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    All Forums | Investments

    December and January Stock Talk I

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    Gridophiles
    claycourtlesson
    wallstreetcappers
    Vermeer
    StiflersMom
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 1690
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    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
     
    Gridophiles
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2008 - 6:54 PM ET #76

    Quote Originally Posted by boiler-room:

    buy ur consumer staple stocks people,,p&g a dow leader 2day.........by the way,,,an excellent financial discussion  broke out in the p-box with helmut leading the way,,its funny , not in a degrading way  but u have people giving their 2 cents worth with very generic ideas and koaj is throwing around all these technical terms and theories that may have people scratching their heads,,,,investment forum catching on,,this is goin to be the place to be

     

    I need all the advice I can get, I bought the financials last week.  Hell, I'd even listen to what Dad has to say at this point  

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by boiler-room:

    buy ur consumer staple stocks people,,p&g a dow leader 2day.........by the way,,,an excellent financial discussion  broke out in the p-box with helmut leading the way,,its funny , not in a degrading way  but u have people giving their 2 cents worth with very generic ideas and koaj is throwing around all these technical terms and theories that may have people scratching their heads,,,,investment forum catching on,,this is goin to be the place to be

     

    I need all the advice I can get, I bought the financials last week.  Hell, I'd even listen to what Dad has to say at this point  

     
    claycourtlesson
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2008 - 7:00 PM ET #77

    Best pick of the year?
     
    Buy the Snirnoff Vodka commodity and drink your gdmf ass off for the next 18 months.
    Reply
    Best pick of the year?
     
    Buy the Snirnoff Vodka commodity and drink your gdmf ass off for the next 18 months.
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2008 - 7:29 PM ET #78

    Grid,

    Short term pain yeah, but if you didnt margin and can hold on a while you will do fine.
    Reply
    Grid,

    Short term pain yeah, but if you didnt margin and can hold on a while you will do fine.
     
    Gridophiles
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2008 - 9:09 PM ET #79

    No margin calls here, and I can hold, Vegas will just have to wait until fall.  I am questioning my strategy however of buying the basket of financials via UYG as opposed to a few select companies like; JPM, WFC, and AXP. 
     
    Oh well, at this point I may pick-up a couple more shares next week to round out the lots, assuming we don't get a rally, and just ride it out. 
     
    I still think we see a rally, although from a much lower starting point, in the financials as the Fed gets brow beat'in into some major rate cuts, probably starting before the next meeting eom.
    Reply
    No margin calls here, and I can hold, Vegas will just have to wait until fall.  I am questioning my strategy however of buying the basket of financials via UYG as opposed to a few select companies like; JPM, WFC, and AXP. 
     
    Oh well, at this point I may pick-up a couple more shares next week to round out the lots, assuming we don't get a rally, and just ride it out. 
     
    I still think we see a rally, although from a much lower starting point, in the financials as the Fed gets brow beat'in into some major rate cuts, probably starting before the next meeting eom.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2008 - 9:40 PM ET #80

    Grid,

    We had a discussion about the ETF vs stocks and I leaned towards the higher risk/higher return with the stocks vs the ETF.

    You are safer with the ETF  but the yield is lower and return lower if you feel the stock you pick are better than a basket ETF.

    I would rather own stocks like C or BAC or WFC rather than a large group because ETFs are meant to mitigate risk and make a safer investment.

    With stocks down like this I would rather take my chances and gamble a bit more to be honest.
    Reply
    Grid,

    We had a discussion about the ETF vs stocks and I leaned towards the higher risk/higher return with the stocks vs the ETF.

    You are safer with the ETF  but the yield is lower and return lower if you feel the stock you pick are better than a basket ETF.

    I would rather own stocks like C or BAC or WFC rather than a large group because ETFs are meant to mitigate risk and make a safer investment.

    With stocks down like this I would rather take my chances and gamble a bit more to be honest.
     
    Gridophiles
    Gridophiles
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2008 - 8:00 AM ET #81

    Yeah, I remember.  But when you go long in one of these "Ultra" ETF's, (that double daily performances), in this market, you start to question your thinking.  But for that reason, I guess I need to stick with the Ultra ETF to catch that swing back up........if there ever is one.
     
    Reply
    Yeah, I remember.  But when you go long in one of these "Ultra" ETF's, (that double daily performances), in this market, you start to question your thinking.  But for that reason, I guess I need to stick with the Ultra ETF to catch that swing back up........if there ever is one.
     
     
    claycourtlesson
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2008 - 10:08 AM ET #82

    Wouldn't shock me at all if someone starts a short covering bomb early this coming week.
     
