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    All Forums | Investments

    September Stock Talk II

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    wallstreetcappers
    WinLoseorDraw
    KOAJ
    jaxwhitey
    Gunners
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1992
    Posts: 148
    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 2:15 PM ET #26

    DRYS getting nailed for reasons I dont get..bot more options today, will add more stock as well.

    DRYS now selling at less than 2.5 2008 numbers and 3 times 2009 numbers with most of that revenue locked in for the entire year.


    Reply
    DRYS getting nailed for reasons I dont get..bot more options today, will add more stock as well.

    DRYS now selling at less than 2.5 2008 numbers and 3 times 2009 numbers with most of that revenue locked in for the entire year.


     
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 3:04 PM ET #27

    Wall

    I read somewhere online someone said that the owner/ceo/cfo /coo says hes making full disclosure but some people arent totally believing it. I just dont understand how such a profitable company with solid assets is getting hammered. It didnt think it would fall under 52 let alone $50
    Reply
    Wall

    I read somewhere online someone said that the owner/ceo/cfo /coo says hes making full disclosure but some people arent totally believing it. I just dont understand how such a profitable company with solid assets is getting hammered. It didnt think it would fall under 52 let alone $50
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 3:07 PM ET #28

    Ive rode DRYS up and down and up and down.

    Their revenue streams are locked in on HALF their fleet plus for next year, and they have 40% of their fleet locked in for 2010.

    Add their drill assets which will add 6 to the bottom line LOCKED in.

    The stock is selling because it is a high beta name and it is getting tossed out.

    I have options for Jan 2010 and today I bot some March 09 options plus my shares.

    This stinks but I dont sell stocks that I have a strong belief in relative to earnings.

    I just need 200k so I can buy 5k shares.
    Reply
    Ive rode DRYS up and down and up and down.

    Their revenue streams are locked in on HALF their fleet plus for next year, and they have 40% of their fleet locked in for 2010.

    Add their drill assets which will add 6 to the bottom line LOCKED in.

    The stock is selling because it is a high beta name and it is getting tossed out.

    I have options for Jan 2010 and today I bot some March 09 options plus my shares.

    This stinks but I dont sell stocks that I have a strong belief in relative to earnings.

    I just need 200k so I can buy 5k shares.
     
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 3:22 PM ET #29

    ill take some of that 5k shares aswell
    Reply
    ill take some of that 5k shares aswell
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 3:56 PM ET #30

    MER up 50 cents after the so-called 29 share bid.


    Reply
    MER up 50 cents after the so-called 29 share bid.


     
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 4:02 PM ET #31

    Fed funds futures markets are currently pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed

    more news for ya'll


    Reply
    Fed funds futures markets are currently pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed

    more news for ya'll


     
    jaxwhitey
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 4:04 PM ET #32

    Antie Emm Antie Emm its a twister!!!!!

    Dow under 11K
    Nasdaq under 2200
    S&P under 1200

       

    GS reports before the bell, I can't wait to see the numbers these ass clowns pull out after recommending the wrong side to the public all quarter long.
    Reply
    Antie Emm Antie Emm its a twister!!!!!

    Dow under 11K
    Nasdaq under 2200
    S&P under 1200

       

    GS reports before the bell, I can't wait to see the numbers these ass clowns pull out after recommending the wrong side to the public all quarter long.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 4:07 PM ET #33

    That is a joke regarding FED funds.

    Why the hell would that help? I guess the FED has learned nothing after the mess they made last trip.

    The market needs to drop, the excesses need to be taken out and the naughty companies need to pay for their excessive mistakes.

    The last thing we need is lower rates..we need to keep powder dry and step in when prudent, not hand out cheap cash to banks.  
    Reply
    That is a joke regarding FED funds.

    Why the hell would that help? I guess the FED has learned nothing after the mess they made last trip.

    The market needs to drop, the excesses need to be taken out and the naughty companies need to pay for their excessive mistakes.

    The last thing we need is lower rates..we need to keep powder dry and step in when prudent, not hand out cheap cash to banks.  
     
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 4:10 PM ET #34

    MER closed up  1 cent to 17.05 they were over $23 pre-market.

    im down 9.5k for the day


    the only thing That made me money was i bought 1k shares of lehman

    that $10 can buy me some booze tonight
    Reply
    MER closed up  1 cent to 17.05 they were over $23 pre-market.

    im down 9.5k for the day


    the only thing That made me money was i bought 1k shares of lehman

    that $10 can buy me some booze tonight
     
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 4:21 PM ET #35

    the fed must be jealous of japan's decade long stagflation
    Reply
    the fed must be jealous of japan's decade long stagflation
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 4:48 PM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:

    the fed must be jealous of japan's decade long stagflation


    Similar in many instances..Japan took 10 years to digest the disaster they brought on themselves and I imagine we will be no different.

