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    All Forums | Investments

    USD/JPY First Quarter

    «First Previous 151617 ... 282930 Next Last»
    rick3117
    wallstreetcappers
    Knoxpoker
    bucknuts
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    «First Previous 151617 ... 282930 Next Last»
     
    rick3117
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #351

    Quote Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

    looks to want to test yesterdays highs , I have my limit just about 83.600 for 18 pips .. hopefully it gets there soon.


    If you pop out to a daily chart you can see that the .8340 line is a serious resistance and only really breached it meaningfully 5 times since september.  Of those times it has had solid and staunch resistance at the .84 level, only breaching it once, while heading up to the High of .8543 and then returning down below. 

    The .834 level is key, and I would love to see the day end above it.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

    looks to want to test yesterdays highs , I have my limit just about 83.600 for 18 pips .. hopefully it gets there soon.


    If you pop out to a daily chart you can see that the .8340 line is a serious resistance and only really breached it meaningfully 5 times since september.  Of those times it has had solid and staunch resistance at the .84 level, only breaching it once, while heading up to the High of .8543 and then returning down below. 

    The .834 level is key, and I would love to see the day end above it.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 12:58 PM ET #352

    The market has been making scapegoats for the last two years..

    Weather..summer, federal budget standoff, hurricane season..blah blah blah..

    The market moves because of cheap cash and the FED..these reports dont mean much of anything or the market would not have moved 2% in the matter of a few hours.
    Reply
    The market has been making scapegoats for the last two years..

    Weather..summer, federal budget standoff, hurricane season..blah blah blah..

    The market moves because of cheap cash and the FED..these reports dont mean much of anything or the market would not have moved 2% in the matter of a few hours.
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 1:22 PM ET #353

    I used to attempt to interpret reports, now I just try to avoid them, and see what the talking heads are saying. 
    Mostly excuses. 

    Reply
    I used to attempt to interpret reports, now I just try to avoid them, and see what the talking heads are saying. 
    Mostly excuses. 

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 1:50 PM ET #354

    closed long plus 14 pips ... I dont think this is going much higher than yesterdays high. 

    And Rick you made a very valid point, I am not going to try to fight such long term resistancee what  level.. garbage week for me at about break even. Not much time to trade , got called to a bew project that might be for the next couple of months.. I will be trading later tonight. Maybe I will catch a runner thru the London open..be back soon .. 

    And thanks again Rich for the heads up ...
    Reply
    closed long plus 14 pips ... I dont think this is going much higher than yesterdays high. 

    And Rick you made a very valid point, I am not going to try to fight such long term resistancee what  level.. garbage week for me at about break even. Not much time to trade , got called to a bew project that might be for the next couple of months.. I will be trading later tonight. Maybe I will catch a runner thru the London open..be back soon .. 

    And thanks again Rich for the heads up ...
     
    bucknuts
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 2:23 PM ET #355

    Im not sayn weather is/was the main reason but I can see it having some impact..I talked to a friend who own/operates a drive thru with a car wash attached.
    His overall sales are down $3500 from the same time last year, he did lose a days business over water issue but was weather related as well.i guess people come wash cars in a blizzard but not in freezing temps.
    Reply
    Im not sayn weather is/was the main reason but I can see it having some impact..I talked to a friend who own/operates a drive thru with a car wash attached.
    His overall sales are down $3500 from the same time last year, he did lose a days business over water issue but was weather related as well.i guess people come wash cars in a blizzard but not in freezing temps.
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 3:39 PM ET #356

    Quote Originally Posted by bucknuts:

    Im not sayn weather is/was the main reason but I can see it having some impact..I talked to a friend who own/operates a drive thru with a car wash attached.
    His overall sales are down $3500 from the same time last year, he did lose a days business over water issue but was weather related as well.i guess people come wash cars in a blizzard but not in freezing temps.


    Sure, but if you are looking at overall prodictivity there is a lot of retail action at lowes, walmart grocery stores etc. 

    Also if you are talking about productive contribution to GDP, you have to look at the services of plowing roads, snow removal for excavation companies etc. 

    I agree the weather has an impact, but not all that much of an impact. 

    Another indicator that something is rotten in denmark is the fact that we are in an all out Bull market in equities. 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bucknuts:

    Im not sayn weather is/was the main reason but I can see it having some impact..I talked to a friend who own/operates a drive thru with a car wash attached.
    His overall sales are down $3500 from the same time last year, he did lose a days business over water issue but was weather related as well.i guess people come wash cars in a blizzard but not in freezing temps.


    Sure, but if you are looking at overall prodictivity there is a lot of retail action at lowes, walmart grocery stores etc. 

    Also if you are talking about productive contribution to GDP, you have to look at the services of plowing roads, snow removal for excavation companies etc. 

