 26 plays left (100%) NCAAFB Marshall +4, NCAAFB Louisiana Tech,  Colts Under 20 in 1st half, Boise State -14

    KS:          1-5  w/ 24 with plays left (20%)NCAAFB Fla Intnl -4, NCAABB N. Carolina -10, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB), Baylor -5.5
    Reply
    Overview:
    All Forum Posted Plays (all plays total) : 61-46-1 (57%) additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5


    Challenge between iPROTO and myself (Rules posted below)
    iPROTO  4-0 w/ 26 plays left (100%) NCAAFB Marshall +4, NCAAFB Louisiana Tech,  Colts Under 20 in 1st half, Boise State -14

    KS:          1-5  w/ 24 with plays left (20%)NCAAFB Fla Intnl -4, NCAABB N. Carolina -10, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB), Baylor -5.5
     
    dougiemac
    dougiemac
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2011
    Posts: 369
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 8:32 AM ET #271

    KS - Not to add insult to injury, but 1-5 = 16.7%,

    I am still with you brother. Time for a big day today in the NFL.

    Reply

    KS - Not to add insult to injury, but 1-5 = 16.7%,

    I am still with you brother. Time for a big day today in the NFL.

     
    ILPRATO
    ILPRATO
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2002
    Posts: 5518
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 8:59 AM ET #272

    Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:

    I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.

    I agree
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:

    I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.

    I agree
     
    buju8
    buju8
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 36
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 10:15 AM ET #273

    Quote Originally Posted by dougiemac:

    KS - Not to add insult to injury, but 1-5 = 16.7%,

    I am still with you brother. Time for a big day today in the NFL.

     

    Stop betting and take mathematics again bud.  Because, 1 out of 5 is 20%

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by dougiemac:

    KS - Not to add insult to injury, but 1-5 = 16.7%,

    I am still with you brother. Time for a big day today in the NFL.

     

    Stop betting and take mathematics again bud.  Because, 1 out of 5 is 20%

     
    mp5070
    mp5070
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 5612
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 10:32 AM ET #274

    Quote Originally Posted by buju8:

     

    Stop betting and take mathematics again bud.  Because, 1 out of 5 is 20%





    1-5 is 1 out of 6 at 16.7%
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by buju8:

     

    Stop betting and take mathematics again bud.  Because, 1 out of 5 is 20%





    1-5 is 1 out of 6 at 16.7%
     
     
    ILPRATO
    ILPRATO
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2002
    Posts: 5518
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 11:09 AM ET #275

    Seahawks +2.5


    mgm mirage line



    Reply
    Seahawks +2.5


    mgm mirage line



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