    The only thing different I can see is that the Nikkei was MUCH higher valuation wise for the average company and they had margin issues with stocks that we did in 2000, this time around the average joe isnt in penny stocks to their hips (like we were in 2001).


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:

    the fed must be jealous of japan's decade long stagflation


    Similar in many instances..Japan took 10 years to digest the disaster they brought on themselves and I imagine we will be no different.

    The only thing different I can see is that the Nikkei was MUCH higher valuation wise for the average company and they had margin issues with stocks that we did in 2000, this time around the average joe isnt in penny stocks to their hips (like we were in 2001).


     
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 4:53 PM ET #37

    this time around the average joe isnt in penny stocks to their hips (like we were in 2001).
    ------------
    nope just mortgages at much higher leverage
    Reply
    this time around the average joe isnt in penny stocks to their hips (like we were in 2001).
    ------------
    nope just mortgages at much higher leverage
     
    Gunners
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 5:11 PM ET #38

    i am LOVING my November LM puts! 
    Reply
    i am LOVING my November LM puts! 
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 5:14 PM ET #39

    A lot of negativity right now.
     
    Rampant.
     
    You "traders" out there know how to play it.  Not going to run my mouth.
     
    Cheer
    Reply
    A lot of negativity right now.
     
    Rampant.
     
    You "traders" out there know how to play it.  Not going to run my mouth.
     
    Cheer
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 5:27 PM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:

    this time around the average joe isnt in penny stocks to their hips (like we were in 2001).
    ------------
    nope just mortgages at much higher leverage


    Might be true, but the real estate market was part of the reason for the Japan drop in the first place and someone holding a mortgage isnt the same as someone highly leveraged and getting margin calls..that creates more direct selling pressure vs mortgage ownership.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:

    this time around the average joe isnt in penny stocks to their hips (like we were in 2001).
    ------------
    nope just mortgages at much higher leverage


    Might be true, but the real estate market was part of the reason for the Japan drop in the first place and someone holding a mortgage isnt the same as someone highly leveraged and getting margin calls..that creates more direct selling pressure vs mortgage ownership.
     
    whereismyhat
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 8:14 PM ET #41

    WS-
     
    I went over my calculations again on HLIT and after today I am 290 in the hole still.  I knew what I typed in the other night didn't seem right
    Reply
    WS-
     
    I went over my calculations again on HLIT and after today I am 290 in the hole still.  I knew what I typed in the other night didn't seem right
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 8:43 PM ET #42

    hat,

    For the Naz getting crushed lately, HLIT holding up like a total champ.

    I wish my DRYS hung in there as well.

    You get 10 again, maybe 11 or more.
    Reply
    hat,

    For the Naz getting crushed lately, HLIT holding up like a total champ.

    I wish my DRYS hung in there as well.

    You get 10 again, maybe 11 or more.
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 8:52 PM ET #43

    I nibbled on some VLO today once it dropped 12% . . . thought I couldn't pass up on that bargain.  We shall see.  Meant to get in last week before it ran up 10%.  May continue to go down some more but I felt today was a good opportunity to get in at a good price.


    Reply
    I nibbled on some VLO today once it dropped 12% . . . thought I couldn't pass up on that bargain.  We shall see.  Meant to get in last week before it ran up 10%.  May continue to go down some more but I felt today was a good opportunity to get in at a good price.


     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 9:29 PM ET #44

    One thing that truly blew my mind is mentioned here.The acceptance of equities for collateral by the Fed...

    The U.S. dollar continues to be debased (less against the Euro, which remains compromised, than against Asian currencies and the Swiss franc), particularly by the startling and historic decision by the Federal Reserve to accept equity securities at its discount window. If nothing else, that decision alone suggests the enormity and depth of the crisis we are facing. We never thought we'd live to see the day that the American central bank would accept equity as collateral for loans. We have to admit that took us by surprise and made us very nervous.

    Reply
    One thing that truly blew my mind is mentioned here.The acceptance of equities for collateral by the Fed...

    The U.S. dollar continues to be debased (less against the Euro, which remains compromised, than against Asian currencies and the Swiss franc), particularly by the startling and historic decision by the Federal Reserve to accept equity securities at its discount window. If nothing else, that decision alone suggests the enormity and depth of the crisis we are facing. We never thought we'd live to see the day that the American central bank would accept equity as collateral for loans. We have to admit that took us by surprise and made us very nervous.