    My advice is to use it to close out current longs, and then look to fade this certain "sucker's rally" by shorting the SP.  That's the only way to play a bear market.
     
    Reply
    Wouldn't shock me at all if someone starts a short covering bomb early this coming week.
     
    My advice is to use it to close out current longs, and then look to fade this certain "sucker's rally" by shorting the SP.  That's the only way to play a bear market.
     
     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2008 - 4:35 PM ET #83

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Those April calls have to be doing quite well..stock has moved 3 pts since we talked about it.

    The only risk/downside I see is if they dont get financing in place, they could lose a few contracts and that would NAIL the stock.

    I think it is worth the risk, but you might want to check the volitility and when it peaks you might want to sell and roll out when the volatility is lower. (options speaking)


     Regarding HOKU, do they not need to just get $35 million in financing? I know the corp paper markets are awful, but I sure hope they can find that relatively small amount from some source...given that they have inked $1.5 billion in deals with corps like Sanyo etc...
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Those April calls have to be doing quite well..stock has moved 3 pts since we talked about it.

    The only risk/downside I see is if they dont get financing in place, they could lose a few contracts and that would NAIL the stock.

    I think it is worth the risk, but you might want to check the volitility and when it peaks you might want to sell and roll out when the volatility is lower. (options speaking)


     Regarding HOKU, do they not need to just get $35 million in financing? I know the corp paper markets are awful, but I sure hope they can find that relatively small amount from some source...given that they have inked $1.5 billion in deals with corps like Sanyo etc...
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2008 - 5:03 PM ET #84

    Vermeer,

    I am quite sure they already have financing with ML in place, but I am not sure if this is somthing different or not.

    It will either be a huge hit or a huge bomb. The market is drastically discounting their future prospects to put it lightly.


    Reply
    Vermeer,

    I am quite sure they already have financing with ML in place, but I am not sure if this is somthing different or not.

    It will either be a huge hit or a huge bomb. The market is drastically discounting their future prospects to put it lightly.


     
    StiflersMom
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2008 - 8:12 PM ET #85

    Is this a good spot to buy some CRDC? Put in a limit order at 8.75. Also put in for a bit of UA.
    Reply
    Is this a good spot to buy some CRDC? Put in a limit order at 8.75. Also put in for a bit of UA.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2008 - 8:34 PM ET #86

    Yeah..

    CRDC dropped from 10 to this level with its high beta. Some important dates coming up in the next 3 weeks..good time to be long the stock IMO.  
    Reply
    Yeah..

    CRDC dropped from 10 to this level with its high beta. Some important dates coming up in the next 3 weeks..good time to be long the stock IMO.  
     
    claycourtlesson
    claycourtlesson
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2008 - 8:39 AM ET #87

    Stifler-
     
    Yes, for sure.  I'd do it, too, but the overall market fundamentals are so gruesome going forward that I have promised myself to only do shorts for the time being.
     
    CRDC is a damn good buy at this level, so long as you are in it for the long haul.
    Reply
    Stifler-
     
    Yes, for sure.  I'd do it, too, but the overall market fundamentals are so gruesome going forward that I have promised myself to only do shorts for the time being.
     
    CRDC is a damn good buy at this level, so long as you are in it for the long haul.
     
    Vermeer
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2008 - 10:24 AM ET #88

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Vermeer,

    I am quite sure they already have financing with ML in place, but I am not sure if this is somthing different or not.

    It will either be a huge hit or a huge bomb. The market is drastically discounting their future prospects to put it lightly.




      That fact really spooks me,but not enough to bail out of the options . The question is, what is the reasoning behind such a discounting??I have read all I can find on them, and nothing really has stood out. Maybe I need to go back over it again...
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Vermeer,

    I am quite sure they already have financing with ML in place, but I am not sure if this is somthing different or not.

    It will either be a huge hit or a huge bomb. The market is drastically discounting their future prospects to put it lightly.




      That fact really spooks me,but not enough to bail out of the options . The question is, what is the reasoning behind such a discounting??I have read all I can find on them, and nothing really has stood out. Maybe I need to go back over it again...
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2008 - 12:02 PM ET #89

    Vermeer,

    Because they dont have the plant built yet to make the silicon, and all of the contracts span over many years.

