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    All Forums | Investments

    October Stock Talk I

    «First Previous 123 ... 567 Next Last»
    claycourtlesson
    wallstreetcappers
    Vermeer
    jaxwhitey
    whereismyhat
    ...
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    «First Previous 123 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    claycourtlesson
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 6:34 AM ET #101

    Yep, WB doesn't ever lose.
     
    He basically owns GE and GS now.
     
    I do think it is hilarious that a bunch of fat cat pricks at "Goldman Sachs" now have to take orders from a cranky old man.
    Reply
    Yep, WB doesn't ever lose.
     
    He basically owns GE and GS now.
     
    I do think it is hilarious that a bunch of fat cat pricks at "Goldman Sachs" now have to take orders from a cranky old man.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 11:10 AM ET #102

    CC,

    That is taking it a bit far about Buffett.

    He invested the equiv of 2% of GE market cap in return he got preferred shares and warrants. GE has call options on those shares and I doubt when things turn that they keep paying him a 10% yield.

    GS public company represents 25% of the total equity of the company, meaning they only IPO'd 25%..so whatever WB invested it doesnt amount to much. He wont be giving orders to the floor brokers.

    lol
    Reply
    CC,

    That is taking it a bit far about Buffett.

    He invested the equiv of 2% of GE market cap in return he got preferred shares and warrants. GE has call options on those shares and I doubt when things turn that they keep paying him a 10% yield.

    GS public company represents 25% of the total equity of the company, meaning they only IPO'd 25%..so whatever WB invested it doesnt amount to much. He wont be giving orders to the floor brokers.

    lol
     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 12:14 PM ET #103


    No, he gave orders to their top execs to not sell their shares...and had it written into the deal...he doesn't deal with plebes like floor brokers.

    Reply

    No, he gave orders to their top execs to not sell their shares...and had it written into the deal...he doesn't deal with plebes like floor brokers.

     
    claycourtlesson
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 1:08 PM ET #104

    WSC-
     
    WB may not "own" more than 50% of GE's and GS's common shares, but you know as well as I who is calling the shots as to what they are and aren't going to do regarding various commercial papers and/or acquisitions.
     
    GE and GS take orders from Warren Buffett.
    Reply
    WSC-
     
    WB may not "own" more than 50% of GE's and GS's common shares, but you know as well as I who is calling the shots as to what they are and aren't going to do regarding various commercial papers and/or acquisitions.
     
    GE and GS take orders from Warren Buffett.
     
    claycourtlesson
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 1:09 PM ET #105

    And if Buffett wants a certain executive gone, the board will also take their orders from Buffett.
    Reply
    And if Buffett wants a certain executive gone, the board will also take their orders from Buffett.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 1:56 PM ET #106

    CC,

    Buffett owns very little, look at the private placement they did and how much of it was Buffett? He has warrants which unless ex'd mean zippo, they are an accrued liability which until sold are marked to market and that is it.

    Again, GS market cap represents 25% of the total company value..so even if WB invested 10% of GS market cap, that only really represents 2.5% of the entity..75% of GS is still private.

    If you think he is calling shots that is a bit steep in my view.
    Reply
    CC,

    Buffett owns very little, look at the private placement they did and how much of it was Buffett? He has warrants which unless ex'd mean zippo, they are an accrued liability which until sold are marked to market and that is it.

    Again, GS market cap represents 25% of the total company value..so even if WB invested 10% of GS market cap, that only really represents 2.5% of the entity..75% of GS is still private.

    If you think he is calling shots that is a bit steep in my view.
     
    claycourtlesson
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 2:42 PM ET #107

    WSC-
     
    Buffett personally bailed out GS and GE, and you know it.
     
    Look it, if GE and GS were worth a damn and could've stood on their own, they'd NEVER have given WB those types of terms.  The truth is that they know their businesses are in the toilet for years, and they couldn't take the humiliation of the consequences.  Also, given the situation, they aren't going to be looked at favorably if they come crying to Uncle Sam to fcku over the taxpayer.
     
