Who I will not bet in the Derby ! Post your throwouts thoughts !
You act like your trash talking embarrasses me or something, I don't have to post my picks all the time,I'm honest.
You act like your trash talking embarrasses me or something, I don't have to post my picks all the time,I'm honest.
Keep betting turf horses in classic dirt races,
Keep betting turf horses in classic dirt races,
OK.. still yet to finish watching the trials but statistics angle.
Eliminators
Dosage higher then 4.00:
Cairo Prince
Vicar's in Trouble
Wildcat Red
Unraced at two:
Constitution
Bayern
Hoppertunity
Chitu
Midnight Hawk
Vicar's In Trouble
General A Rod
Won at 6f:
California
Chrome
Foaling Date:
California Chrome 18th February
Constitution 11th Feburary
Candy Boy 31st March
Tapiture 3rd May
Bayern 3rd May
Cairo Prince 17th February
Hoppertunity 7th May
Social Inclusion 1st May
Vicar's in Trouble 31st March
Wildcat Red 29th March
General A Rod 26th February
Intense Holiday 20th April
Chitu 18th March
Samraat 16th April
Ring Weekend 27th April
Midnight Hawk 14th May
May is an unlikely time to foal a Derby winner given there will be more mature colts in the field. Midnight Hawk, Tapiture, Hoppertunity and Social Inclusion are likely eliminated.
No More then 2 prep runs:
Ring Weekend, Havana
Cairo Prince, Tapiture will likely have another prep run between now and raceday.
OK.. still yet to finish watching the trials but statistics angle.
Eliminators
Dosage higher then 4.00:
Cairo Prince
Vicar's in Trouble
Wildcat Red
Unraced at two:
Constitution
Bayern
Hoppertunity
Chitu
Midnight Hawk
Vicar's In Trouble
General A Rod
Won at 6f:
California
Chrome
Foaling Date:
California Chrome 18th February
Constitution 11th Feburary
Candy Boy 31st March
Tapiture 3rd May
Bayern 3rd May
Cairo Prince 17th February
Hoppertunity 7th May
Social Inclusion 1st May
Vicar's in Trouble 31st March
Wildcat Red 29th March
General A Rod 26th February
Intense Holiday 20th April
Chitu 18th March
Samraat 16th April
Ring Weekend 27th April
Midnight Hawk 14th May
May is an unlikely time to foal a Derby winner given there will be more mature colts in the field. Midnight Hawk, Tapiture, Hoppertunity and Social Inclusion are likely eliminated.
No More then 2 prep runs:
Ring Weekend, Havana
Cairo Prince, Tapiture will likely have another prep run between now and raceday.
there is another stat that says only Grade One winning sires win the Derby but Malibu Moon managed it last year though admittedly his was an injury shortened career. Lucky PUlpit is CC's sire and distinctly average. Still to finish watching and just Arkansas Derby for me to take in. Can't have Bluegrass trial as a viable prep at all so one more race and also the Wood Memorial and Florida Derby to get through. GL
there is another stat that says only Grade One winning sires win the Derby but Malibu Moon managed it last year though admittedly his was an injury shortened career. Lucky PUlpit is CC's sire and distinctly average. Still to finish watching and just Arkansas Derby for me to take in. Can't have Bluegrass trial as a viable prep at all so one more race and also the Wood Memorial and Florida Derby to get through. GL
Cairo Prince will not run again, his connections are just hoping they have enough points.
Tapiture runs this Saturday in the Arkansas derby
Cairo Prince will not run again, his connections are just hoping they have enough points.
Tapiture runs this Saturday in the Arkansas derby
2 late foals to win the derby since 2006
Mine That Bird- May 10
Barbaro- April 29
Not impossible but it makes sense. I think the act of running on dirt is a hugely physical exertion on any horse. Most dirt horses are huge in comparison to turf especially Classic colts. Profile wise; intense Holiday and California Chrome both fit the profile. I've overlooked Wicked Strong and he's another who ticks most boxes. Not so sure I want to get involved with California Chrome and adding Wicked Strong alongside Intense Holiday. My 2 vs the field. Best of luck to all!
2 late foals to win the derby since 2006
Mine That Bird- May 10
Barbaro- April 29
Not impossible but it makes sense. I think the act of running on dirt is a hugely physical exertion on any horse. Most dirt horses are huge in comparison to turf especially Classic colts. Profile wise; intense Holiday and California Chrome both fit the profile. I've overlooked Wicked Strong and he's another who ticks most boxes. Not so sure I want to get involved with California Chrome and adding Wicked Strong alongside Intense Holiday. My 2 vs the field. Best of luck to all!
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