    So you have to discount both of those points.  
    Reply
    Vermeer,

    Because they dont have the plant built yet to make the silicon, and all of the contracts span over many years.

    So you have to discount both of those points.  
     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 9:15 AM ET #90

    Cardica Receives $2 Million Payment From Cook Medical for Successful Completion of Multiple Milestones
    - Cardica Attains Fourth Milestone in Vascular Closure Device Collaboration Agreement and Completes Initial Development Milestone for Device to Repair Heart Defects -
    January 07, 2008: 08:00 AM EST

    REDWOOD CITY, Calif., Jan. 7 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Cardica, Inc. today announced that it has received nearly $2 million in payments from Cook Medical (Cook) for the achievement of significant milestones pursuant to its development agreements with Cook. Cardica received the fourth and final milestone payment of $500,000 for the delivery of the Cook Vascular Closure Device (CVCD), an innovative automated system designed to close access openings in femoral arteries after interventional vascular procedures. Cook also paid $1.3 million to Cardica for the successful completion of the first phase of design and development of a specialized device designed to close holes in the heart known as patent foramen ovales (PFO), genetic heart defects.

    Cardica also received a payment of $180,000 from Cook for the initial purchase of parts to build a specific number of these vascular closure devices for commercial use.

    "We believe the novel design and unique features of the Cook Vascular Access Closure Device address the large and growing market need for next-generation vascular closure devices. We expect to introduce the CVCD in a limited number of sites in Europe early this year," said Brian Bates, senior vice president of business development for Cook. "Moreover, Cardica has made excellent progress with the design of an innovative device to close PFOs. We are looking forward to working together with Cardica on the next phase of development and the initial pre-clinical testing of this ground-breaking device."

    Under the agreement for the CVCD, Cardica has received a total of $2.0 million in milestone payments and has expanded this collaboration to include a second product in the vascular closure device product line. Similarly, under the agreement for the PFO closure device, Cardica has received to date $2.15 million in fees and milestone payments and may receive an additional approximately $1.4 million in development milestone payments beyond the $1.3 million announced today. With both products, Cardica is also entitled to receive royalties on any future worldwide sales by Cook, and Cook has exclusive worldwide commercialization and marketing rights.

    "We are excited that our work with Cook is serving to advance new solutions for closure devices in the areas of vascular access and PFOs. The rapid advancement of both these programs is a testament to the excellent collaborative relationship we have developed with Cook and the true partnership we have together," said Bernard A. Hausen, M.D., Ph.D., president and chief executive officer of Cardica.

    The CVCD Advantage for Interventional Procedures

    An estimated 8.5 million diagnostic and interventional catheterization procedures were performed worldwide in 2006, all of which required access site closure either by manual compression or alternative vascular closure devices and techniques. In approximately 45 percent of these cases, a closure device was used, and that number is steadily increasing. The worldwide market for femoral artery closure devices alone is estimated to be more than $750 million in 2008.

    The potential advantages of the closure devices developed by Cardica and Cook include a simple user interface, the ability to place it through the same introducer sheath used for the interventional procedure for greater convenience and speed, scalability and lower cost of goods.

    About Patent Foramen Ovale

    A patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a congenital heart defect. During fetal development, the heart's two upper chambers are connected by a hole that allows blood to be diverted away from the lungs because they are not yet developed. This hole, called the foramen ovale, is necessary for healthy fetal development and closes naturally in approximately 80 percent of the general population by the age of two. When it remains open after this period, it is said to be patent, or open. PFO is believed to be present in approximately 15 to 20 percent of the general population.

    People with a PFO often are asymptomatic, but are at greater risk for stroke and systemic embolism because of the potential formation of blood clots. With larger PFOs, patients may experience labored breathing, recurrent respiratory infections and even heart failure or death. Today, PFOs are treated by the use of a blood thinning medication (aspirin or warfarin) to prevent blood clots, or the PFO is closed through open heart surgery or transcatheter closure procedure.

    About Cook Medical

    Cook Medical was the first company to introduce interventional devices in the United States. Today, the company integrates device design, biopharma, gene and cell therapy and biotech to enhance patient safety and improve clinical outcomes in the fields of aortic intervention; cardiology; critical care medicine; gastroenterology; radiology, peripheral vascular, bone access and oncology; surgery and soft tissue repair; urology; and assisted reproductive technology, gynecology and high-risk obstetrics. Cook won the prestigious Medical Device Manufacturer of the Year Award for 2006 from Medical Device & Diagnostic Industry magazine. For more information, visit https://www.cookmedical.com.

