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    All Forums | Investments

    September Stock Talk II

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    wallstreetcappers
    Vermeer
    KOAJ
    WinLoseorDraw
    jaxwhitey
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    Views: 1992
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 1:27 PM ET #101

    CEG getting hit again, went to 16.60 and back to almost 20 now.

    I imagine they either get sold or they sell some assets, the issue after reading more is that they have the trading segment of their business and it is leveraged and requires lots of cash..the company said they will make 5.50 or higher next year earnings wise and they dont own any of that crap investments, rather have high cash needs from the trading division.

    Yielding almost 10%..part of me wants some of this action.


    Reply
    CEG getting hit again, went to 16.60 and back to almost 20 now.

    I imagine they either get sold or they sell some assets, the issue after reading more is that they have the trading segment of their business and it is leveraged and requires lots of cash..the company said they will make 5.50 or higher next year earnings wise and they dont own any of that crap investments, rather have high cash needs from the trading division.

    Yielding almost 10%..part of me wants some of this action.


     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 1:52 PM ET #102

    NAZ almost down 100.

    This wave is early which means I think we see lower lows and the bounce might not happen.  


    Reply
    NAZ almost down 100.

    This wave is early which means I think we see lower lows and the bounce might not happen.  


     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 2:25 PM ET #103


    Rating agency reviewing the AAA rating of US debt...wow, but justified.

    Reply

    Rating agency reviewing the AAA rating of US debt...wow, but justified.

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 2:32 PM ET #104

    Quote Originally Posted by Vermeer:


    Rating agency reviewing the AAA rating of US debt...wow, but justified.



    Thats a bigger deal than all these buyouts combined.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Vermeer:


    Rating agency reviewing the AAA rating of US debt...wow, but justified.



    Thats a bigger deal than all these buyouts combined.


     
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 3:04 PM ET #105

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Thats a bigger deal than all these buyouts combined.




    link

    see chart

    main page has a story with updated chart through sept
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Thats a bigger deal than all these buyouts combined.




    link

    see chart

    main page has a story with updated chart through sept
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 3:07 PM ET #106

    I wonder if that measure has a big spread and is illiquid..meaning a small move in demand can make those swap prices go up a ton.

    I dunno but that chart looks like an instrument that doesnt have much volume (the default spread is traded I am sure)
    Reply
    I wonder if that measure has a big spread and is illiquid..meaning a small move in demand can make those swap prices go up a ton.

    I dunno but that chart looks like an instrument that doesnt have much volume (the default spread is traded I am sure)
     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 3:13 PM ET #107

    Think of how much worthless crap the Fed has taken on in just the past three weeks. They were not predicting a change but noted that though the US had AAA rating since 1917, it was  not a guaranteed to any country.

    Is this the point of maximum pessimism? In which case if you have the money, it may be time to really be poised.

     But as much as I wish to see a bottom, I could see the 8,000 you have mentioned previously...

      It is simply a matter of time this evaporation of wealth spills throughout Main Street and it can't be contained to within US borders...
    Reply
    Think of how much worthless crap the Fed has taken on in just the past three weeks. They were not predicting a change but noted that though the US had AAA rating since 1917, it was  not a guaranteed to any country.

    Is this the point of maximum pessimism? In which case if you have the money, it may be time to really be poised.

     But as much as I wish to see a bottom, I could see the 8,000 you have mentioned previously...

      It is simply a matter of time this evaporation of wealth spills throughout Main Street and it can't be contained to within US borders...
     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 3:15 PM ET #108


    PS

    I remain bearish, and get more so every time Paulson opens his mouth and the US checkbook.

    Reply

    PS

    I remain bearish, and get more so every time Paulson opens his mouth and the US checkbook.

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 3:58 PM ET #109

    So much for a bounce, they sell it off 200 pts in the last hour and nearly 40 pts on the NAZ.
    Reply
    So much for a bounce, they sell it off 200 pts in the last hour and nearly 40 pts on the NAZ.
     
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:01 PM ET #110

    WTF My shares of DIG went down after a $5 gain in oil price you gotta be shitting me. in the last hour its dropped 6pts

    I sware I'm outta dig tomorrow this stock doesnt make any damn sense.

    Reply
    WTF My shares of DIG went down after a $5 gain in oil price you gotta be shitting me. in the last hour its dropped 6pts

    I sware I'm outta dig tomorrow this stock doesnt make any damn sense.

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:07 PM ET #111

    Oil reversed in a BIG way.

    Speaking of that, who here was long HYGS? That POS is back down to 66 cents and BCON is swirling the buck again, which means another round of listing issues, for the 5 time or so.


    Reply
    Oil reversed in a BIG way.

    Speaking of that, who here was long HYGS? That POS is back down to 66 cents and BCON is swirling the buck again, which means another round of listing issues, for the 5 time or so.


     
    jaxwhitey
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:14 PM ET #112

    OK so are the renewed short rules actually going to make a difference tomorrow and the next few days?

    Or is it just another all bark and no bite gov't attempt to stem the tide?
    Reply
    OK so are the renewed short rules actually going to make a difference tomorrow and the next few days?

    Or is it just another all bark and no bite gov't attempt to stem the tide?
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:18 PM ET #113

    New rules uninforced means nothing, nor are the going to force naked shorts to cover tomorrow, OR are they going to stop MM "cheating" in the name of making a market.

    All bark, no enforcement.
    Reply
    New rules uninforced means nothing, nor are the going to force naked shorts to cover tomorrow, OR are they going to stop MM "cheating" in the name of making a market.

    All bark, no enforcement.
     
    jaxwhitey
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:22 PM ET #114

    Damn even Philip Morris was down 9% today, when was the last time that happened?
    Reply
    Damn even Philip Morris was down 9% today, when was the last time that happened?
     
    jaxwhitey
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:30 PM ET #115

    VIX up to 36 to end the day, highest level in over 5 years.