     
    Gridophiles
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 9:38 PM ET #45

    Moody's just downgraded AIG..........their timing is impeccable.
     
    Tomorrow is gonna suck.
    Reply
    Moody's just downgraded AIG..........their timing is impeccable.
     
    Tomorrow is gonna suck.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 9:41 PM ET #46

    VH2,

    I was weighing today between some VLO options or some DPTR options, but I settled on more DRYS options.

    VLO selling off strongly, I really thought that move last week broke the downtrend, but today there wasnt much up at all.

    I think it is a great buy and a move to 40 or higher wouldnt shock me at all. I think it is a safe risk/reward trade right here.
    Reply
    VH2,

    I was weighing today between some VLO options or some DPTR options, but I settled on more DRYS options.

    VLO selling off strongly, I really thought that move last week broke the downtrend, but today there wasnt much up at all.

    I think it is a great buy and a move to 40 or higher wouldnt shock me at all. I think it is a safe risk/reward trade right here.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 9:43 PM ET #47

    Vermeer,

    What I dont get is how these firms were able to LEVERAGE like this with nobody watching..what the hell do we have regulation agencies for if they let banks leverage monster numbers against cash and real assets? And what kind of morons make investments in assets which they cannot determine what the content is?

    Sounds like lazy, greedy unregulated bullsh!t to me.


    Reply
    Vermeer,

    What I dont get is how these firms were able to LEVERAGE like this with nobody watching..what the hell do we have regulation agencies for if they let banks leverage monster numbers against cash and real assets? And what kind of morons make investments in assets which they cannot determine what the content is?

    Sounds like lazy, greedy unregulated bullsh!t to me.


     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 10:19 PM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    VH2,

    I was weighing today between some VLO options or some DPTR options, but I settled on more DRYS options.

    VLO selling off strongly, I really thought that move last week broke the downtrend, but today there wasnt much up at all.

    I think it is a great buy and a move to 40 or higher wouldnt shock me at all. I think it is a safe risk/reward trade right here.


    Yeah I debated throwing more money onto the fire with DRYS today but decided against it.  I've thrown enough there for now.  Maybe more down the road but for now I'll pass. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    VH2,

    I was weighing today between some VLO options or some DPTR options, but I settled on more DRYS options.

    VLO selling off strongly, I really thought that move last week broke the downtrend, but today there wasnt much up at all.

    I think it is a great buy and a move to 40 or higher wouldnt shock me at all. I think it is a safe risk/reward trade right here.


    Yeah I debated throwing more money onto the fire with DRYS today but decided against it.  I've thrown enough there for now.  Maybe more down the road but for now I'll pass. 
     
    grapevinekid
    grapevinekid
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2002
    Posts: 6524
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 10:19 PM ET #49

    Anyone else like AIG at 5 or less? I just have trouble believing they won't raise the necessary capital and find stablity getting their stock price back to double digits.
    Reply
    Anyone else like AIG at 5 or less? I just have trouble believing they won't raise the necessary capital and find stablity getting their stock price back to double digits.
     
     
    Vermeer
    Vermeer
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2006
    Posts: 2910
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 10:20 PM ET #50

     Well, precisely.Deregulation, coupled with sheer greed. Insane leverage.Opaque instruments that no one still knows the true value of, if they retain any at this point.And while I know your thoughts on him, a guy who sticks resolutely to fundamentals like WB, you notice, walks rapidly away whenever they run to him to bail them out.

     Executive incentives putting a premium on share price and speculation rather than sound fundamental analysis, failure to doubt excruciatingly complicated models and their assumptions (cowed by computers and PhDs, etc)

     There are so many things that are not transparent to anyone, hedge fund activities, etc etc...throw in the fact that as bright as these people usually are, hubris set in as it always does, they overreach in a competitive frenzy, and all hell breaks loose.

     


     

    Reply
     Well, precisely.Deregulation, coupled with sheer greed. Insane leverage.Opaque instruments that no one still knows the true value of, if they retain any at this point.And while I know your thoughts on him, a guy who sticks resolutely to fundamentals like WB, you notice, walks rapidly away whenever they run to him to bail them out.

     Executive incentives putting a premium on share price and speculation rather than sound fundamental analysis, failure to doubt excruciatingly complicated models and their assumptions (cowed by computers and PhDs, etc)

     There are so many things that are not transparent to anyone, hedge fund activities, etc etc...throw in the fact that as bright as these people usually are, hubris set in as it always does, they overreach in a competitive frenzy, and all hell breaks loose.

     


     

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