    About Cardica

    Reply
    Cardica Receives $2 Million Payment From Cook Medical for Successful Completion of Multiple Milestones
    - Cardica Attains Fourth Milestone in Vascular Closure Device Collaboration Agreement and Completes Initial Development Milestone for Device to Repair Heart Defects -
    January 07, 2008: 08:00 AM EST

    REDWOOD CITY, Calif., Jan. 7 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Cardica, Inc. today announced that it has received nearly $2 million in payments from Cook Medical (Cook) for the achievement of significant milestones pursuant to its development agreements with Cook. Cardica received the fourth and final milestone payment of $500,000 for the delivery of the Cook Vascular Closure Device (CVCD), an innovative automated system designed to close access openings in femoral arteries after interventional vascular procedures. Cook also paid $1.3 million to Cardica for the successful completion of the first phase of design and development of a specialized device designed to close holes in the heart known as patent foramen ovales (PFO), genetic heart defects.

    Cardica also received a payment of $180,000 from Cook for the initial purchase of parts to build a specific number of these vascular closure devices for commercial use.

    "We believe the novel design and unique features of the Cook Vascular Access Closure Device address the large and growing market need for next-generation vascular closure devices. We expect to introduce the CVCD in a limited number of sites in Europe early this year," said Brian Bates, senior vice president of business development for Cook. "Moreover, Cardica has made excellent progress with the design of an innovative device to close PFOs. We are looking forward to working together with Cardica on the next phase of development and the initial pre-clinical testing of this ground-breaking device."

    Under the agreement for the CVCD, Cardica has received a total of $2.0 million in milestone payments and has expanded this collaboration to include a second product in the vascular closure device product line. Similarly, under the agreement for the PFO closure device, Cardica has received to date $2.15 million in fees and milestone payments and may receive an additional approximately $1.4 million in development milestone payments beyond the $1.3 million announced today. With both products, Cardica is also entitled to receive royalties on any future worldwide sales by Cook, and Cook has exclusive worldwide commercialization and marketing rights.

    "We are excited that our work with Cook is serving to advance new solutions for closure devices in the areas of vascular access and PFOs. The rapid advancement of both these programs is a testament to the excellent collaborative relationship we have developed with Cook and the true partnership we have together," said Bernard A. Hausen, M.D., Ph.D., president and chief executive officer of Cardica.

    The CVCD Advantage for Interventional Procedures

    An estimated 8.5 million diagnostic and interventional catheterization procedures were performed worldwide in 2006, all of which required access site closure either by manual compression or alternative vascular closure devices and techniques. In approximately 45 percent of these cases, a closure device was used, and that number is steadily increasing. The worldwide market for femoral artery closure devices alone is estimated to be more than $750 million in 2008.

    The potential advantages of the closure devices developed by Cardica and Cook include a simple user interface, the ability to place it through the same introducer sheath used for the interventional procedure for greater convenience and speed, scalability and lower cost of goods.

    About Patent Foramen Ovale

    A patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a congenital heart defect. During fetal development, the heart's two upper chambers are connected by a hole that allows blood to be diverted away from the lungs because they are not yet developed. This hole, called the foramen ovale, is necessary for healthy fetal development and closes naturally in approximately 80 percent of the general population by the age of two. When it remains open after this period, it is said to be patent, or open. PFO is believed to be present in approximately 15 to 20 percent of the general population.

    People with a PFO often are asymptomatic, but are at greater risk for stroke and systemic embolism because of the potential formation of blood clots. With larger PFOs, patients may experience labored breathing, recurrent respiratory infections and even heart failure or death. Today, PFOs are treated by the use of a blood thinning medication (aspirin or warfarin) to prevent blood clots, or the PFO is closed through open heart surgery or transcatheter closure procedure.

    About Cook Medical

    Cook Medical was the first company to introduce interventional devices in the United States. Today, the company integrates device design, biopharma, gene and cell therapy and biotech to enhance patient safety and improve clinical outcomes in the fields of aortic intervention; cardiology; critical care medicine; gastroenterology; radiology, peripheral vascular, bone access and oncology; surgery and soft tissue repair; urology; and assisted reproductive technology, gynecology and high-risk obstetrics. Cook won the prestigious Medical Device Manufacturer of the Year Award for 2006 from Medical Device & Diagnostic Industry magazine. For more information, visit https://www.cookmedical.com.

