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***KENTUCKY DERBY THOUGHTS & PLAYS***

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Prospect
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Posted: #226
Do you think Baffert will pull a 1998 with indian charlie and real quiet.. If my memory serves me correctly baffert put two horses in the derby. Indian charlie and Real Quiet. Indian Charlie got hammered by the public and Real Quiet won the derby at 30-1.. Dont see that happening this year with liaison drawing #20 and bode.  But i hate betting against baffert on Cinco de Mayo.  Got 7 guys a 120 buck a piece, 840 superfecta box.  Hopefully get some long shots in there.  Baffert is a snake, but a hell of a trainer... Hope he get a triple crown winner one day, If he listened to his brother about getting Real Quiet a nose job, he would of got it!  Good luck to all
 
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Posted: #227
Quote Originally Posted by RemiMartin:

Do you think Baffert will pull a 1998 with indian charlie and real quiet.. If my memory serves me correctly baffert put two horses in the derby. Indian charlie and Real Quiet. Indian Charlie got hammered by the public and Real Quiet won the derby at 30-1.. Dont see that happening this year with liaison drawing #20 and bode.  But i hate betting against baffert on Cinco de Mayo.  Got 7 guys a 120 buck a piece, 840 superfecta box.  Hopefully get some long shots in there.  Baffert is a snake, but a hell of a trainer... Hope he get a triple crown winner one day, If he listened to his brother about getting Real Quiet a nose job, he would of got it!  Good luck to all


I had Real Quiet & he didnt go off at 30-1, he was 8-1........paid something like $18.80 to win & the exacta with Victory Gallop paid $297..........Liaison isnt anywhere near the talent RQ was, the horses Baffert had back then were awesome.

I would like to see Bode win the triple for Baffert but I doubt it will happen with this horse...........
 
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Posted: #228
Oaks/Derby doubles:


2,3,8 with 5,6,15........$10 doubles for a total of $90 spent


 
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Posted: #229
Exactas for derby:


5 with 6,7,8,9,15............$20 for a total of $100

15 with 5,6,7,8,9............$20 for a total of $100


$75 left.........I wont play any super this year.

$50 to win on #5, Dullahan..............

$25 to win on #15, Gemologist.................


Thats enough money spent on the KD.............if the speed is fast up front, horses will be cooked & here come the closers.........its happened 3 times since 2000 where the closers came from back in the pack because of the costly pace................
 
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Posted: #230
Here are the latest odds:

 
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Posted: #231
sir a chnce we can get ALL ur plays on 1 post or should we fish through d numerous posts?? again in advance, thank you
 
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Posted: #232
thats for d KD of course
 
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Posted: #233
My official plays are on page 8 & 10..............
 
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Posted: #234
 
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Posted: #235
sir u have some exactas on page 8 and then on page10 u have some more...just wanted to verify which ones r d final plays or r they ALL good
 
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Posted: #236
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Exactas for derby:


5 with 6,7,8,9,15............$20 for a total of $100

15 with 5,6,7,8,9............$20 for a total of $100


$75 left.........I wont play any super this year.

$50 to win on #5, Dullahan..............

$25 to win on #15, Gemologist.................


Thats enough money spent on the KD.............if the speed is fast up front, horses will be cooked & here come the closers.........its happened 3 times since 2000 where the closers came from back in the pack because of the costly pace................

You gotta play a superfecta or 2....thats the fun of the horse races!!!

 

 
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Posted: #237
Quote Originally Posted by QBUN:

sir u have some exactas on page 8 and then on page10 u have some more...just wanted to verify which ones r d final plays or r they ALL good


They all are.................
 
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Posted: #238
 
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Posted: #239
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

You gotta play a superfecta or 2....thats the fun of the horse races!!!

 



I dont want to spend anymore.......here are some opinions, not official plays for supers:


5 with  6,7,8,14,15 with 6,7,8,14,15 with 6,7,8,14,15.......$1 bet will cost $60.............

15 with 5,6,7,8,15 with 5,6,7,8,15 with 5,6,7,8,15.....$1 bet is $60

9 with 4,5,6,7,8,15 with 4,5,6,7,8,15 with 4,5,6,7,8,15........$1 bet cost $120 (if the 9 wins, the payout will be sick)




 
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Posted: #240
Scattered thunderstorms through the night & well into the race from what ive seen...............
 
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Posted: #241
Gemologist sitting at 9-1..............
 
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Posted: #242
#8, Creative Cause is being bet hard in the exactas.............
 
MVP
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Posted: #243

Creative Cause is my #1 choice.

 

GL in the big race !

 
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Posted: #244
CC is one of the most consistent horses in this race & if he wins, you will get a great price..................
 
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Posted: #245
Mega you got a winner there in CC.
 
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Posted: #246
Great ride by Mario & congrats to the backers of I'll Have Another................
 
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Posted: #247
love the horse just couldn't take him in post 19
 
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Posted: #248
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

6 of the past 12 derby winners won their prep race before the derby..........this years horses in this spot are:

Gemologist

Bodemeister

Dullahan

Done Talking

Daddy Long Legs

Daddy Knows Best

Take Charge Indy

I'll Have Another

Trinniberg

Went the Day Well




Why didnt I box these horses in the triple & super..............could have easily of thrown out Trinni, Done Talking & Daddy Long Legs.........leaves 7 horses to box & hit it both, the triple & super..............
 
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Posted: #249
Quote Originally Posted by jheikura:

love the horse just couldn't take him in post 19


Look at his final times in the 2 races before the derby, he has the fastest times than any other horse in the derby..............
 
 
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Posted: #250
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