    I agree the weather has an impact, but not all that much of an impact. 

    Another indicator that something is rotten in denmark is the fact that we are in an all out Bull market in equities. 

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 3:44 PM ET #357

    We have been in pretty much a straight line bull market since 2008 when the SPY went under 800.
    Reply
    We have been in pretty much a straight line bull market since 2008 when the SPY went under 800.
     
    bucknuts
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 3:50 PM ET #358

    I hear ya..we know the markets go where those at the top think they should go..I just wanted to comment on the weather, knowing several small business owners they have all complained about the weather this season cutting into profits..but then theres always an excuse I guess
    Reply
    I hear ya..we know the markets go where those at the top think they should go..I just wanted to comment on the weather, knowing several small business owners they have all complained about the weather this season cutting into profits..but then theres always an excuse I guess
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 7:20 PM ET #359

    rick,

    Here is a good example..about what 20 minutes ago the Yen pairs went crazy, all jumped at the same time..FXDD has nothing in the news to reference the move.


    Reply
    rick,

    Here is a good example..about what 20 minutes ago the Yen pairs went crazy, all jumped at the same time..FXDD has nothing in the news to reference the move.


     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 8:00 PM ET #360

    This is what came up on my twitter feed an hour ago.

    https://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/02/13/japan-buying-foreign-bonds-week-ended-february-7-14-february-2014/
    Reply
    This is what came up on my twitter feed an hour ago.

    https://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/02/13/japan-buying-foreign-bonds-week-ended-february-7-14-february-2014/
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 8:00 PM ET #361

    Short GBP/JPY 2 170.22
    Reply
    Short GBP/JPY 2 170.22
     
    rick3117
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 8:01 PM ET #362

    Kind of late posting that, we can mark it for whatever the time says. 
    Limit 30
    Stop 15
    Reply
    Kind of late posting that, we can mark it for whatever the time says. 
    Limit 30
    Stop 15
     
    rick3117
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 8:02 PM ET #363

    Quote Originally Posted by bucknuts:

    Im not sayn weather is/was the main reason but I can see it having some impact..I talked to a friend who own/operates a drive thru with a car wash attached.
    His overall sales are down $3500 from the same time last year, he did lose a days business over water issue but was weather related as well.i guess people come wash cars in a blizzard but not in freezing temps.


    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-02-13/it-doesn%E2%80%99t-take-much-people-start-behaving-crazed-lunatics
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bucknuts:

    Im not sayn weather is/was the main reason but I can see it having some impact..I talked to a friend who own/operates a drive thru with a car wash attached.
    His overall sales are down $3500 from the same time last year, he did lose a days business over water issue but was weather related as well.i guess people come wash cars in a blizzard but not in freezing temps.


    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-02-13/it-doesn%E2%80%99t-take-much-people-start-behaving-crazed-lunatics
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 8:25 PM ET #364

    Stop hit. -15
    Reply
    Stop hit. -15
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 9:52 PM ET #365

    rick,

    That is terrible..stop hit and it turned around and would have paid you...
    Reply
    rick,

    That is terrible..stop hit and it turned around and would have paid you...
     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 10:11 PM ET #366

    here we go again with the YEN.. downward ho!!!
    Reply
    here we go again with the YEN.. downward ho!!!
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 10:25 PM ET #367

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    rick,

    That is terrible..stop hit and it turned around and would have paid you...


    You aint lyin. 

    That is the problem with these tight stops. I am focusing on a short term trading program that relies on tight stops and scalps. 

    I started last Tuesday, and have done 23 trades, going 14-9 for 155 pips. 

    I am pretty happy with it so far.  Out of the 9 losses, 1 was a risk event, and 2 of them were just short pops that ended up hitting my stop, but panning out after I was out.

    I am not sure if I want to increase my stops, because I am operating at 1:2 risk reward ratio, and the beauty of the system relies on quick trades, in and out.  

    I am toying with the idea of adding another level of verification aside from the Crosses. 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    rick,

    That is terrible..stop hit and it turned around and would have paid you...


    You aint lyin. 

    That is the problem with these tight stops. I am focusing on a short term trading program that relies on tight stops and scalps. 

    I started last Tuesday, and have done 23 trades, going 14-9 for 155 pips. 

    I am pretty happy with it so far.  Out of the 9 losses, 1 was a risk event, and 2 of them were just short pops that ended up hitting my stop, but panning out after I was out.

    I am not sure if I want to increase my stops, because I am operating at 1:2 risk reward ratio, and the beauty of the system relies on quick trades, in and out.  

    I am toying with the idea of adding another level of verification aside from the Crosses. 

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 10:34 PM ET #368

    Well you are faring better than I am this week..I am swimming but it is ok and I am sure I will work my way out of it soon..