    About Cardica

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 10:46 AM ET #91

    Interesting news, nothing to keep up in this terrible market though.

    Naz down 30 but the high beta stocks are getting SMOKED...some nasty price action to put it lightly.
    Reply
    Interesting news, nothing to keep up in this terrible market though.

    Naz down 30 but the high beta stocks are getting SMOKED...some nasty price action to put it lightly.
     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 11:08 AM ET #92

     The only thing that is going to (only temporarily) boost this market is a large Fed rate cut and by the time they do that it will be fully priced in anyway.A pretty belated reaction by the market to the obvious thought that the housing meltdown means recession. Pretty simple thought.

     Until the financials recover, (and it will be over a year from now I think), this market will go nowhere...maybe sideways at best, further down more likely.

     To me this Fed has little left in the way of ammo. They might have lessened the downturn had they used their limited weaponry earlier, but they did not.

     Governernment spending, never under control, will only increase under a Democratic regime, as will taxes. Hardly a recipe for recovery.


     
    Reply
     The only thing that is going to (only temporarily) boost this market is a large Fed rate cut and by the time they do that it will be fully priced in anyway.A pretty belated reaction by the market to the obvious thought that the housing meltdown means recession. Pretty simple thought.

     Until the financials recover, (and it will be over a year from now I think), this market will go nowhere...maybe sideways at best, further down more likely.

     To me this Fed has little left in the way of ammo. They might have lessened the downturn had they used their limited weaponry earlier, but they did not.

     Governernment spending, never under control, will only increase under a Democratic regime, as will taxes. Hardly a recipe for recovery.


     
     
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 11:32 AM ET #93


     Does anyone have a link for real, inflation adjusted rates of return of various instruments by decade?

      I am looking at an article on the 1970s, a recade of inflation, stagflation. I just want to confirm the following assertion:

      Total real return

      Stocks (S&P 500)  negative 14%
      Bonds                   negative 10.5%
      Cash                     negative 17.5%


    Reply

     Does anyone have a link for real, inflation adjusted rates of return of various instruments by decade?

      I am looking at an article on the 1970s, a recade of inflation, stagflation. I just want to confirm the following assertion:

      Total real return

      Stocks (S&P 500)  negative 14%
      Bonds                   negative 10.5%
      Cash                     negative 17.5%


     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 11:50 AM ET #94

    I dont, but it has to be out there..

    With the rash of inflation lately I imagine that it has changed the ROR pretty seriously.

    Interesting seeing what bounces and what doesnt in the market when we turned..


    Reply
    I dont, but it has to be out there..

    With the rash of inflation lately I imagine that it has changed the ROR pretty seriously.

    Interesting seeing what bounces and what doesnt in the market when we turned..


     
    depeche2
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 11:57 AM ET #95

    You guys are so bearish.  I'm actually not.  Think the valuations out there are pretty reasonable for the most part.  Think a (mild) recession is priced in at this point in large part.  If the economy recovers or the recession is mild or ends quick the market will snap back pretty quickly and we'll be at new highs again.  Market looks ahead 6 months and I think the 2nd half of the year will be good to the market with new highs late in the year.  Just my opinion.  I could be wrong.
    Reply
    You guys are so bearish.  I'm actually not.  Think the valuations out there are pretty reasonable for the most part.  Think a (mild) recession is priced in at this point in large part.  If the economy recovers or the recession is mild or ends quick the market will snap back pretty quickly and we'll be at new highs again.  Market looks ahead 6 months and I think the 2nd half of the year will be good to the market with new highs late in the year.  Just my opinion.  I could be wrong.
     
    boiler-room
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 12:24 PM ET #96