    Panic mode is here
    Reply
    VIX up to 36 to end the day, highest level in over 5 years.

    Panic mode is here
     
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:43 PM ET #116

    WB wants MS

    WFC, C wants WM

    so churn the rumor mills
    Reply
    WB wants MS

    WFC, C wants WM

    so churn the rumor mills
     
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 4:48 PM ET #117

    game over

    i think
    Reply
    game over

    i think
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 6:21 PM ET #118

    The USA and the "global" financial markets.
     
    Smartest thing I have done this year, maybe in my entire sorry ass life, was sell EVERYTHING and go all cash (except for "trading" this past Janurary.
     
    No joke, guys and gals, we have a slight chance to be headed for a road warrior society in the future. Warlords and fiefdoms.  No joke.
     
    Let's face it, there are no bailout packages that can save us from our greed and lies.  Time to just let the bad go caput, and then just pick up what's little left of the pieces......whenever that is.
     
    Let's also face this.....the ONLY thing "positive" for the future is the rampant pessimism, but I believe that this time "the public" is right.  We may have some sort of countertrend mularkey "rally" for a few years, but about 5-7 years from now, when the tab for all these stupid bailout packages falls due......."Katy bar the door."
     
    Warlords and fiefdoms...just like in the dark ages....
     
    We have no one but ourselves to blame.
    Reply
    The USA and the "global" financial markets.
     
    Smartest thing I have done this year, maybe in my entire sorry ass life, was sell EVERYTHING and go all cash (except for "trading" this past Janurary.
     
    No joke, guys and gals, we have a slight chance to be headed for a road warrior society in the future. Warlords and fiefdoms.  No joke.
     
    Let's face it, there are no bailout packages that can save us from our greed and lies.  Time to just let the bad go caput, and then just pick up what's little left of the pieces......whenever that is.
     
    Let's also face this.....the ONLY thing "positive" for the future is the rampant pessimism, but I believe that this time "the public" is right.  We may have some sort of countertrend mularkey "rally" for a few years, but about 5-7 years from now, when the tab for all these stupid bailout packages falls due......."Katy bar the door."
     
    Warlords and fiefdoms...just like in the dark ages....
     
    We have no one but ourselves to blame.
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 6:24 PM ET #119

    If peeps start jumping out of windows tomorrow, I think we can "trade" it on the long side, but it is nothing more than a "trade."
     
    The future couldn't look worse.
    Reply
    If peeps start jumping out of windows tomorrow, I think we can "trade" it on the long side, but it is nothing more than a "trade."
     
    The future couldn't look worse.
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 6:29 PM ET #120

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Vermeer,

    CC was talking bunkers and invasion..lets hope that doesnt happen.


    Not now, but in 5-7 years, WSC.  Don't laugh.  "I told you so."

    Yeah, set this in stone, C hits 10-12 within next few months.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Vermeer,

    CC was talking bunkers and invasion..lets hope that doesnt happen.


    Not now, but in 5-7 years, WSC.  Don't laugh.  "I told you so."

    Yeah, set this in stone, C hits 10-12 within next few months.

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 6:51 PM ET #121

    Koaj,

    MS is a good deal at current prices, even with the garbage they own. WM is not worth two bucks IMO.

    The survivors will be fine but like I was reading the other day, the rates of return for banks will SLOW going forward as margin rules will be tightened..so banks will turn into boring, slow dividend plays.
    Reply
    Koaj,

    MS is a good deal at current prices, even with the garbage they own. WM is not worth two bucks IMO.

    The survivors will be fine but like I was reading the other day, the rates of return for banks will SLOW going forward as margin rules will be tightened..so banks will turn into boring, slow dividend plays.
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 6:54 PM ET #122

    There is some post I did back in early spring about C going 10-12ish.
     
    I'll try to find it.
    Reply
    There is some post I did back in early spring about C going 10-12ish.
     
    I'll try to find it.
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 6:54 PM ET #123

    Was in one of "boiler room's" threads.
    Reply
    Was in one of "boiler room's" threads.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 7:06 PM ET #124

    CC,

    You have said it before, I recall seeing it.

    Not too far now honestly.
    Reply
    CC,

    You have said it before, I recall seeing it.

    Not too far now honestly.
     
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2008 - 7:30 PM ET #125

    C at 10-12 will be a VERY GOOD "trading bottom" for the SP 500 and some financials.
     
    But as far as "long haul investing," I think we all need to seriously study the dark ages in 500 AD and learn how to "get by" the way they did back then.
     
    By 2013, warlords and fiefdoms, but in the meantime, we may be able to "trade" for a while.
     
    Have a good evening.  Enjoy the football game.
    Reply
    C at 10-12 will be a VERY GOOD "trading bottom" for the SP 500 and some financials.
     
    But as far as "long haul investing," I think we all need to seriously study the dark ages in 500 AD and learn how to "get by" the way they did back then.
     
    By 2013, warlords and fiefdoms, but in the meantime, we may be able to "trade" for a while.
     
    Have a good evening.  Enjoy the football game.
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    • 🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets 300,746
    • I'm embarrassed for Trump supporters 63,593
    • $$ALL IN ( 2x5uNIT=1-O,5UnitUNDER=4-2,5Unit over=1-O,5Unit ATS=2-O,2Unit=4-o_ =+ 43 Units 5,904
    • Florida Man Tuesday 4,348
    • *EdgeHunter Ohio VS Miami Ohio - NEW WEEK, NEW MONEY!* 3,006
    • Bags Tuesday LARGE **Michigan State vs Duke** 2,380
    • Trump's legacy? 37,171
    • PART DEUX 86

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