    Reply
    Well you are faring better than I am this week..I am swimming but it is ok and I am sure I will work my way out of it soon..

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 12:33 AM ET #369

    Quote Originally Posted by rick3117:



    You aint lyin. 

    That is the problem with these tight stops. I am focusing on a short term trading program that relies on tight stops and scalps. 

    I started last Tuesday, and have done 23 trades, going 14-9 for 155 pips. 

    I am pretty happy with it so far.  Out of the 9 losses, 1 was a risk event, and 2 of them were just short pops that ended up hitting my stop, but panning out after I was out.

    I am not sure if I want to increase my stops, because I am operating at 1:2 risk reward ratio, and the beauty of the system relies on quick trades, in and out.  

    I am toying with the idea of adding another level of verification aside from the Crosses. 


    That last burst at the top of a range happens alot. I try to wait for that and see if there is a down move (twezzers) right after the up thrust , then get in on a retest of that high of somewhere close to the top of the range, but again i try to get most of my trades around the 50 ema on the 5 min or the 15 min chart , so I do trade alot different than you . Great work again this week. i have to find more time , but I know that 60 pip runner is out there , and I will catch one soon . But everything is just in limbo right now. not sure if the reversals on these pairs are long lasting or just retractments ,next week will tell the story ..
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by rick3117:



    You aint lyin. 

    That is the problem with these tight stops. I am focusing on a short term trading program that relies on tight stops and scalps. 

    I started last Tuesday, and have done 23 trades, going 14-9 for 155 pips. 

    I am pretty happy with it so far.  Out of the 9 losses, 1 was a risk event, and 2 of them were just short pops that ended up hitting my stop, but panning out after I was out.

    I am not sure if I want to increase my stops, because I am operating at 1:2 risk reward ratio, and the beauty of the system relies on quick trades, in and out.  

    I am toying with the idea of adding another level of verification aside from the Crosses. 


    That last burst at the top of a range happens alot. I try to wait for that and see if there is a down move (twezzers) right after the up thrust , then get in on a retest of that high of somewhere close to the top of the range, but again i try to get most of my trades around the 50 ema on the 5 min or the 15 min chart , so I do trade alot different than you . Great work again this week. i have to find more time , but I know that 60 pip runner is out there , and I will catch one soon . But everything is just in limbo right now. not sure if the reversals on these pairs are long lasting or just retractments ,next week will tell the story ..
     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posts: 1244
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 12:38 AM ET #370

    went short NZD/USD @ 83.377 stop @ 83.58 limit  @ 83.189  
    Reply
    went short NZD/USD @ 83.377 stop @ 83.58 limit  @ 83.189  
     
    Knoxpoker
    Knoxpoker
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2011
    Posts: 1244
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 7:28 AM ET #371

    went long NZD/USD @83.759 stop @ 83540    limit 20 pips /./
    Reply
    went long NZD/USD @83.759 stop @ 83540    limit 20 pips /./
     
    rick3117
    rick3117
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2006
    Posts: 14715
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 11:06 AM ET #372

    Bought USD/JPY @ 101.85
    Stop set at 101.60
    looking for 102.40 ish. 

    Not a lot of conviction on this one, just looking for a final trade for the week. 
    I will probably close it if i see any profit after London close, and call it a week.
    Reply
    Bought USD/JPY @ 101.85
    Stop set at 101.60
    looking for 102.40 ish. 

    Not a lot of conviction on this one, just looking for a final trade for the week. 
    I will probably close it if i see any profit after London close, and call it a week.
     
    bucknuts
    bucknuts
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2005
    Posts: 8951
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 11:43 AM ET #373

    Man this is crazy...I had trouble sleeping ended up watching that movie Lawless with the kid from Transformers and had my laptop beside me and I was just a few pips from being even and wake up to the pair making new high for the week..add surprise face here lol
    Reply
    Man this is crazy...I had trouble sleeping ended up watching that movie Lawless with the kid from Transformers and had my laptop beside me and I was just a few pips from being even and wake up to the pair making new high for the week..add surprise face here lol
     
    bucknuts
    bucknuts
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2005
    Posts: 8951
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 11:50 AM ET #374

    I like that trade too Rick you got 100 ema on the daily at 101.67..wouldve been nice to catch it in the 60s earlier but at worst I think you can close it out by the end of the day +pips

    GL buddy

    Reply

    I like that trade too Rick you got 100 ema on the daily at 101.67..wouldve been nice to catch it in the 60s earlier but at worst I think you can close it out by the end of the day +pips

    GL buddy

     
     
    bucknuts
    bucknuts
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2005
    Posts: 8951
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 2:15 PM ET #375

    Where is everybody this week?
    Reply
    Where is everybody this week?
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