    Buffett put both GE and GS over a barrell.  He is now their daddy.
    Reply
    WSC-
     
    Buffett personally bailed out GS and GE, and you know it.
     
    Look it, if GE and GS were worth a damn and could've stood on their own, they'd NEVER have given WB those types of terms.  The truth is that they know their businesses are in the toilet for years, and they couldn't take the humiliation of the consequences.  Also, given the situation, they aren't going to be looked at favorably if they come crying to Uncle Sam to fcku over the taxpayer.
     
    Buffett put both GE and GS over a barrell.  He is now their daddy.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 2:55 PM ET #108

    CC,

    I dont agree and this is why.

    The short term credit markets are what caused GE to go get capital..they use the commercial paper market to fund operations, always been that way. Since that segment of the market has closed up shop, they needed more cash..they dont need it longer term, but since there are no short term options that is what they needed to do.

    Look at the deal on friday with California..they arent needing deficit funding, rather general operations funding, and since that market is dead they are looking as well.

    GE and GS are worth a damn, the market isnt functioning properly in the short term, so they did what was necessary to keep operations flowing.
    Reply
    CC,

    I dont agree and this is why.

    The short term credit markets are what caused GE to go get capital..they use the commercial paper market to fund operations, always been that way. Since that segment of the market has closed up shop, they needed more cash..they dont need it longer term, but since there are no short term options that is what they needed to do.

    Look at the deal on friday with California..they arent needing deficit funding, rather general operations funding, and since that market is dead they are looking as well.

    GE and GS are worth a damn, the market isnt functioning properly in the short term, so they did what was necessary to keep operations flowing.
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 4:06 PM ET #109

    WSC-
     
    I respect you and your opinion.
     
    Remember this.....Warren Buffett is a business man hellbent on making as much money as possible before ANYTHING else.
     
    In deals like this, a hell of a lot more terms are never released to the public.
     
    Just on terms alone, Buffett is fleecing both GE and GS.  You think those iceholes there would give you or me a guaranteed 10%?  They'd still be rolling on the floor laughing.
     
    Buffett didn't do this deal to save American companies and restore "confidence," he did this cause he is in control now with ultra vavorable terms.  Buffett is what, 786 years old?  He wants power and money, and he got both.  He isn't doing this for anyone besides himself.
     
    Believe you me, the boards of GE and GS take their cues from the old, cranky guy in Omaha.
    Reply
    WSC-
     
    I respect you and your opinion.
     
    Remember this.....Warren Buffett is a business man hellbent on making as much money as possible before ANYTHING else.
     
    In deals like this, a hell of a lot more terms are never released to the public.
     
    Just on terms alone, Buffett is fleecing both GE and GS.  You think those iceholes there would give you or me a guaranteed 10%?  They'd still be rolling on the floor laughing.
     
    Buffett didn't do this deal to save American companies and restore "confidence," he did this cause he is in control now with ultra vavorable terms.  Buffett is what, 786 years old?  He wants power and money, and he got both.  He isn't doing this for anyone besides himself.
     
    Believe you me, the boards of GE and GS take their cues from the old, cranky guy in Omaha.
     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 10:44 PM ET #110


    " GE and GS are worth a damn, the market isnt functioning properly in the short term, so they did what was necessary to keep operations flowing."

      Wall, in the normal course of things, that is called being up shits creek without a paddle.

      That is the exactly the state the "smartest people on Wall Street" ( a description I agree with) found themselves in. That is precisely why they were forced to accept Buffett's terms.Only the direst straits would make the mavens of Goldman take such terms.

      The terms announced are simply those they have agreed to release.Who knows what else they have had to agree to? Not me or you, but admitting what they have had to admit is embarrassing enough.

     
    Reply

    " GE and GS are worth a damn, the market isnt functioning properly in the short term, so they did what was necessary to keep operations flowing."

      Wall, in the normal course of things, that is called being up shits creek without a paddle.

      That is the exactly the state the "smartest people on Wall Street" ( a description I agree with) found themselves in. That is precisely why they were forced to accept Buffett's terms.Only the direst straits would make the mavens of Goldman take such terms.