    does depeche work for cnbc?......just kiddin bro,,i hope ur right ,,,,i think u will see continued volitility which is not good,,the market hates  the unknown and uncertain,,which until this all shakes out is what u got....think of all the money that was taken out of the equity in peoples houses over the last 4 years,,most of that money,,stupidly for them,was used to spend,,tvs , cars , new kithens and bathrooms in the house, vacations ,,,now there is no more treating ur house like an atm,,thereforwe the consumer spending goes way down becuase there is no more to spend, it has to be felt somewhere,billions of dollares not being spent by consumers ,,,,,,,,not to mention if the numbers are right , the amount of people who are going to lose their houses to foreclosure,that has an effect,,now take into account the buisnesses that are involved in these sectors,,homebuilders ,mortgage companies and banks who lend the money that is not beimg repaid,,investment firms who packaged these  mortgages as investments that are getting smoked,,,,,all not good,,,now if you will excuse me,,i must go to lunch
    Reply
    does depeche work for cnbc?......just kiddin bro,,i hope ur right ,,,,i think u will see continued volitility which is not good,,the market hates  the unknown and uncertain,,which until this all shakes out is what u got....think of all the money that was taken out of the equity in peoples houses over the last 4 years,,most of that money,,stupidly for them,was used to spend,,tvs , cars , new kithens and bathrooms in the house, vacations ,,,now there is no more treating ur house like an atm,,thereforwe the consumer spending goes way down becuase there is no more to spend, it has to be felt somewhere,billions of dollares not being spent by consumers ,,,,,,,,not to mention if the numbers are right , the amount of people who are going to lose their houses to foreclosure,that has an effect,,now take into account the buisnesses that are involved in these sectors,,homebuilders ,mortgage companies and banks who lend the money that is not beimg repaid,,investment firms who packaged these  mortgages as investments that are getting smoked,,,,,all not good,,,now if you will excuse me,,i must go to lunch
     
    depeche2
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 12:46 PM ET #97

    Good points.  We'll see, when it comes down to it it's really about corporate earnings going forward.  If these things impact the bottom line more than expected in future quarters then the market falls further.  There certainly are risks out there and it's probably not a time to be fully invested.  But at the same time, down markets are not the time historically to be on the sidelines.
    Reply
    Good points.  We'll see, when it comes down to it it's really about corporate earnings going forward.  If these things impact the bottom line more than expected in future quarters then the market falls further.  There certainly are risks out there and it's probably not a time to be fully invested.  But at the same time, down markets are not the time historically to be on the sidelines.
     
    depeche2
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 3:55 PM ET #98

    Looks like some strong buying into the close...
    Reply
    Looks like some strong buying into the close...
     
    Gunners
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 4:35 PM ET #99

    Haven't posted in a while, hope everyone had a good holiday and new year.  I've got some fresh cash now and i'm looking for some good ideas.  I'm not to bullish right now, but would like to get a couple longs and a couple inverse ETFs soon.  I'm looking at starting a position in FXP tomorrow after the drop today.  I'm considering a small CRDC position as well.

    WallStreetCappers, what do you think of HANS these days? 

    I haven't been following everyone's picks lately.  what are everyone's favorite long or short positions?

    Reply

    Haven't posted in a while, hope everyone had a good holiday and new year.  I've got some fresh cash now and i'm looking for some good ideas.  I'm not to bullish right now, but would like to get a couple longs and a couple inverse ETFs soon.  I'm looking at starting a position in FXP tomorrow after the drop today.  I'm considering a small CRDC position as well.

    WallStreetCappers, what do you think of HANS these days? 

    I haven't been following everyone's picks lately.  what are everyone's favorite long or short positions?

     
     
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2008 - 11:52 PM ET #100

     Something to consider from a newsletter...

    The stock market is oversold short-term, which invites the potential for a spectacular "clearing rally" of the typical variety – fast, furious, and prone to failure. While such an upward spike might be embraced as some sort of message that the market has "fully discounted" negative conditions and mark a successful "test" of prior lows, the data suggest that underlying market and economic conditions are rapidly deteriorating. In that context, a spectacular short-term rally (particularly a one-day barn burner) could provide a setup for concerted selling. As usual, I have no intention of encouraging investors to depart from well constructed investment plans, but investors should recognize that a 30% market decline is only a standard run-of-the-mill bear. It's a good idea to evaluate your investment portfolio to ensure you could tolerate that outcome, should it occur, without abandoning your discipline.
    Reply
     Something to consider from a newsletter...

    The stock market is oversold short-term, which invites the potential for a spectacular "clearing rally" of the typical variety – fast, furious, and prone to failure. While such an upward spike might be embraced as some sort of message that the market has "fully discounted" negative conditions and mark a successful "test" of prior lows, the data suggest that underlying market and economic conditions are rapidly deteriorating. In that context, a spectacular short-term rally (particularly a one-day barn burner) could provide a setup for concerted selling. As usual, I have no intention of encouraging investors to depart from well constructed investment plans, but investors should recognize that a 30% market decline is only a standard run-of-the-mill bear. It's a good idea to evaluate your investment portfolio to ensure you could tolerate that outcome, should it occur, without abandoning your discipline.
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