      The terms announced are simply those they have agreed to release.Who knows what else they have had to agree to? Not me or you, but admitting what they have had to admit is embarrassing enough.

     
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 11:29 PM ET #111

    Tell me guys..

    When in our lifetimes have we seen the commercial paper market not functioning?

    This isnt how businesses like GE and GS operate, having backups for when the commercial/short term paper market freeze up.

    I dont recall this EVER happening. Now I give them some knocks for leveraging so heavy and needing margin calls but even with that, if the short term commercial paper market were functioning this doesnt happen and is unnecessary.

    So how would you go about planning for that in your business plan?
    Reply
    Tell me guys..

    When in our lifetimes have we seen the commercial paper market not functioning?

    This isnt how businesses like GE and GS operate, having backups for when the commercial/short term paper market freeze up.

    I dont recall this EVER happening. Now I give them some knocks for leveraging so heavy and needing margin calls but even with that, if the short term commercial paper market were functioning this doesnt happen and is unnecessary.

    So how would you go about planning for that in your business plan?
     
    jaxwhitey
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2008 - 11:44 PM ET #112

    I have to agree with Wall on this one.

    This is beyond the range of a normal business emergency plan.  It would be akin to me keeping tire chains and a snow plow at the ready here in Florida.

    You can plan for alot of things, but if you plan for every single possible and seemingly impossible contigency you will plan yourself right out of business.
    Reply
    I have to agree with Wall on this one.

    This is beyond the range of a normal business emergency plan.  It would be akin to me keeping tire chains and a snow plow at the ready here in Florida.

    You can plan for alot of things, but if you plan for every single possible and seemingly impossible contigency you will plan yourself right out of business.
     
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 5:05 AM ET #113

    NWO at work by freezing the st paper?  I don't know, but the conspiracy theorists seem right.
     
    One world govt, one world currency, one world bank, surveillance all around us.
     
    BIG BROTHER is getting more and more powerful by the second.
     
    BTW, have no idea what to make of today's open, but since I am at work all day, I expect a massive short covering rally that I will of course miss.  PUT YOUR BUY FOR A TRADE HATS ON TODAY!
    Reply
    NWO at work by freezing the st paper?  I don't know, but the conspiracy theorists seem right.
     
    One world govt, one world currency, one world bank, surveillance all around us.
     
    BIG BROTHER is getting more and more powerful by the second.
     
    BTW, have no idea what to make of today's open, but since I am at work all day, I expect a massive short covering rally that I will of course miss.  PUT YOUR BUY FOR A TRADE HATS ON TODAY!
     
    whereismyhat
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 9:32 AM ET #114

    Damn it....HLIT is below 8 again
    Reply
    Damn it....HLIT is below 8 again
     
    whereismyhat
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 9:33 AM ET #115

    Dow at -275 already!!!!!
    Reply
    Dow at -275 already!!!!!
     
    whereismyhat
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 9:36 AM ET #116

    WS-
     
    I think I'm going to buy a third more shares of HLIT...I sold a third on Friday at 8.62 made a small profit from my 8.37 point on those shares.
     
    what ya think?
    Reply
    WS-
     
    I think I'm going to buy a third more shares of HLIT...I sold a third on Friday at 8.62 made a small profit from my 8.37 point on those shares.
     
    what ya think?
     
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 10:43 AM ET #117

    unreal VIX is almost @ 52


    you woulda thunk there was a nuclear war going on if someone showed you this chart and did tell you anything else.

    man nearing 9800 on DJ at some point this has to turn and turn quickly.


    omg DRYS is @ 24 !!!!!! WTF
    Reply
    unreal VIX is almost @ 52


    you woulda thunk there was a nuclear war going on if someone showed you this chart and did tell you anything else.

    man nearing 9800 on DJ at some point this has to turn and turn quickly.


    omg DRYS is @ 24 !!!!!! WTF
     
    jaxwhitey
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 11:02 AM ET #118

    I think I'm just going to sit on the sidelines and take the beating I'm getting in my two smallish posistions (UYG/NCC) and definately not touching my March GLD puts.

    Hopefully near the close we are still way down and I will start to accumulate.  I don't want to step in front of this run away train quite yet.
    Reply
    I think I'm just going to sit on the sidelines and take the beating I'm getting in my two smallish posistions (UYG/NCC) and definately not touching my March GLD puts.

    Hopefully near the close we are still way down and I will start to accumulate.  I don't want to step in front of this run away train quite yet.
     
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 11:19 AM ET #119

    vix at 56

    holy crap

    hat - i know nothing about HLIT but i would advise against buying anything right now

    once this is a smoking crater i will look for companies with REAL GROWTH and EARNINGS...large cap, cash rich

    mcd, tgt, wmt, t, fcx, x

    did you know US Steel is trading at a 2.43 (intraday) forward PE?!?!?!?!
    Reply
    vix at 56

    holy crap

    hat - i know nothing about HLIT but i would advise against buying anything right now

    once this is a smoking crater i will look for companies with REAL GROWTH and EARNINGS...large cap, cash rich

    mcd, tgt, wmt, t, fcx, x

    did you know US Steel is trading at a 2.43 (intraday) forward PE?!?!?!?!
     
    jaxwhitey
    jaxwhitey
    Veteran
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    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 1752
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 11:21 AM ET #120

    Cramer said everyone should get out this morning

    I want in
    Reply
    Cramer said everyone should get out this morning

    I want in
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
    Covers Linesmen
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2003
    Posts: 58464
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 12:01 PM ET #121

    jax,

    I agree..if Cramer is throwing in the towel it is time to start buying.

    hat, yeah it is a good time to average in on HLIT, it lowers your average..I am glad you waited.

    DRYS gets nailed again..another down day another smack down. George announced the spinoff will go for 30-31 per share and the common which will make 12 plus next year is going for under that price.



    I didnt think we would see sub 10k this week  
    Reply
    jax,

    I agree..if Cramer is throwing in the towel it is time to start buying.

    hat, yeah it is a good time to average in on HLIT, it lowers your average..I am glad you waited.

    DRYS gets nailed again..another down day another smack down. George announced the spinoff will go for 30-31 per share and the common which will make 12 plus next year is going for under that price.



    I didnt think we would see sub 10k this week  
     
    jaxwhitey
    jaxwhitey
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 1752
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 12:16 PM ET #122

    Wow Citi has balls

    They wanted to buy WB for only $1 share and now they want to sue them for $60 billion
    Reply
    Wow Citi has balls

    They wanted to buy WB for only $1 share and now they want to sue them for $60 billion
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
    Covers Linesmen
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    Joined: Feb, 2003
    Posts: 58464
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 12:30 PM ET #123

    Good thing the short ban is still in (at least I think it is) most financials are down half of what the indexes are.

    If that ban wasnt in place I imagine we might be to the lower 9ks now.


    Reply
    Good thing the short ban is still in (at least I think it is) most financials are down half of what the indexes are.

    If that ban wasnt in place I imagine we might be to the lower 9ks now.


     
    depeche2
    depeche2
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2002
    Posts: 67006
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 12:46 PM ET #124

    What a bloodbath.  Going to be a great buying opportunity soon, just so hard to call the bottom.  Market has basically wiped out 5 years worth gains and we're back to fall 2003 levels.
    Reply
    What a bloodbath.  Going to be a great buying opportunity soon, just so hard to call the bottom.  Market has basically wiped out 5 years worth gains and we're back to fall 2003 levels.
     
     
    WinLoseorDraw
    WinLoseorDraw
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2008
    Posts: 306
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 12:55 PM ET #125

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Good thing the short ban is still in (at least I think it is) most financials are down half of what the indexes are.

    If that ban wasnt in place I imagine we might be to the lower 9ks now.




    Wall  Don't you think that money is being used to short other companies now ?? I actually think the ban is hurting the rest of the market.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Good thing the short ban is still in (at least I think it is) most financials are down half of what the indexes are.

    If that ban wasnt in place I imagine we might be to the lower 9ks now.




    Wall  Don't you think that money is being used to short other companies now ?? I actually think the ban is hurting the rest of the market.
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